The biggest risks in energy may still lie ahead.
In this episode of Energy Espresso, Jim Wicklund sits down with Marshall Adkins, Managing Director and Head of Energy Investment Banking at Raymond James, to discuss how the Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz concerns, and shifting global demand have driven oil prices back toward $75.
Is the market underestimating what comes next? They explore why crude prices remained relatively resilient despite supply disruptions, China’s role in balancing the market, and what’s next for oil, inflation, and U.S. production. The conversation also highlights the long-term growth outlook for natural gas, fueled by LNG exports, data centers, and expanding energy infrastructure.
00:00 Welcome And Setup
00:52 Ceasefire Ends Oil Jumps
03:17 Supply Losses And Skepticism
05:44 Unprecedented Disruptions
06:52 China Demand Management
09:46 Refinery Outages Crack Spreads
11:10 Why Oil Stayed Low
12:42 Inventory Math Breakdown
16:52 Tank Bottoms Explained
20:12 Politics And SPR Refill
21:04 Glut From Trapped Barrels
23:41 Hormuz Control And Iran
25:51 Iran Regime And Public Optics
27:01 IRGC Survival Logic
27:54 Hormuz Rerouting Timeline
29:09 Product Shortages Inflation
30:35 Trump Middle East Leverage
32:06 Drill Baby Drill Limits
34:55 Oil Market Glut Dynamics
37:21 Gas Demand Surge Ahead
44:13 Pipelines Unlock Supply
47:42 Energy Powers Growth
51:57 Final Takeaways Volatility