Summary: Anthropic has many employees with an EA-ish outlook, who may

soon have a lot of money. If you also have that kind of outlook, money

donated sooner will likely be much higher impact.

It's December, and I'm trying to figure out how much to donate. This is usually a

straightforward question: give 50%. But this

year I'm considering dipping into savings.

There are many EAs and EA-informed employees at Anthropic, which has

been very successful and is reportedly

considering an

IPO. The Manifold

market estimates a median IPO date of June 2027:

At a floated $300B valuation and many EAs among their early employees,

the amount of additional funding could be in the billions. Efforts

I'd most want to support may become less constrained by money than

capacity: as I've experienced in running the NAO, scaling programs takes time.

This means donations now seem more valuable; ones that help

organizations get into a position to productively apply further

funding especially so.

In retrospect I wish I'd been able to support 80,000 Hours more substantially

before Open Philanthropy Coefficient

Giving began funding them; this time, with more ability to see

what's likely [...]

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December 3rd, 2025

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rRBaP7YbXfZibSn3C/front-load-giving-because-of-anthropic-donors