This week, we’ll talk about the implications of the BRICS+ meeting, increasing long term interest rates, and the continuing vast amount of dollars coming into the U.S. stock and bond markets.

Historically, in war times, money moves out of higher geographical risk areas into U.S. dollar investments. It’s hard to predict the ebb and flow of global investment movements but, historically, when this trend ends it ends abruptly. My question is how these flows will change after the election. In the meantime, and quite independently of dollar investment flows, the global economy is either in recession or stagflation...neither which is good for job prospects nor long term stock valuations.

The foreign ownership trends of money flows into and out of the U.S. long term interest rates can be expected to continue up despite the Fed reducing short term interest rates. Higher inflation is expected in the years ahead which, by itself, keeps long term interest rates growing especially as the multiple war zones continue to impact shipping and insurance costs.