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The first College Football Playoff rankings are out, and the committee missed the mark again. Georgia lost at home to unranked Auburn and still got the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye. Undefeated UCLA is stuck at No. 8 behind two-loss Texas. DJ and Kelcey break down the entire CFP bracket, the biggest snubs, and whether the playoff should be 8, 12 or 16 teams.
Then it's the Heisman hierarchy, the NFL MVP ladder, Better Than the Rest honors for LaNorris Sellers and Bears GM Ryan Poles, and this week's picks, including Kentucky's upset shot at Tennessee after last week's USC +200 pick cashed.
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β QUICK ANSWERS
What is the first College Football Playoff bracket?
Why is Georgia's CFP ranking controversial?
Why is UCLA's CFP ranking controversial?
Who got snubbed from the first CFP bracket?
Who leads the Heisman race?
Who is the NFL MVP favorite?
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π THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Picks and analysis are opinion and for entertainment only. Lines move, check your book before kickoff.
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β±οΈ CHAPTERS
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π OUR PARTNERS
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π¬ DROP IT IN THE COMMENTS
π Like and subscribe for weekly CFP rankings reactions, Heisman and NFL MVP races, and NFL and college football picks.
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The Colts fire sale has officially started. Quenton Nelson is headed to Seattle for a 3rd and a 5th-round pick, DeForest Buckner is back in San Francisco for a 4th, and the NFL trade deadline is still two weeks away. Who's next: Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs or Grover Stewart?
DJ and Kelcey grade both trades (spoiler: the Seahawks and 49ers fleeced Indy), map out where Jonathan Taylor lands, name the other teams who should join the sell-off, then run Contenders or Pretenders on the Cowboys, Bengals, Falcons, Browns, Vikings and Lions. Plus the Heisman hierarchy, NFL MVP ladder and this week's NFL and college football picks.
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β QUICK ANSWERS
What did the Colts get for Quenton Nelson?
What did the Colts get for DeForest Buckner?
Who could the Colts trade next?
Which other NFL teams could sell before the deadline?
Are the Cowboys contenders or pretenders?
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π THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Picks and analysis are opinion and for entertainment only. Lines move, check your book before kickoff.
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β±οΈ CHAPTERS
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π OUR PARTNERS
β‘ Outlier: Sports betting data, trends and player prop research. Free 30-day trial.
π BettorVision: Track all your fantasy and sports betting action in one place.
π TrophySmack: Trophies, belts, rings, and yes, the golden toilet seat for your league's last-place finisher.
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π¬ DROP IT IN THE COMMENTS
π Like and subscribe for weekly NFL trade breakdowns, contenders vs. pretenders, Heisman and MVP races, and NFL picks every week.
ποΈ High Low Sports is part of the Belly Up Sports network.
π± FOLLOW HIGH LOW SPORTS
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#Colts #NFLTradeDeadline #QuentonNelson #NFLPicks #HighLowSports
Chris Ballard is out in Indianapolis. The Colts blew a 17-point lead to the winless Titans and now the GM who spent nearly a decade building this roster is gone.
DJ and Kelcey go through the full post-mortem: every draft class, every missed pick, the Josh McDaniels hire, the quarterback carousel, the DeForest Buckner trade and what the Colts should do now to actually fix this thing.
Then the conversation you won't hear anywhere else: Jalen Hurts was cleared by the Eagles to play with a blood clot in his leg, flew eight hours across the Atlantic, and the clot moved to his lungs. He's on IR with deep vein thrombosis. The NFL found no violation. The NFLPA is investigating. Kelcey has personal experience with blood clots and blood thinners β his take cuts through all of it.
Plus: Auburn beats No. 1 Georgia 27-24. The Heisman race. The NFL MVP ladder. And this week's college football picks.
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π THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Tennessee moneyline +114 vs. South Carolina
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π HEISMAN HIERARCHY
1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State
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π NFL MVP LADDER
1. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers
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ποΈ High Low Sports is part of the Belly Up Sports network. New episode every week of the NFL season.
