What's Hot What's Not CRE

Episode 70: Office Delinquency Hits Record 12.34% — Weekly Wrap-Up


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It's Friday, March 27th, 2026 — time for your weekly CRE market wrap-up.

WHAT'S HOT:

  • Data centers at 97% global occupancy — landlords have serious negotiating leverage
  • $3 trillion in data center infrastructure investment expected by 2030
  • Retail pricing expected to hit record highs in 2026
  • Shopping center foot traffic up 1% YoY to 10.1 billion visits
  • Office vacancy down to 17.6% in February — down 2 percentage points YoY
  • Office attendance at nearly 70% of pre-pandemic levels
  • MBA forecasts $805 billion in CRE originations for 2026 (+27% from 2025)
  • Commercial mortgage rates between 5.71% and 5.96%
  • 10-year Treasury at 4.15%

WHAT'S NOT:

  • Office CMBS delinquency hit record 12.34%
  • Overall CMBS delinquency at 7.47%
  • $3.18 billion in CMBS loans hitting hard maturity this month
  • 17% of outstanding commercial mortgage balances mature in 2026
  • Industrial cooling — vacancy stabilizing, rent growth moderate
  • Power constraints limiting data center expansion
  • Data center construction costs averaging $11.3M per megawatt

DEALS OF THE WEEK:

  • Prologis & GIC: $1.6B logistics joint venture
  • Breakthrough Properties: $465M CMBS loan for San Diego life science campus
  • EQT Real Estate: 2M SF infill logistics portfolio in Southern New Jersey
  • SL Green JV: $1.7B refi in progress for Manhattan building

INVESTOR TAKEAWAY:

Data centers and retail are leading. Office is stabilizing but watch the delinquencies. Industrial is normalizing after years of outperformance. Capital is flowing — focus on quality assets with strong fundamentals.

#CommercialRealEstate #CRE #WeeklyWrapUp #DataCenters #OfficeRealEstate #RetailRealEstate #Industrial #CMBS #CapitalMarkets #RealEstateInvesting #CREInvesting #MarketUpdate #Delinquency #Prologis #SLGreen #LifeScience #Logistics #MultifamilyInvesting #RealEstateNews #InvestorInsights #DailyPodcast #WhatsHotWhatsNot]]>

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What's Hot What's Not CREBy Alan Pavlosky