Luxury home prices in the U.S. ended 2025 higher, but the story behind those gains is not stronger demand. Instead, price growth at the top of the market is being driven by limited supply, according to new data from Redfin, which is backed by Rocket Companies.
In December, the median sale price for luxury homes rose 4.6% year over year to $1.31 million. By comparison, non-luxury home prices increased just 1.4% to $375,000, the slowest growth rate since Redfin began tracking the data in 2013. Despite the national rise, luxury prices fell in only two major metros: Fort Worth, Texas, and Portland, Oregon.
Local performance varied widely. Milwaukee, Orlando, and Nashville posted the strongest luxury price gains, while demand weakened sharply in markets like San Jose and Philadelphia. Pending luxury sales jumped in places such as West Palm Beach and San Francisco but dropped significantly in several California and Northeast metros.
Inventory is rising, but not fast enough to cool prices meaningfully. Active luxury listings were up 5.6% from a year earlier, the slowest growth since spring. New luxury listings increased modestly, while new non-luxury listings declined, suggesting some sellers are holding back as buyers remain cautious.
Luxury homes are selling quickly only when they meet very specific criteria. In markets like San Jose and Oakland, top-tier homes are going under contract in weeks. In contrast, luxury listings in South Florida are sitting for months. According to Redfin agents, competition is focused on a small group of high-quality homes in prime locations, often attracting cash offers and waived contingencies. Homes that miss on price, condition, or location tend to linger.
Even with higher prices, demand remains soft. Pending luxury sales fell year over year, and closed sales showed only modest growth. The takeaway is clear: luxury prices are rising because supply is tight, not because buyers are rushing in.
Unless mortgage rates fall further or inventory improves meaningfully, price gains at the high end are likely to stay uneven and limited to homes that truly stand out.
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