The EA Grants Database is a new site that neatly aggregates grant data from major EA funders who publish individual or total grant information. It is intended to be easy to maintain long term, entirely piggybacking off of existing data that is likely to be maintained. The website data is updated by a script that can be run in seconds, and I anticipate doing this for the foreseeable future.

In creating the website, I tried to make things as clear and straightforward as possible. If your user experience is in any way impaired, I would appreciate hearing from you. I would also appreciate feedback on what features would actually be useful to people, although I am committed to avoiding bloat.

In a funding landscape that seems poised to grow, I hope this site can serve as a resource to help grantmakers, grantees, and other interested parties make decisions while also providing perspective on what has come before.

My post on matching credits and this website are both outgrowths of my thinking on how we might best financially coordinate as EA grows and becomes more difficult to understand.[1] Relatedly, I am also interested in the sort of mechanisms that [...]

---

First published:

February 8th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rohYFGfiFjepLDnWC/ea-grants-database-a-new-website

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

This is a link post.

I am not a historian! Fact check me please, dear God!

We are at the beginning of another industrial revolution. The first was the automation of muscle, the current one is the automation of mind.

To get into the right frame of mind, I want to step back and imagine:

We are living in the UK[1], the year is 1800, and we are trying to end animal suffering. We know nothing about how the tech is about to develop, nor how the economy or politics is about to be transformed, but there are faint clues.

Steam engines have started powering textile factories and milling grain, but no trains yet, no electricity. There are almost a billion people in the world, and a similar number of livestock living almost entirely on small farms. The first factory farms won't go up for almost 150 years.

Let's go back in time.

Farmed animals

All animals kept for food are living on small farms. The conditions are not great: they have little protection from the cold, no veterinary care, and they are slaughtered crudely[2] and in public. However, compared to life on a factory farm, things look pretty idyllic.

---

Outline:

(01:10) Farmed animals

(02:23) Work animals

(03:02) Blood sports

(03:46) Animal testing

(04:57) Fishing and whaling

(05:55) Wild animals

(06:24) Culture and philosophy

(07:21) Data availability

(08:05) Politics

(09:17) Colonialism and (human) slavery

(10:23) Some specific takeaways

(12:49) Conclusion

---

First published:

February 5th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CHQdcXjBudqq4QFk9/animal-welfare-at-the-start-of-the-industrial-revolution

Linkpost URL:
https://lovedoesnotscale.substack.com/p/animal-welfare-at-the-start-of-the

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

Running the first meetup for people hoping to accelerate Effective Altruism with AI tools.

Why now?

AI is accelerating productivity across industries.

People who invest learning to use AI tools are able to work much faster and more productively.

As a result, we can accelerate our favourite impactful organisations by helping them adopt these tools.

What will we discuss?

We will discuss

• ​visibility, e.g. building personal sites and blogs - useful for growing luck surface area, raising awareness about productivity gains from these tools
• ​workflow comparisons, e.g. claude skills, plugins, productivity hacks - who's got the best setup, what can we learn from eachother?
• ​implementation e.g. how to network, volunteer well, and scale impact - how can we get plugged in to the right opportunities quicker? 

Come along

Here's the Luma invite. This is an hour long meet-up aimed at any EA actively working to learn to use AI tools.

Can't make it?

If you'd like to advertise a problem you want tech help on, send me a DM

---

First published:

February 5th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/dkcwuJKw7kA4fWe5H/first-effective-altruism-ai-uplift-meetup

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

This is a link post.

[Subtitle.] Sentience and moral priority-setting

This is a crosspost for The shrimp bet: When big numbers outsprint the evidence by Rob Velzeboer, which was originally published on 27 January 2026.

TLDR: Shrimp welfare looks like the ultimate “scale + tractability” slam-dunk: massive numbers, cheap fixes, grim-sounding deaths. But the flagship farmed species—the penaeid shrimp L. vannamei—is an evidential outlier: beyond basic nociception, the sentience case is close to empty, and the limited evidence we do have points the wrong way on key markers. In the report that kicked off this wave, it was included for administrative clarity, not because sentience looked likely. If you let precaution plus expected-value reasoning run on that evidential bar, you don’t stop at shrimp, but you get pulled into insects and the rest of modern life's collateral killing. My view is that we shouldn’t let raw numbers and optimistic assumptions about sentience guide our moral priorities: most weight should go to high-confidence, severe, tractable suffering, and extremely low-confidence beings with high numbers should be treated as explicit research-and-standards bets, unless at least some higher-order evidence actually suggests pain.

“At least I’m not a shrimp.”