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π NFL COACHING DISASTERS, MHJ TO HOUSTON & BROCK PURDY FOR MVP | Eagles Collapse, Commanders Clock Fail, Rams Special Teams | High Low Sports Week 6
The Eagles blew a late lead to Jacksonville because Nick Sirianni couldn't manage a clock. The Commanders had the ball inside the 25 with 48 seconds left and no timeouts and somehow didn't spike it. Sean McVay fired his kicker after a blocked kick and then wondered why his special teams keep failing. DJ and Kelcey break down the worst coaching decisions of Week 5, where Brock Purdy stands in the MVP race, what the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade to Houston actually means, their college football picks and the Heisman hierarchy.
Plus: Drake London over 89.5 receiving yards vs. Chicago, Kentucky +6.5 at Oklahoma, Notre Dame covering -10.5 over BYU, and DJ's full NFL picks for the weekend.
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Was Sirianni's clock management the worst you've seen this season? Drop it below π
he Eagles just lost Lane Johnson to retirement and Cam Jurgens to a trade in the same week. Saquon's hamstring, DeVonta Smith out, and Jacksonville is next in London. DJ puts them at a 10 out of 10 on the panic meter. Kelcey agrees. Meanwhile Lamar Jackson's ankle is "neither high nor low" and the Texans are 0-8 since their mascot ripped a Terrible Towel. Kenneth Walker has won 14 straight NFL games. Jeremiah Smith has 823 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns in 5 college football games. And Brock Purdy has not been sacked once this entire season. All of this, and Kelcey's Island pick on Florida State, powered by Outlier. π TrophySmack β trophies, belts, rings, and losing singlets. Bragging rights in physical form. π https://www.trophysmack.com/?sca_ref=2706815.RGPa8UtYlW π BetterVision β sync all your fantasy and betting accounts in one place. Free to download. π https://www.bettorvision.us π― Outlier β smarter sports picks research. Free 30-day trial. π https://start.outlier.bet/bellyup2026 ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ β±οΈ TIMESTAMPS ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ 0:00 β Eagles Panic Meter | Lane Johnson, Cam Jurgens, Saquon & London Trip β 10/10 12:00 β Ravens Panic Meter | Lamar's SchrΓΆdinger's Ankle β 3.5/10 17:02 β Texans Panic Meter | The Torrible Towel Curse β 6/10 vs 8/10 22:15 β Saints Panic Meter | Shuck Banged Up, Low Expectations β 7/10 vs 3-4/10 26:23 β Bengals Panic Meter | Inconsistent Defense, Get-Right Game β 4/10 31:10 β Marvin Harrison Jr. Panic Meter | Trade Him Now β 9/10 37:08 β Red River Rivalry | Texas -7.5 vs Oklahoma Preview 41:02 β Georgia vs. Alabama | 77% of Bets on Georgia, Line Moved to Alabama -1.5 45:07 β Better Than the Rest MVPs | Tet McMillan 14-192-2 & Guardian Caps 50:52 β Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy | Jeremiah Smith Historic Pace 55:28 β NFL MVP Ladder | Kenneth Walker 14-Game Win Streak, Purdy Unsacked, Bijan Rising 1:02:10 β DJ Moore Ghost Pepper Tracker | 178 of 826 Yards, On Pace 1:05:15 β Kelcey's Island | Florida State +155 vs Louisville | Tyler Warren Under 19.5 ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π¨ NFL PANIC METER RATINGS ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π΄ Philadelphia Eagles β 10/10. Lane Johnson retired. Cam Jurgens traded. Saquon's hamstring. DeVonta Smith out. Playing Jacksonville in London. Nick Sirianni is not the answer. The big lady is warming up her vocal cords. π‘ Baltimore Ravens β 3.5/10 (DJ) / 4/10 (Kelcey). Lamar's ankle injury is nagging. He is 3-0 when Derrick Henry gets 20+ carries. 0-1 when he doesn't. Give him the ball. If he misses the Browns game, the panic jumps. π Houston Texans β 6/10 (DJ) / 8/10 (Kelcey). CJ Stroud is top 5 in QB play this season. The defense has failed everyone else. 0-8 since Toro ripped a Terrible Towel. The curse is real. π’ New Orleans Saints β 7/10 (DJ) / 3-4/10 (Kelcey). Fun to watch. Shuck is banged up. Different division, different number. π€ Cincinnati Bengals β 4/10. Get-right game vs. Miami. Too many weapons to count out. π΄ Marvin Harrison Jr. β 9/10. 