Iran, NATO increased spending, video addictions.

Executive summary

After US airstrikes damaged Iranian nuclear facilities, a ceasefire between Iran and Israel has so far largely held. Iran did not close the Strait of Hormuz. Khamenei and the Islamic Republic remain in power; Khamenei is still in hiding and may not be well. Iranian officials have expressed their intent to resume the country's nuclear program, which is a sticking point for potential future negotiations with the US.

Forecasters estimate an 8% (5% to 30%) chance of regime change in Iran by the end of August, and a 19% (10% to 70%) chance by the end of the year. On whether Khamenei specifically will officially be in power, their estimates are 85% (65% to 92%) [...]

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Outline:

(00:15) Executive summary

(01:59) Geopolitics

(02:02) Middle East

(02:05) Iran

(08:44) Gaza

(09:44) United States

(09:47) Legal

(10:37) Tariffs and trade

(13:03) Europe

(14:07) Asia

(14:31) Africa

(14:49) AI and Technology

(18:12) Biorisks

(19:21) Climate and Nature

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Source:

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.