It's a line I’d often repeat [...]

---

Outline:

(03:37) PART 1: SHRIMP

(03:41) Why focus on shrimp

(08:26) The evidence for shrimp pain

(15:01) Skepticism

(19:11) PART 2: PRIORITIZATION

(19:16) The implications of this view

(25:04) Pain severity

(32:05) Prioritization

(36:18) References

---

First published:

February 6th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ruG5GrTcE2DBiCDfW/the-shrimp-bet-when-big-numbers-outsprint-the-evidence

Linkpost URL:
https://robvelzeboer.substack.com/p/the-shrimp-bet

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

This is a link post.

We’ve recently published a set of design sketches for AI tools that help with collective epistemics.

We think that these tools could be a pretty big deal:

• If it gets easier to track what's trustworthy and what isn’t, we might end up in an equilibrium which rewards honesty
• This could make the world saner in a bunch of ways, and in particular could give us a better shot at handling the transition to more advanced AI systems

We’re excited for people to get started on building tech that gets us closer to that world. We’re hoping that our design sketches will make this area more concrete, and inspire people to get started.

The (overly-)specific technologies we sketch out are:

• Community notes for everything — Anywhere on the internet, content that may be misleading comes served with context that a large proportion of readers find helpful
• Rhetoric highlighting — Sentences which are persuasive-but-misleading, or which misrepresent cited work, are automatically flagged to readers or writers
• Reliability tracking — Users can effortlessly discover the track record of statements on a given topic from a given actor; those with bad records come with health warnings
• Epistemic [...]

---

First published:

February 6th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/zMuDoeXA9nBSeAc5g/some-tools-for-collective-epistemics

Linkpost URL:
https://www.forethought.org/research/design-sketches-collective-epistemics

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

“I” refers to Zach, the Centre for Effective Altruism's CEO. Oscar is CEA's Chief of Staff. We are grateful to all the CEA staff and community members who have contributed to the development and implementation of our strategy. Mistakes are of course our own.

Executive summary

One year into our 2025-26 strategy, we have reversed our programs’ negative growth trajectory from 2023-24 and will sustain that momentum in 2026 while preparing to hit much more ambitious goals from 2027 onwards:

• CEA grew the number of people engaging with our programs by 20–25% year-over-year across each tier of our engagement funnel, beating our targets of 7.5–10% without increasing spending, and reversing the moderate decreases in engagement with our programs throughout 2023–24.
• We laid the foundations for furthering our contribution to EA funding diversification by merging with EA Funds and hiring an accomplished new Director (Loic Watine).
• And we strengthened CEA's own foundations, establishing our in-house Operations Team and growing our headcount from 42 to 66 while increasing talent density, including another incoming experienced Director for our new Strategy and M&E function (Rory Fenton).

We also faced some challenges:

• Beyond the impact of EA growth on the perception of the [...]

---

Outline:

(00:34) Executive summary

(03:05) Stewardship and sustainable momentum

(04:22) Growing the EA community

(05:05) 2025

(08:17) 2026

(09:35) Improving the EA brand

(10:02) 2025

(15:24) 2026

(16:30) Diversifying EA funding

(16:50) 2025

(19:53) 2026

(21:20) Strengthening CEA

(21:38) Operations Team

(22:07) Staffing

(23:38) Spending

(24:46) Monitoring & evaluation

(25:40) EV, still

---

First published:

February 6th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Dy4iGHbAkKAQ4t2Dw/building-sustainable-momentum-progress-report-on-cea-s-2025

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

Summary: I built a simple back-of-the-envelope model of AI agent economics that combines Ord's half-life analysis of agent reliability with real inference costs. The core idea is that agent cost per successful outcome scales exponentially with task length, while human cost scales linearly. This creates a sharp viability boundary that cost reductions alone cannot meaningfully shift. The only parameter that matters much is the agent's half-life (reliability horizon), which is precisely the thing that requires the continual learning breakthrough (which I think is essential for AGI-level agents) that some place 5-20 years away. I think this has underappreciated implications for the $2T+ AI infrastructure investment thesis.

The setup

Toby Ord's "Half-Life" analysis (2025) demonstrated that AI agent success rates on tasks decay exponentially with task length, following a pattern analogous to radioactive decay. If an agent completes a 1-hour task with 50% probability, it completes a 2-hour task with roughly 25% probability and a 4-hour task with about 6%. There is a constant per-step failure probability, and because longer tasks chain more steps, success decays exponentially.

METR's 2025 data showed the 50% time horizon for the best agents was roughly 2.5-5 hours (model-dependent) and had been doubling every ~7 [...]