8 catches, 85 yards, 1 TD all season. 7.7% target share since entering the league. Trade him. His time in Arizona is done. ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π KELCEY'S HEISMAN HIERARCHY β WEEK 6 ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ 1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State β 823 yards, 9 TDs, 44 catches in 5 games. 423 yards and 6 TDs in his last 2. Pace: 1,900 yards, 21 TDs on the season. Nobody has ever done this. 2. Darian Mensah, QB, Miami β 84.2% completion rate. 1,438 yards, 15 TDs, 0 INTs. Miami still unbeaten. 3. Keelan Russell, QB, Alabama β 1,400 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INTs, 4 rushing TDs. Big game vs. Georgia this week. ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π NFL MVP LADDER β WEEK 4 ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ 1. Kenneth Walker β 87 carries, 537 yards, 4 rushing TDs. 14-game NFL win streak. The best running back Andy Reid has ever had. 2. Brock Purdy β 1,000 passing yards, 11 TDs, 1 INT, 70% completion. Has not been sacked once this season. Leads NFL in passer rating all-time. 3. Bijan Robinson β Back-to-back primetime games, 320 rushing yards and 4 TDs. On the shortlist for best player in football regardless of position. ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π° CRUNCH TIME β POWERED BY OUTLIER ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ ποΈ KELCEY'S ISLAND: Florida State +155 vs. Louisville β Louisville missing 6 key players. FSU averages 26 points. Take the moneyline. π DJ'S PROP: Tyler Warren under 19.5 longest reception β 0 for 11 on the season clearing that line. His longest catch is 15 yards. Daniel Jones won't send him downfield. Playing Pittsburgh, who they haven't beaten since 2008. Lock. ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ π² FIND US EVERYWHERE ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ ποΈ https://bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast π https://www.trophysmack.com/?sca_ref=2706815.RGPa8UtYlW π― https://start.outlier.bet/bellyup2026 πΈ @highlowsports | π¦ @HighLowSports Which team should panic the most this week? Drop your number below π β οΈ All picks for entertainment only. Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
π NFL WEEK 3 BIGGEST WINNERS & LOSERS + ARE THE FLORIDA GATORS LEGIT? + NFL MVP LADDER + HEISMAN HIERARCHY | Raiders, Chargers, Brock Purdy, Kenneth Walker, Jeremiah Smith | High Low Sports
The Raiders are 3-0, won all three games as underdogs, and Brock Bowers is back. The Chargers are 0-3 and DJ has officially run out of insults. Deebo Samuel set the craziest stat line in NFL history β 80 receiving yards without a single catch. And the Florida Gators just beat a top-5 team in their second year under a coach who hasn't even completed a full calendar year in the job. DJ and Kelcey break it all down β NFL Week 3 winners and losers, the updated Heisman Hierarchy, the NFL MVP ladder, Better Than the Rest MVPs, and this week's picks powered by Outlier.
π TrophySmack β trophies, belts, rings, and bragging rights in physical form.
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Who's your NFL MVP through 3 weeks? And are the Gators for real? Drop it below π
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π ARE THE CHIEFS BACK? NFL OVER/UNDER REACTIONS, HEISMAN HIERARCHY & LOCKS OF THE WEEK | Kenneth Walker, JSN, Bryce Young, Trinidad Chambliss | High Low Sports
Kenneth Walker III leads the NFL in rushing yards. Jackson Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards with 277 through 2 weeks. Bryce Young is 2nd in the NFL in passing yards and tied for 1st in touchdowns. DJ and Kelcey break down the biggest over/under reactions from the NFL's first two weeks, update the Heisman Hierarchy, hand out Better Than the Rest MVPs, and lock in Kelcey's Island pick and a prop lock of the week.
