Meteorology Matters

Hurricane News: FEMA Borrows $2 Billion for Helene & Milton, Florida Fallen Tree Act, Hurricane Hunters


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1. Why is FEMA borrowing money in early 2025?

FEMA is borrowing $2 billion from the U.S. Treasury to cover the surge in flood claims primarily from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton in 2024, along with other flooding events from the previous year. The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), administered by FEMA, anticipates paying out over $10 billion in flood claims related to these events. The NFIP's funds, which are generated from premiums, have been depleted due to the multiple catastrophic events occurring in a single year, exceeding its designed capacity.

2. What were the impacts of Hurricanes Helene and Milton that led to such high flood claim payouts?

Hurricane Helene, which made landfall in Florida as a Category 4 storm in late September 2024, caused widespread and devastating flooding, particularly in Southeast states like Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina due to record rainfall. As of early February 2025, over 57,400 flood claims related to Helene had been handled, with over $4.5 billion paid out and estimated total losses ranging from $6.4 billion to $7.4 billion. Hurricane Milton, while considered more of a wind event when it struck Florida in October 2024, still resulted in significant flood claims, with over $740 million paid out on over 21,100 claims by early February, and estimated final losses ranging from $1.2 billion to $2.9 billion.

3. What is the current financial state of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)?

As of January 25, 2025, the NFIP had only $615 million on hand to pay claims, according to the Congressional Research Service. Its debt to the U.S. Treasury has reached approximately $22.5 billion. FEMA has the authority to borrow up to $30.4 billion, and it was already carrying a debt of $20.5 billion from previous major hurricanes like Katrina, Sandy, and Harvey. The NFIP funds its operations and repays its debt and accruing interest through the premiums it collects from flood insurance policies.

4. How might proposed changes like Florida's 'Fallen Tree Act' affect homeowners and insurance?

Florida's proposed 'Fallen Tree Act' aims to shift the responsibility for damage caused by a fallen tree to the property owner from where the tree originated, rather than the property where it falls, which is the current law. While this could provide relief to homeowners whose property is damaged by a neighbor's tree, it raises concerns, particularly regarding damage from major storms or "Acts of God," as the bill does not specify responsibility in such events. Currently, homeowners typically file a claim with their own insurance for such damage and cover the deductible, potentially leading to increased insurance rates. The proposed change could shift the burden and associated costs to the neighbor's insurance, but the lack of clarity on storm-related incidents remains a significant issue in a hurricane-prone state like Florida.

5. Why are organizations like NOAA and the National Weather Service (NWS) considered so valuable?

NOAA and the NWS provide crucial services like weather and ocean observations and forecasts, which have an enormous return on investment for taxpayers. For a relatively low annual cost per citizen, they contribute to improved citizen preparedness, transportation efficiency and safety, private sector profits, disaster prevention and mitigation, and scientific research innovation. Their partnerships with emergency management communities have shifted responses from reactive to proactive. Significant improvements in forecasting, especially for hurricanes and tornadoes, have dramatically reduced casualties compared to past decades when warnings were less accurate or non-existent. The private sector also heavily relies on NOAA data and services, generating tax revenue that reportedly covers the NWS's entire cost.

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Meteorology MattersBy Rob Jones