In this episode, Anthony Vinci, founder and CEO of VICO, explains how his company is using AI, mathematics, and data science to forecast global events and improve high-stakes decision-making. Drawing on his background in intelligence, technology, hedge funds, private equity, and his book The Fourth Intelligence Revolution, Vinci breaks down why leaders need to think in probabilities rather than binary outcomes. The conversation explores prediction markets, geopolitical risk, supply-chain resilience, AI’s impact on startups, and why modern entrepreneurs need to build forecasting into how they run their businesses.