All powered by Outlier β the No. 1 rated sports betting research and analytics app.
π TrophySmack β trophies, belts, rings and bragging rights in physical form.
π BetterVision β all your fantasy and betting apps in one place. Free to download.
π― Outlier β smarter sports betting research. Free 30-day trial.
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π΄ CHIEFS BACK? They never left. Kenneth Walker β not a Walker, a Runner β leads the NFL in rushing. Mahomes cleared 400 yards. Kelce's YAC looks like 2021. The only concern is a receiver room with no reliable pass catcher outside of Kelce.
π‘ 49ERS 2-0 β Rams game has a Melbourne jet lag asterisk. Deebo Samuel back makes the offense elite. Fred Warner healthy makes the defense elite. Brock Purdy is playing beyond a game manager and the advanced stats confirm it. The question is always the same: can they stay healthy?
π’ BRYCE YOUNG ARRIVED β 2nd in the NFL in passing yards. Tied for 1st in touchdowns. 10.5 average depth of target. 88% completion rate against zone coverage. The Panthers built tall receivers around a short quarterback and it's working. "I think today's price won't be tomorrow's price."
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Are the Chiefs back? Are the Chargers done? Drop your take below π
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Week 1 of the NFL season produced the highest-scoring opening weekend in league history. DJ and Kelcey survived it β barely β and are back to make sense of everything.
This week on the High Low Sports Podcast: the biggest overreactions from NFL Week 1, a full college football chaos recap headlined by Texas defeating Ohio State and the simultaneous implosions of Oregon and Oklahoma, the inaugural edition of Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy, two Better Than the Rest MVPs, an upset pick powered by Outlier, and the top prop of the weekend.
On the overreaction front, DJ goes all in on the theme of the weekend: offense is back. The NFL just posted its most explosive opening week in history. The Bears and Panthers combined for 91 points β Ben Johnson almost went for two to push it to 60. Kenneth Walker ran 173 yards on a Monday night and won fantasy leagues for people who were already asleep. Kelcey's overreaction: the New York Giants are legitimate. The trio of Nabers, Dart, and Scadaboo ran the ball directly down the Cowboys' throats all game. Isaiah Likely scored twice in his debut. Matt Nagy, Greg Roman, and Brian Callahan β three offensive minds who have each been fired from previous posts β somehow combined to produce one of the cleanest game plans of the week.
In college football, Texas took down Ohio State in one of the great fourth-quarter comebacks of the young season, with Arch Manning leading the final drive. Oklahoma got humiliated at Michigan. Oregon looked unrecognizable. All three had been top-11 teams in the AP Poll. Now only Ohio State remains ranked, sitting at sixth after a five-spot drop.
Kelcey's inaugural Heisman Hierarchy puts Darian Mensah of Miami at No. 1, Malachi Tony at No. 2, Arch Manning at No. 3 for that fourth-quarter performance alone, and Jeremiah Smith at No. 4 after a 9-138-2 showing despite two drops. Devin Dampier of Utah gets an honorable mention β worth watching as the season develops.
For MVPs of the week, Kelcey goes Kenneth Walker on 23 carries for 173 yards and two scores. DJ gives the award to Bears right tackle Darnell Wright β who anchored a running game that averaged eight yards per carry to his side 65 percent of the time and never allowed a sack.
The upset pick: Troy Trojans +26.5 at Missouri at plus odds. Five-and-one ATS in their last six road games. Nine of ten against the spread overall. Big spread, underdog, plus odds β the exact situation Outlier surfaces.
The top prop: Kenneth Walker over 79.5 rushing yards. He just gave you 173 against Denver. The Colts allowed nearly 200 rushing yards to the Ravens and are playing on their own turf in Indianapolis. DJ is putting multiple units on this one.
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The August NFL preview series is over. DJ and Kelcey picked every game in every division β all 272 of them β and now the picks come due.
