Welcome to Episode 10 of Dubai Daily - your strategic guide to market timing and off-plan investment in 2025-2026.

**MARKET FORECAST 2025-2026:**

📊 **Overall Market:**

- Average property values: +8% through end of 2025

- Potential correction: 5-10% in H2 2025/early 2026

- Market recalibration (not reversal)

- Transition from speed to selectivity

💎 **Luxury Segment:**

- Historic highs: $2.6B in $10M+ home transactions (Q2 2025)

- Prime/waterfront zones: +4-6% through end-2025

- Limited availability + strong international demand

- Value retention expected

🏘️ **Mid-Market Segment:**

- Potential correction: 10-15% where supply concentrated

- High rental yields expected

- Quality assets favored over quick-flips

**SUPPLY SURGE 2025-2026:**

📈 **Handover Projections:**

- 2024: ~30,000 units

- 2025: ~90,000 units

- 2026: ~120,000 units

- Total 2025-2026: 210,000+ new units (80% increase vs 2024)

⚖️ **Supply vs Demand:**

- Largest supply wave in over a decade

- Moderate price pressure in resale-heavy/overbuilt zones

- Historical completions: ~56% of projections (softens oversupply risk)

- Dubai population: 4M+ by 2026 (3-3.5% CAGR)

🚀 **Demand Drivers:**

- D33 Economic Agenda

- Golden Visa (AED 2M minimum)

- Mega infrastructure projects

- Population inflows + expatriate demand

**OFF-PLAN INVESTMENT STRATEGY (NOVEMBER 2025):**

💰 **Pricing Advantage:**

- 15-30% lower than completed units

- Payment plans: 10-20% down + staggered installments

- Post-handover payment options available

📈 **Capital Appreciation:**

- Market growth: 5-8% in 2025 (some forecasts 10%)

- Off-plan appreciation: 15-25% by completion

- Benefit from appreciation before handover

🏆 **Rental Yields:**

- Typical: 6-8% (above global averages)

- Select projects: Up to 12%

- Short-term rentals: +18% forecast in 2025

✅ **Investor Benefits:**

- Zero property tax

- No capital gains tax

- Golden Visa eligibility (AED 2M+, even off-plan)

- Developer incentives (waived DLD fees, rental guarantees)

- Escrow regulations protect investor funds

**STRATEGIC LOCATIONS:**

🏘️ **Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC):**

- Rental yield: 7.82%

- Steady cash flow: 7-10% annually

- Affordable homes + community feel

🛫 **Dubai South:**

- Growth potential: 44.7% by 2026

- Stable rental yields

- Strategic location (Al Maktoum Airport)

🌊 **Creek Harbour:**

- Growth potential: 32.5% by 2026

- Waterfront living

- Sustainability + luxury focus

🏙️ **Other High-Demand Areas:**

- Downtown Dubai: High yields + capital appreciation

- Business Bay: Luxury residences leader

- Palm Jumeirah: Ultra-luxury, resilient demand

- Dubai Hills: Family-friendly, green spaces

**RECENT MARKET ACTIVITY (OCT 27-31, 2025):**

💵 **Transaction Volume:**

- Total: AED 20.57B ($5.6B)

- Sales: 4,461 transactions

- Sales value: AED 16.76B ($4.6B)

📊 **Year-to-Date (Through October):**

- Total property sales: AED 559B

- Surpassed entire 2024 record (AED 522.1B)

- Sustained investor confidence

**INVESTOR TAKEAWAY:**

November 2025 = strategic window for off-plan investment. Market maturing with measured growth. Focus: Creek Harbour + Dubai South (capital appreciation), JVC (rental yield 7-10%). Golden Visa: AED 2M+ investment. Choose DLD/RERA-verified developers. Plan long-term (medium to long-term gains). Diversify locations + property types.

Hosted by Parag Kundalwal, Founder & CEO of Consultaa.