ESBC NFLAnd Sports Betting Podcast Network

Bottom line 75-45=62% (52.5% is breakeven) $25,300.00 (Betting $1000.00 per game)

Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigation

Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.

https://linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork

Syracuse +14 vs. Clemson


 Buffalo -9 vs. Ohio

Buffalo has not played particularly well so far this season, but I believe they are a much stronger team in this matchup. Ohio is weak in the trenches. Last week they gave up 461 yards of total offense to Central Michigan. I don’t expect Buffalo to have much of an issue moving the ball. The Bulls will defend the home turf in this one.

Trends: Buffalo is 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 home games. Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS after an ATS loss.

Northwestern +2 vs. Rutgers


Rutgers/Northwestern under 45

This game has defensive battle written all over it. Northwestern has the 109th ranked offense in college football. And Rutgers has struggled all year long to finish drives with a touchdown. The under is 50-19-1 in Northwestern last 70 home games. Under is 13-5 in Rutgers last 18 road game. Take the under in this one.

Vanderbilt/South Carolina under 51

Vanderbilts offense has simply been horrible so far this year. They haven’t been able to get anything going at all against SEC opponents. I don’t expect them to put it together this weekend in front of a roaring South Carolina crowd. South Carolina’s offense is poor as well, I think the point total is too high by about a touchdown in this game. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games on the road. I’d be shocked in this one hits the over, but hey I’ve been wrong before.

Alabama -17 @ Mississippi State

Nick Saban and co. will travel to Mississippi State this weekend following a horrible loss against Texas A&M. Don’t look to far into that loss, Alabama is still Alabama and this is set up perfectly for a classic bounce back game. History has shown that Alabama tends to blow teams out of the water after losing the previous week. That’s what I fully expect to happen here. Take Bama, roll tide.

Trend: Alabama is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 SEC games.

Ole Miss -2.5 @ Tennessee

Tennessee has won games against Bowling Green, Tennessee Tech, Missouri, and South Carolina so far this season. None of these impress me. What does impress me is Ole Miss putting up 52 points on Arkansas last week. Ole Miss has the future Heisman winner on their side. Matt Carroll will light it up yet again this week and Ole Miss will take down Tennessee.

TCU/Oklahoma over 65

TCU has hit the over in three of the last four. They give up 31 points or more over that stretch. Oklahoma has gone over 37 points in 4 of the last 6 outings and has hit the over in each. Neither team has a strong defense, this game should be a shootout. I love the over in this game.

Army +14 @ Wisconsin

This game will be played at a very slow pace that will help army keep this within 14 points. The Black Knights have been strong against the run, giving up only 54 rushing yards per game, good enough for third in the country. This is important because Wisconsin’s bread and butter is power football. When they are forced to throw the ball, they are wildly ineffective. Mertz has thrown seven interceptions and just two touchdowns so far this season. If Army can hold down the trenches the way I believe they can, they can keep this game within 14 points and maybe even pull off an upset.

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

We give out all of the picks every game ; the side and every over/under
Hardest working NFL Sportsbetting Podcast
We want people to learn business finance and to increase happiness watching football games, collaborate
& laugh with the betting public & anyone else

Bet Like A Pro . And Grow To Be A Pro
You learn more from the bets you got wrong than the bets you got right
We are the Bloomberg ; CNBC And Fox Business Of Sportsbetting
Link To Hawthorne Effect
www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hawthorne-effect.asp

“Most expensive advice is bad advice”
Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services

"Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigates
Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian
Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.

scott cobe
@sjcobe1
Follows you
High stakes football manager and avid podcast listener i now am a fantasy football writer and contributor#sfb11 wb2021 and #effc3 and Pollys playoff league

Process is


1)Research


2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)

3)Rigorously apply logic


4) Make a good decision that consistently results in free cash flow, profit and money.

Podcast is actionable information in real time to monetize the outcomes of the games

However "Salesman think short term-businessman and women think long term"
We have 1000% ROI -Return on investment. "Higher level thinking is long term thinking"
Meaning 10 times more money than what you started with by listening o the Podcast
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Regression To The Mean

As Robert Glazer writes "The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.

Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.