The final episode of the High Low Sports Podcast's 2026 preview series covers everything: full playoff brackets, Super Bowl predictions built on 20 years of NFL historical patterns, two season-long prop bets powered by Outlier, and every major award handed out before kickoff.
DJ has the Chicago Bears winning the Super Bowl. His reasoning pulls from George Lucas β history is like poetry in that it rhymes β and maps a 20-year cycle: 2004 Patriots, 2024 Eagles; 2005 Steelers with a young second-year QB, 2025 Seahawks beating a young second-year QB; 2006 Peyton Manning finally breaking through against the Bears. 2026: Josh Allen finally breaks through and falls to the Chicago Bears. Caleb Williams wins a championship at SoFi Stadium, the building where he won the Heisman.
Kelcey takes the Rams over the Bengals in a rematch of Super Bowl LVI. Aaron Donald is back in better shape than when he retired. Myles Garrett plays alongside him. Kyren Williams is about to have the breakout season of the decade. The Rams know the Bengals. They know the path to victory. Sun Tzu said so.
On the best bets side, both hosts are backed by Outlier research. Kelcey hammers Justin Herbert's passing yards β a line that has already moved up from 3,450 since the AFC West video β because Herbert just set the record for the longest in-air throw by any Mike McDaniel quarterback in a preseason game. DJ goes all-in on DJ Moore's receiving yards over 825.5, backing it with career YAC data, the Bills' scheme, Josh Allen's arm, and one ghost pepper he will eat live on air if the pick misses.
Awards: Kelcey gives MVP to Drake Maye, Defensive Player of the Year to Myles Garrett, Offensive Player of the Year to Kyren Williams and Coach of the Year to Liam Cohen. DJ gives MVP to Justin Herbert, Defensive Player of the Year to Will Anderson, Offensive Player of the Year to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Coach of the Year to Kliff Kingsbury. They agree on almost nothing, which is exactly how it should end.
The NFL season starts tonight. On a Wednesday. DJ is still complaining about it.
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Every time Joe Burrow misses 10 games or more in a season, he plays 16 or more the following year. Last year he played 9. You do the math.
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DJ and Kelcey wrap their division preview series with the AFC Northβ the final one before the Super Bowl picks drop β with eight prop bets powered by Outlier and two full sets of standings that land in very different places. DJ has the Bengals at 11-6 and the Browns at 2-15 with the first overall pick. Kelcey has the Bengals at 13-4 and the Browns at 4-13. The Bengals winning the division is the one thing they agree on without hesitation.
The Browns segment is equal parts honest and depressing. Five new offensive linemen, a genuinely promising young roster, and the one quarterback nobody wanted to start. DJ's bold prediction: at minimum three different starting quarterbacks in 2026. Possibly all four. Todd Monken looks like a lame duck head coach. The bar is the ground. The good news is the bar can't go lower than the ground.
The Bengals have the best receiver room in football when healthy β Ja'Marr Chase back from a hyperextended knee that reports say is fine, Tee Higgins healthy, Chase Brown as a multi-dimensional Alvin Kamara type, and a DoorDash driver from Atlanta who Joe Burrow called up, had him drive overnight from Atlanta to Cincinnati, and is now on the 53-man roster. That story is real. The Bengals are that team.
Lamar Jackson missed games, had his worst rushing season, and the Ravens still had a path to the playoffs on the final kick of the year. New OC Declan Doyle comes from the Ben Johnson coaching tree β which means more passing, more red zone throws, and Zay Flowers in what DJ describes as the Amon-Ra St. Brown role of this offense. Kyle Hamilton playing freely as a rover, not a traditional safety. A defensive line with Trey Hendrickson finally adding the pass rush that covered for old, slow corners in the back half of last season.
Then there are the Steelers, who stumbled ass-backwards into 10 wins and a division title with the lowest net point differential of any playoff team. Mike Tomlin is gone. Mike McCarthy is in. Aaron Rodgers is 43. Drew Allar is waiting. DJ and Kelcey cannot fully explain the Steelers and are done trying. They gave them 7-10 and 8-9 respectively and moved on.
Eight bets. Four teams. One wild division that ends every single year with more questions than it started with.
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