I was musing about the 'con' in con-man lately. It's obviously short for confidence. The con-man sells you something false, empty or non-existent. We get glamoured by his confidence. We eat it up. He could sell us anything: snake oil, Trump Steaks, a degree from Trump University, we could donate to the Trump Foundation. But those were the wares he offered when he was merely a grifter on the economic stage. His power to promise (and fail to deliver) has multiplied and metastasized as he tasted actual political power when a plurality of voters actually chose him to lead our nation in 2016 and again in 2024.
I keep hearing how 2025 is going to be better economically and I welcome this. While certain people don't want to talk politics, they allude to things getting better under Trump, even though this didn't bear out in his first term. And since Musk is signaling he won't let Trump tank the economy to please the racist whims of the base, I can only imagine it will be more of the same tough talk and empty promises. Clearly the ultra-wealthy run Trump and prefer the policies of Biden so we will have more Neo-liberalism sprinkled with Trump's attempts to tear down entitlements and the regulatory state. Doing so would further assist the oligarchs in their relentless extraction of wealth from every crack and crevice of the economy.
But what the common Trump voter wants is a quick fix of confidence: a reason to trust that the economy will be ok, even as they vote against their interests. And to that extent, Trump has delivered. Even if his collection of promises is a cesspool of hate and bluster, lies and bad ideas. Because they voted for the dictionary definition of the Anti-Christ.
And who could have been more of a polar opposite of Donald Trump, you ask? A true Christian, a tireless worker, devoted husband and family man, a soldier, a farmer, a nuclear engineer, and an honest man. That man was former President Jimmy Carter.
Carter died recently. I was discussing his life and Presidency with some friends at the gym and came to the conclusion that the narrative around his Presidency was as negatively mythologized as Reagan's was falsely inflated. I watched a speech where Carter spoke of a 'Crisis of Confidence.'
It was an interesting speech to watch and read all these 48 years later. An honest man shared what his constituents had told him about the economy, energy crisis and inflation, high interest rates and the Iran hostages. He spoke candidly to a weary populace: a nation reeling in the wake of Watergate and Viet Nam where we lost almost 60,000 soldiers and killed more than 2 million in Southeast Asia. Our nation was lost in a morass of political corruption, endless war and economic stagnation. A nation that had lost its innocence in the 60s was losing its trust that our government could shepherd us through a changing economic landscape. The economies that had been destroyed in WW2 were catching up to us and we didn't have an answer. Gas lines and high interest rates made the formerly prosperous Middle Class suffer.
A deeper dive into the complexities of the economics and politics that informed Carter's Presidency is needed. But the more I read and listen, his one term in office sounds suspiciously like some other Presidents in my memory: a good man comes to power with idealism and gradually becomes a pawn of Neo-liberalism. Carter had his share of decisions that created major blow-back. Later presidents would double down on these errors and further destabilize the Middle East, South America and beyond.
Carter was a good man who came to power in tough times and was, perhaps, not a great leader. He was too honest, too serious and scolding. Too ethical to rouse the populace with false promises. He had zero guile. He placed too much trust in certain advisors, with devastating consequences. He couldn't inspire American citizens to trust that the economy would turn around so they left him for a man who told them what they wanted to hear. This was another con-man. Proto-Trump. Grampa. A wolf in sheep's clothing.
His name was Ronald Reagan. He was a far better orator than Carter and it showed in their one debate. Reagan had an answer for everything Carter threw his way. He had a firm grip on the narrative; It was absolute horse-s**t, but it sounded good. And it felt good to be American again. And it inspired confidence in our exceptionalism. Reagan reinvigorated our mythological frame of reference via the slogan, ‘A shining City on the Hill.’ He gave them something to believe in, even if his prescriptions wouldn't actually take us there. Compare this slogan to ‘Make America Great Again.’ Notice how the tone and imagery change to the mythic, the heroic. Consider what often follows when the populace is roused in such a way.
Reagan made our nation's key issues worse: higher taxes for the middle class with the wealth gap exploding, deregulation of key industries, the dismantling of the labor movement, arcane drug laws and mass incarceration. But he used pageantry to pretend he single-handedly tore down the Berlin Wall. He managed his image quite well. When he was caught selling arms to Iran with drug money from Central America, he 'didn't recall.’ A B-movie Hollywood actor finally found the role that he could portray effectively: a grandfatherly anti-Communist moralist who could blame the ills of our manufacturing collapse on 'welfare queens' and the 'gay lifestyle.' And when it was time for accountability, he was a dottering old man with memory issues. Can you feel my love for Reagan? Me neither.
Fast forward 50 years and we have an economy that works for the very few. Regular people have legitimate financial concerns about affordability, employment, health care, retirement and so on. But a new con-man has them believing the previous administration is corrupt and feckless when it was a successful administration, by and large, even if the prosperity didn't reach the middle and lower rungs of the workforce substantially enough. At least that administration fixed our roads and bridges and lowered drug prices and addressed many glaring issues that have been piling up since the collective malfeasance of Reagan and Nixon and the Bushes.
Trump has them convinced the economy will get better despite high tariffs and migrant camps and other terrible policies. But attaining their confidence was the point. The demagogue first distorts and decries the ills of the status quo to varying degrees of accuracy. He then sells the solution: himself. He peddles a fantasy to the people. A people so fully disillusioned about the American government and their shot at a good life that they would support a criminal failed casino-owning wanna-be autocrat. Such is the disconnect from reason, such is the desperation.
I'm sensing that each President ends up being the mouthpiece for Neo-liberalism and the big international businesses that it serves. And Carter just couldn't do that effectively. It wasn't in his character. It's easy to be the pitch-man when things are going well for the average Joe. But those days are gone.
The Robber Barons have gotten insidiously more greedy and vastly more wealthy. Yet we are more aware of the ways in which they're fleecing us. So the Bread and Circuses have, by necessity, become all the more convoluted, soap-operatic, racist, captivating and surreal.
Trump wears so many ill-fitting hats: the savior, carnival barker, culture warrior, economic guru, and, spiritual leader and somehow, this laughably false anti-establishment elite that is surrounded by ultra-wealthy elites. He himself is a billionaire elite from New York who inherited $400 million from his father.
In a sense, I guess it's our elites versus your elites. The left has their mega-donors too. May the best cabal of money hoarders win.
And these wealth addicts are all Riding the Tiger. How long will Trump bear the humiliation of Musk dictating policy to him via Twitter takedowns and tantrums? Does he go full Putin and start throwing them in the Gulag?
Remember when he was the only candidate that didn't need big business donors? When he wasn't taking a paycheck and that meant he was incorruptible? I guess those days are gone.
I guess he just needed to sell his bumpkin base that he would implement the racist policies that they wanted in order to win a majority for Musk, who lives off the government. How boring.
And what will the people do when they realize they've been duped? Trump may prove to be just another politician, posing as a fascist populist. But they really wanted an authoritarian ethno-state. Maybe the Civil War comes when Trump can't or won’t deliver. The plot thickens.
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