We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. "

Per Ian O'connor book Belicheat figured out how to use an illegal Lacrosse stick. Bilicheat does it for the thrill ; not for money or even competitive advantage
"Regression to the mean" plays out its importance with betting lines

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.

scott cobe

@sjcobe1

Follows you

High stakes football manager and avid podcast listener i now am a fantasy football writer and contributor#sfb11 wb2021 and #effc3 and Pollys playoff league

Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigates

Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"

Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork

Bottomline : 21-15=58% (23 Weeks Straight Profit) (103-64=62%) (52.5% is Breakeven)

We are the Bloomberg, CNBC And Fox Business of #sportsbetting #nflbetting #collegefootballbetting and #collegebasketballbetting
Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.
scott cobe
@sjcobe1
Follows you
High stakes football manager and avid podcast listener i now am a fantasy football writer and contributor#sfb11 wb2021 and #effc3 and Pollys playoff league
Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigates
Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian
linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

62-33=65% *= $29,000 profit looking for the same this week
https://linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Bottom line 82 wins verses 49 Losses =$28,900 profit

All picks are 100% every game ; every over/under

Hardest working NFL Sportsbetting Podcast

We want people to learn business finance and to increase happiness watching football games, collaborate
& laugh with the betting public & anyone else

Bet Like A Pro . And Grow To Be A Pro

You learn more from the bets you got wrong than the bets you got right

We are the Bloomberg ; CNBC And Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Link To Hawthorne Effect

www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hawthorne-effect.asp

“Most expensive advice is bad advice”
Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigation

Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.

scott cobe
@sjcobe1
Follows you
High stakes football manager and avid podcast listener i now am a fantasy football writer and contributor#sfb11 wb2021 and #effc3 and Pollys playoff league

Process is

1)Research

2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)
3)Rigorously apply logic

4) Make a good decision that consistently results in free cash flow, profit and money.

Podcast is actionable information in real time to monetize the outcomes of the games

However "Salesman think short term-businessman and women think long term"
We have 1000% ROI -Return on investment. "Higher level thinking is long term thinking"
Meaning 10 times more money than what you started with by listening o the Podcast
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Regression To The Mean

As Robert Glazer writes "The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.

Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.

We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. "

Per Ian O'connor book Belicheat figured out how to use an illegal Lacrosse stick. Bilicheat does it for the thrill ; not for money or even competitive advantage

"Regression to the mean" plays out its importance with betting lines
https://josuevizcay.medium.com/top-10-rules-for-betting-gambling-nfl-cfb-and-college-basketball-bdc7d132490

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This Episode We go over the "Bets we got wrong"

21-11=65% Wk *(52.5% is break even) "Ground Hog Day"

60-38=62% (Year To Date) =$19,000.00 ish profit

You learn more from the bets you got wrong than the bets you got right

Link To Hawthorne Effect

www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hawthorne-effect.asp

“Most expensive advice is bad advice”

Process is

1)Research

2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)
3)Rigorously apply logic

4) Make a good decision that consistently results in free cash flow, profit and money.

Podcast is actionable information in real time to monetize the outcomes of the games

However "Salesman think short term-businessman and women think long term"
We have 1000% ROI -Return on investment. "Higher level thinking is long term thinking"
Meaning 10 times more money than what you started with by listening o the Podcast
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Regression To The Mean

As Robert Glazer writes "The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.

Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.

We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore th

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"

Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

We are the Bloomberg, CNBC And Fox Business of #sportsbetting #nflbetting #collegefootballbetting and #collegebasketballbetting

Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigates
Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

https://linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

21-11=66% wk 3 *(52.5% is break even)

60-38=62% (Year To Date) =$19,000.00 ish profit

Bet Like A Pro . And Grow To Be A Pro

You learn more from the bets you got wrong than the bets you got right

We are the Bloomberg ; CNBC And Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Link To Hawthorne Effect

www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hawthorne-effect.asp

“Most expensive advice is bad advice”
Josh Vizcay MBA - Financial Services "Makes Money As Financial Services Professional -Tax Mitigates

Money For Business And Wealthy Individuals"
Also County Boards, City Councils, and local Political Corruption Historian

Chad Nolan @cnolan3 is an accomplished College Football and Arena League Football player who has worked with big time NFL and current college football players.

scott cobe
@sjcobe1
Follows you
High stakes football manager and avid podcast listener i now am a fantasy football writer and contributor#sfb11 wb2021 and #effc3 and Pollys playoff league

Process is

1)Research

2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)
3)Rigorously apply logic

4) Make a good decision that consistently results in free cash flow, profit and money.

Podcast is actionable information in real time to monetize the outcomes of the games

However "Salesman think short term-businessman and women think long term"
We have 1000% ROI -Return on investment. "Higher level thinking is long term thinking"
Meaning 10 times more money than what you started with by listening o the Podcast
Bet The Process This is the CNBC Bloomberg Fox Business Of Sportsbetting

Regression To The Mean

As Robert Glazer writes "The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.

Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.

We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. "

Per Ian O'connor book Bilcheat figured out how to use an illegal Lacrosse stick. Bilicheat does it for the thrill ; not for money or even competitive advantage

"Regression to the mean" plays out its importance with betting lines

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe