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Dr. Sam Savage is the gifted teacher all of us would have loved having as our professor in stats classes.

Sam is the author of The Flaw of Averages and Chancification. During this conversation, we talk about the arithmetic of uncertainty, probability management,  and the limitations of risk matrixes. And we do it on a fifth-grade level.

Listen on: Apple Podcasts   Spotify

Listen on: Apple Podcasts   Spotify

MBA school professor, Dr. Wayne Winston, from Indiana University Kelley School of Business joins to discuss how powerful data can be in solving problems and making decisions. He shares about his work with several NBA basketball teams, is a Jeopardy winner, a published author and an expert at Microsoft Excel. This wide-ranging conversation covers everything from decision making to how you can up your Excel game.

There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.

Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.

Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach--that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information--in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science (Columbia UP, 2021) explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data--and how to fix it.

Galina Limorenko is a doctoral candidate in Neuroscience with a focus on biochemistry and molecular biology of neurodegenerative diseases at EPFL in Switzerland.

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There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.

Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.

Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach--that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information--in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science (Columbia UP, 2021) explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data--and how to fix it.

Galina Limorenko is a doctoral candidate in Neuroscience with a focus on biochemistry and molecular biology of neurodegenerative diseases at EPFL in Switzerland.

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In Episode 64 of the 4OURPLAY Swinger Podcast, Bella and Jase give you an in-depth, honest comparison of Temptation Resort vs Desire Resort in Cancun Mexico and tell you everything you need to know. They go into detail about the accommodations, food, parties, demographic, and more!

Book your vacation here: 4ourplay.com/travel

Desire RM Full Review

Temptation Resort Full Review

Mentioned in this episode:

Jase’s song of the week: Maybe You’re The Problem by Ava Max

Jase’s obsession of the week: Topgun: Maverick

Bella’s song of the week: Juice by Ariana Grande

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In Episode 57 of the 4OURPLAY Swinger Podcast, Bella and Jase give you an in-depth, honest review about Temptation Resort in Cancun Mexico and tell you everything you need to know. They go into detail about the accommodations, food, parties, demographic, and more!

Book your Temptation vacation here: 4ourplay.com/travel

Mentioned in this episode:

Jase’s song of the week: Firestarter by Dua Lipa

Bella’s song of the week: You by Ariana Grande

Bella’s obsession of the week: The Morning Show

Where else to find us:

Website: http://4ourplay.com/

Come party with us! https://4ourplay.com/events

4OURPLAY The Game: http://4ourplay.com/games

Shop our swingers merch : http://4ourplay.com/shop

Subscribe to our Youtube!

E-mail: [email protected]

Ask us a question: http://4ourplay.com/ask

Join Our Discord Server!: 4OURPLAY Swinging Community

Join Our Facebook Group!: 4OURPLAY Community

Twitter: http://twitter.com/4ourplaypodcast

Instagram: @4ourplayofficial

TikTok: http://tiktok.com/@4ourplay

Bella’s Instagram: http://instagram.com/heybellaluna

Jase’s Instagram: http://instagram.com/heyjaseb

Bella’s VIP OnlyFans: http://onlyfans.com/bellalunavip

Bella’s Free OnlyFans: http://onlyfans.com/bellalunafree

Sign up for OnlyFans!

Get SDC Full Membership for 30 days FREE

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*Some links may contain affiliate links!