Did the Rams win the Super Bowl in February, or did I just dream that?In sports betting, we're used to reigning champs being priced at the top of the market when a new season rolls around. That's thanks in part to shaky-but-popular syllogisms like, "the champ is the champ until someone beats them." The Rams are something of an exception. The Chiefs and Bills are both bigger favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Rams aren't even the favorite to win the NFC -- that's Tampa. Why are the Rams viewed so skeptically, compared to other recent Super Bowl winners? As is often the case, an unpopular favorite may ultimately be a sharp one.Later... a conversation on one of the most misused words in sports betting: value.Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/You can view the NFC West betting page here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/events/2022-23-nfl-futures-12707936?market=96Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheLionsEdgeLion's Edge Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thelionsedge/Lion's Edge TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lionsedgepod

We all know the Deshaun Watson stuff is weird and creepy. But the Cleveland Browns are still going to suit up for 17 NFL games this season, with or without him available to play quarterback. And here's the thing... while we've all been concentrating on the (obviously horrible) Watson news, we seem to have forgotten something that's been in front of our faces now for 2+ years -- the Browns are actually pretty good. Sure, Baker Mayfield tore his labrum in the middle of last season, but beyond that, the Browns have a top-5 offensive line, a genuinely good head coach, good skill guys, and arguably the best pass rusher in the league. They've also got a schedule that should give them six or seven easy wins, regardless of who hands the ball off to the running back.This week on The Lion's Edge, Chase makes a compelling case for betting the cast-offs of the AFC North: Cleveland (+300) and Pittsburgh (+900). You're going to want to hear this before placing your final divisional bets.Airhorn: taking advantage of Sean McVay's infamous preseason apathy. The pod explains why Chargers -3.5 is still a bet, even on the far side of a key number.Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/You can view the AFC North betting page here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/events/2022-23-nfl-futures-12707936?market=90Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheLionsEdgeLion's Edge Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thelionsedge/Lion's Edge TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lionsedgepod

The AFC West is the only NFL Division where absolutely any team could finish first, and absolutely any team could finish last. The Chiefs (+155) are the obvious favorite, given their recent team history, but the Chargers (+230) and Broncos (+260) are both very live. Even the Raiders (+650!) were a playoff team in 2021.The Broncos may have made the most dramatic offseason upgrade when they finally fixed their longstanding quarterback woes by acquiring Super Bowl-winning quarterback Russell Wilson. Wilson makes the Broncos instant championship contenders... assuming that Denver can stay healthy, that is.This week, I asked Cody Roark (Mile High Sports; Locked on Broncos Podcast) to join me to discuss Wilson, Broncos odds, and all things AFC West.Airhorn: a small play on the total in this week's 2022 NFL Hall of Fame Game, plus a recap of some very profitable tennis plays from Wednesday night. Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/You can view the AFC West betting page here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/events/2022-23-nfl-futures-12707936?market=92Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheLionsEdgeLion's Edge Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thelionsedge/Lion's Edge TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lionsedgepod

Of all the NFL divisional championship prices available at BetMGM, the number for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is the one that dramatically stands out. Many favorites have modest prices, somewhere between -120 and +150; Tampa is -300.The NFC South is not particularly competitive, with Carolina looking listless and Atlanta still rebuilding. But the Saints still look good, and there's crazy value on New Orleans at +375 -- especially considering that the Saints have owned Tampa throughout the regular season during the Brady era.Is it worth buying Tampa at such an insane cost? How does the Julio Jones signing mesh with the current depth chart? And what on Earth happened with Tom Brady this offseason?For all that and more, Chase invites on Tampa Bay reporter Bobby Thompson (Bucs Report) to set the record straight.You can view the NFC South betting page here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/events/2022-23-nfl-futures-12707936?market=95Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheLionsEdgeLion's Edge Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thelionsedge/Lion's Edge TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lionsedgepod

We're all the way back, baby! Quinton Mayo (BetMGM Tonight) joins the show to help Chase break down the NFC East odds market. No team has won the NFC East in back-to-back years since the Eagles did it in 2003-04, nearly 20 years ago. The Dallas offense got noticeably worse in the offseason, while Philadelphia and Washington made major upgrades. So why should anyone bet Dallas at the top of the market? Quinton and Chase hash it out.NFL Divisional odds at BetMGM as of this episode's publication:Dallas Cowboys +120Philadelphia Eagles +190Washington Commanders +500New York Giants +650You can view that betting page here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/football-11Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheLionsEdgeLion's Edge Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thelionsedge/Lion's Edge TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lionsedgepod

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With Andrew taking some time off, Chase has an hour-long dive into one of the show's most consistently requested topics: how does Chase consistently identify all these seemingly random winning tennis bets?In today's exploratory episode, BetMGM writer & analyst Chase Kiddy explains his proven method of betting on tennis. With absolutely nothing held back, here's the full explanation of how a system of contrarian favorites, modest underdogs, and smart parlays have scored a 65% win rate and 12% ROI.