Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley follow up on the contract over/unders draft and the “death ball,” banter about the signings of Rhys Hoskins and Matt Moore, weigh their current confidence levels in the A’s actually moving to Las Vegas, and consider a suggestion for a “pulling the goalie”-style tweak to baseball. Then (35:44) they talk to leading Hall of Fame election forecaster Jason Sardell about how and why he developed his probabilistic Cooperstown projection model, how it works, this year’s results and surprises, the public-private ballot split, the toughest players to project, his Hall of Fame philosophy, the shrinking of the Hall of Fame backlog, upcoming candidates and ballots, his non-baseball scientific pursuits, and much more.

Audio outro: Xavier LeBlanc, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to over/under draft results

Link to MLBTR FA top 50

Link to death ball BP article

Link to Leo on average fastballs

Link to post on unique pitches

Link to Dead Man’s Curve wiki

Link to Davy Andrews on Hoskins

Link to Brewers offseason additions

Link to MLBTR on Moore

Link to BP’s 2012 Top 101

Link to Ben on pitching prospects

Link to 2023 team RP ranks

Link to A’s update

Link to A’s payments

Link to Vegas event video

Link to MLBTR on the A’s ballpark

Link to “consequences” tweet

Link to Meg on the penalty box

Link to Beltré video

Link to Mauer video

Link to Helton video

Link to Jason’s final projections

Link to 2024 projections roundup

Link to 2023 projections roundup

Link to voting results

Link to Jay’s ballot breakdown

Link to Lewie Pollis on the voting

Link to Wagner interview

Link to Stark on Wright

Link to Posnanski suggestion

Link to SIS on Sabathia

Link to ballot tracker

Link to Thibodaux on EW

Link to Jason on MLB Network

Link to Ben on Mauer in 2018

Link to Ben on Beltré in 2017

Link to Ben on Hall of Framers

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