What's Hot What's Not CRE

Episode 50: $3 Trillion Data Center Supercycle — The 2026 Capital Flow Map


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Episode 50 of What's Hot, What's Not C.R.E. — your daily commercial real estate market briefing. Today's Topic: Investor Outlook — Where Smart Money Is Moving 

🔥 What's Hot: • Data centers — 95% of global investors increasing spending, $3T supercycle through 2030 • Construction set to surpass traditional office building • Power access (20-60MW capacity) is the new land grab • Industrial — e-commerce at 16% of retail sales (up from 11% in 2019) • Multifamily value-add — 2/3 of investors prefer value-add and core-plus strategies • Class B workforce housing in supply-constrained markets • Grocery-anchored retail — limited supply, necessity-based tenants 

❄️ What's Not: • Suburban and Class B office outside prime locations — CMBS delinquencies at 12.34% • National office vacancy still at 18.2% • $1.5 trillion in CRE debt maturing by year-end • Distressed office hit 10-year high in 2025 • Sun Belt Class A multifamily — concessions heavy, rent growth flat to negative 

💡 Why It Matters: 55% of investors increasing CRE allocations (up from 48% last year). But they're targeting durable income, not speculative plays. Value-add and core-plus dominate. Opportunistic strategies declining. 

🎯 Investor Takeaway: Follow the capital: data centers, industrial, Class B multifamily, grocery-anchored retail. Avoid office outside prime locations. Underwrite conservatively — deals getting done work at today's rates. 

🌐 Visit hotnotcre.com to learn more and subscribe to our newsletter. 

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What's Hot What's Not CREBy Alan Pavlosky