Ep. 5 — CPI Hits As Oil Surges

CPI lands before the bell while oil keeps grinding higher — not just on headlines but on real capacity damage and a tanker-fee threat. Amazon ripped 5.5% on no news, energy stocks fell even as crude climbed, and gold tapped 440 then flinched. Did the market just buy the right story a day early?

Today's stories:

• The Tape: AMZN rips on duration, oil up while XLE sinks, BTC up/COIN down
• The Footnotes: Gold taps 440 and backs off; tanker-fee threat; Saudi capacity hit
• The Nerd Corner: Why oil up and energy equities down signal a supply shock — and what the curve is saying about multiples
• The Calls: NVDA levels on hot/cool CPI, 10-year next week, and AMZN as a duration proxy

The Calls:

• Tom: If CPI is hot, NVDA trades 168 by today’s close; if CPI is cool, 192 by Friday (nothing print = 178–186 chop).
• Ray: 10-year at 4.42% by next Friday as structural inflation outweighs quick-cut hopes.
• Alex: AMZN below 228 by Friday close if CPI beats the Cleveland Fed nowcast (4.4% headline, 2.6% core).

New episode every weekday before US market open.
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