Footy IQ

NRL Grand Final preview and prelim finals review. Footy IQ breaks down how the Newcastle Knights beat Penrith with 12 men for 44 minutes, and what they'll need to survive the Sydney Roosters' pack on Sunday night.

Chris Danks and Blake Austin unpack why Penrith couldn't break a 12-man line: Dylan Edwards' decisions, Cogger and Cole's ball share, and Blaize Talagi's night against Bradman Best. Then the Knights' long-range attack, with tries averaging 57.3 metres out (h/t Rugby League Eye Test). Plus the Crossland send-off and Blake's case that the NRL can't send-off its way out of the hip-drop problem.

On the Roosters: Sam Walker's return, Robert Toia, Naufahu Whyte, Lindsay Collins, and Mark Nawaqanitawase's intercepts. In the GF preview, can the Knights hold up for the first 20, target Daly Cherry-Evans with lead-and-sweep shifts, and will Kalyn Ponga finally have his 20 minutes?

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Finals Week 2 is done and the NRL is down to four. Chris Danks and Blake Austin break down a weekend that ended with Ashley Klein withdrawn from preliminary final consideration — and ask why the game reversed its own rule interpretation inside seven days.

Blake goes deep on Cronulla: why this isn't a rebuild, why the Sharks are obsessed with the long side of the field, what a fresh set of eyes would unlock in Nicho Hynes and Will Kennedy, and the question nobody at the club seems willing to answer — why not just swap the numbers on Hynes and Braydon Trindall?

Plus: why the Warriors' defence didn't actually collapse, why a home crowd can be a hindrance, the case for a second New Zealand team, Phoenix Crossland and the halfback-to-hooker path, our full NRL Team of the Year, and why Blake still has Andrew Webster as Coach of the Year ahead of Justin Holbrook.

Blake's Big Call Alert: Penrith is the best possible draw Newcastle could have got.

Four finals, four good games, and one question the NRL won't answer: why did Cronulla lose their home final, and why is the crowd conversation being pinned on fans?Howabout...tell us the actual reason, then show us that moving it fixed anything. And if we're going to play finals in big stadiums, work out how to fill them, because $9 for a Cornetto and four kids is $36 before you've sat down.Also: Cleary cleared, defending Kalyn Ponga, the double-movement rule rewritten, and why the Warriors did everything right and still don't have a knockout punch.

NRL finals 2026 are here, and the Warriors v Dolphins qualifying final at Go Media Stadium might be the closest fixture of the lot. Two meetings this season, both decided by two points, 44-all on aggregate — and Saturday is the first time these two have met at Go Media all year.

Chris Danks and Blake Austin unpack Andrew Webster's edge defence argument and whether he's right that it's the less alarming kind of problem, why the Dolphins' first 20 minutes will decide the game, and why fatigue is the thing that actually breaks an edge.

Also on the show: whether Penrith have the easiest path of any minor premier in years, the 50-point rule that rules three teams out of contention, why Erin Clark and Wayde Egan still don't get the credit they deserve, how a field goal is really set up, and what the Storm did against 12 men that nobody else is doing.

Footy IQ is smart footy talk — systems, decision-making and trends over hot takes.

Fitzgibbon said his side is uptight. That's an unusual thing for a coach to say out loud a week out from a final — and it raises a question we spent most of this episode on: what can a coach actually do about it in seven days? Simplify the game plan, shorten the shift, change the kicking pattern — or is "uptight" just the word we reach for after a side gets beaten?

Plus Blake on what makes Cody Walker different from every other five-eighth in the game, and why Sam Walker's injury might quietly help the Roosters.

The Warriors are top of the ladder, 8-2 at home, and every pundit in the country is treating a finals trip to Auckland like a death sentence. Blake Austin isn't convinced the players see it that way — he reckons most finals sides will still turn up with an arrogance about it, and that he'd have wanted the trip himself.

Plus: Adam Reynolds' career ends on a calf strain, Josh Papali'i's last home game in Canberra, why every contender is suddenly carrying a bopper on the bench, and what Blake got wrong about Penrith last week.

Penrith lost 12-6 on Thursday night and looked more like Penrith than they have in a month. The Roosters needed near-best footy and a very specific plan to beat them — hammering the Panthers' left edge until Daly Cherry-Evans found the space twice in a game that produced three tries all night. Chris and Blake break down what that actually means for both sides come September.

Plus: why the Warriors' system is built well enough that Luke Hansen can start at halfback with one NRL game to his name, why everyone should want to play the Cowboys right now, and Canberra's edge speed exposing Cronulla.

Penrith say Isaah Yeo won't need surgery — but they still have four weeks to solve a problem they haven't had to solve all year. Chris Danks and Blake Austin on what actually changes without him.

Also this week: Ricky Stuart's press conference after Canberra's elimination and the one decision he singled out; how the Warriors' 28-12 win over Penrith became a blueprint; why Cronulla's loss to the Dragons is less alarming than it looks; Manly's big off-season; whether the Dolphins are a genuine premiership threat (Blake isn't convinced); and the Cameron Munster MRC decision — should how badly a player is hurt change the grading of the tackle?

Footy IQ is a tactical NRL show from The Sporting News — systems, decisions and trends, not hot takes. New episodes every week.

Penrith have lost just four games all season — to the Bulldogs (Rd 6), Titans (Rd 16), Cowboys (Rd 17) and Broncos (Rd 20). We break down every single one of those losses to see if there's a genuine blueprint hiding in there, or if the Panthers are just occasionally, unpredictably beatable. Plus: Laurie Daley steps down as NSW coach, Sam Walker's night with the ledger, and why Parramatta's coach wasn't happy despite the win.

Footy IQ breaks down the Adam Doueihi situation at the Wests Tigers — and takes a different angle to most of the coverage. The guys argue that most every current NRL commentator or ex-player in media was a 300-game star, and their idea of what "being a team player" means is shaped by never having to sacrifice their spot — a perspective most guys in Doueihi's position never get.

We cover the full timeline (the Luai release fallout, the team-sheet snub, the judiciary hearing, the 56-10 loss to Canberra) and make the case that Doueihi could repair a lot of the fallout simply by admitting it was an emotional decision and that he's genuinely invested in the club.