<p>The UBK Guys review their State of the Union bets including a discussion of the bandwagon effect and assess the government shutdown market.</p>

The UBK Guys review their State of the Union bets including a discussion of the bandwagon effect and assess the government shutdown market.

Forecasting the Government Shutdown

<p>A pair of long-time investors and social scientists navigate the prediction market with a focus on politics and the heuristic biases that derail most speculators.</p>

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A pair of long-time investors and social scientists navigate the prediction market with a focus on politics and the heuristic biases that derail most speculators.

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Forecasting the Government Shutdown

Forecasting the Government Shutdown