---

Outline:

(00:57) The setup

(02:04) The model

(03:26) Results: base case

(05:01) Finding 1: cost reductions cannot beat the exponential

(06:24) Finding 2: the half-life is the whole game

(08:02) Finding 3: task decomposition helps but has limits

(09:33) What this means for the investment thesis

(11:38) Interactive model

(11:57) Caveats and limitations

---

First published:

February 6th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2Zn23gCZrgzSLuDCn/agent-economics-a-botec-on-feasibility

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

TLDR: People plot benchmark scores over time and then do math on them, looking for speed-ups & inflection points, interpreting slopes, or extending apparent trends. But that math doesn’t actually tell you anything real unless the scores have natural units. Most don’t.

Think of benchmark scores as funhouse-mirror projections of “true” capability-space, which stretch some regions and compress others by assigning warped scores for how much accomplishing that task counts in units of “AI progress”. A plot on axes without canonical units will look very different depending on how much weight we assign to different bits of progress.[1]

Epistemic status: I haven’t vetted this post carefully, and have no real background in benchmarking or statistics.

Benchmark scores vs "units of AI progress"

Benchmarks look like rulers; they give us scores that we want to treat as (noisy) measurements of AI progress. But since most benchmark score are expressed in quite squishy units, that can be quite misleading.

• The typical benchmark is a grab-bag of tasks along with an aggregate scoring rule like “fraction completed”[2]

• ✅ Scores like this can help us...

  • Loosely rank models (“is A>B on coding ability?”)

  • Operationalize & track milestones (“can [...]

---

Outline:

(01:00) Benchmark scores vs units of AI progress

(02:42) Exceptions: benchmarks with more natural units

(04:48) Does aggregation help?

(06:27) Where does this leave us?

(06:30) Non-benchmark methods often seem better

(07:32) Mind the Y-axis problem

(09:05) Bonus notes / informal appendices

(09:13) I. A more detailed example of the Y-axis problem in action

(11:53) II. An abstract sketch of whats going on (benchmarks as warped projections)

---

First published:

February 6th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/P8jsAySQzfgkeoDgb/ai-benchmarking-has-a-y-axis-problem

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

Considering how important politics are to most EA cause areas, I find it surprising how little attention political work gets among EAs. I get the feeling that because politics are blocked from the Forum homepage, and because EA fellowships fail to mention high-leverage political work, young EAs often assume that this is not a high impact space without looking into it themselves.

Luckily, this is changing.

There is a growing movement of EAs recognizing the huge importance of politics, and realizing it's not as intractable as many of us assume. Over the past few months, we have joined together with EA club leaders from schools like Middlebury, the University of Michigan, Princeton, and MIT to create multiple curriculum/content options for EA groups to use exploring this cause area. What we've put together:

• One-week fellowship curriculum - easily added on to your existing intro or advanced fellowships! Can also be used to guide a reading-based general meeting.
• Three-week fellowship curriculum - for a deeper dive into the importance, tractability, and neglectedness of democracy preservation & U.S. politics.
• Slides presentation - for a presentator-led meeting on democracy preservation, with discussion & activities built in. 

Link to content. [...]

---

First published:

February 3rd, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XGRHy3A4oJPwG3ejd/u-s-democracy-preservation-and-politics-fellowship

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

The USDA New World Screwworm Grand Challenge represents the largest single funding opportunity for screwworm research and control technologies in decades. Applications are due February 23, 2026.

What's happening?
The New World Screwworm (NWS) is a flesh-eating fly endemic to the Americas that lays eggs in open wounds of warm-blooded animals. The larvae burrow into living flesh, consuming the host from inside. Infected animals experience excruciating pain, stop eating, and die slowly over days to weeks. This parasite occasionally infects humans too. NWS was previously eradicated from North and Central America, although containment efforts failed in 2024 and the parasite has reached Northern Mexico in January 2026.

New technologies like gene-drive-enhanced sterile insect technique (SIT) could make large-scale control and eradication faster and cheaper than ever before. The USDA Grand Challenge represents an opportunity to direct funding to developing technologies with potential applications beyond the United States southern border. Next-gen SIT and gene-drive could help extend the range of control and eradication to South America for the first time, safeguarding rural livelihoods and the wellbeing of hundreds of millions of animals.

Screwworm Free Future is supporting qualified applicants -- particularly those working in or with endemic regions [...]

---

First published:

February 5th, 2026

Source:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/QKWsxxQHni7cy3oq9/the-usda-is-investing-usd100m-in-innovation-for-screwworm

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.