Southeastern 16

Georgia vs. Alabama Predictions: SEC Football Week 5


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Alabama travels to Georgia for a 6:30 Central kickoff on Saturday night in a game televised on ABC. Georgia is a 3 1/2-point favorite on FanDuel as of Monday morning. Jay Greeson and Chris Lee discuss the matchup and hit the following topics:

Georgia’s Kirby Smart is just 1-6 against Alabama, including a loss to the Crimson Tide last year under Kalen DeBoer. However, the Bulldogs carry a 33-game home winning streak, last losing in Athens to South Carolina in double overtime on Oct. 14, 2019? Which quarterback is more ready for the big stage? Gunner Stockton was clutch, leading Georgia from eight points down in the final minutes in Knoxville two weeks ago by hitting London Humphreys with a beautiful touchdown strike and then hitting Zechariah Branch with a 2-point conversion before the Bulldogs won in overtime. On the other hand, Alabama’s Ty Simpson is 41-for-46 for 608 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions since the Florida State loss. Who has the play-making edge? Georgia’s receiving corps is thought to be better than last year’s, with even second-teamers like Humphreys being good enough to make big plays. As for Alabama, Germie Bernard has been consistently good and Ryan Williams (who made the biggest play in last year’s game) has shined in his return from injury. Will Alabama’s Jam Miller return from injury? And if he does, how much will it matter if Alabama’s offensive line doesn’t perform closer to its potential? Who’ll keep possession of the ball? Georgia is running 80 plays to the opponents' 58 on average, while Alabama held the ball for 52 of 103 offensive snaps in its last game two weeks ago vs. Wisconsin. Which defense is better? Georgia gave up 371 passing yards to Tennessee but played the run respectably (4.1 per carry on true running plays), while Alabama gave up 149 yards (ULM) and 209 (Wisconsin) its last two games. Analytical models have this one as a virtual toss-up, with Georgia favored by a half-point at home (with a 2 1/2-point home-field advantage factored in).

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Southeastern 16By Southeastern 14, Bleav

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