As of the past 24 hours, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and NOAA have reported several notable developments in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins, prompting vigilance across multiple coastal regions. Currently, the Atlantic hurricane season remains active, with forecasters closely monitoring Tropical Storm Edalia, which emerged late yesterday in the central Atlantic. According to the NHC’s latest advisory, Edalia is projected to strengthen slightly over the next 48 hours but is expected to remain over open waters, posing minimal threat to land at this time. The storm is moving northwest at approximately 12 mph with sustained winds nearing 50 mph.
Meanwhile, in the Eastern Pacific, newly formed Hurricane Javier has intensified rapidly over warm ocean waters near southwest Mexico. As of Tuesday morning, Javier has reached Category 1 status with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Forecast models predict a west-northwest trajectory, keeping the core of the storm offshore. However, rainfall associated with the outer bands may cause localized flooding in parts of coastal states such as Colima, Michoacán, and Jalisco through late Wednesday. NOAA has issued marine warnings advising small craft advisories due to elevated surf and strong rip currents.
Elsewhere, a tropical disturbance near the Lesser Antilles is drawing attention. System 92L remains disorganized, with a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. The NHC has given it a low chance of development over the next five days as it moves westward into the Caribbean Sea. Despite its disorganization, the system could bring intermittent heavy rains and gusty winds to Barbados, St. Lucia, and surrounding islands by midweek.
Meteorologists from The Weather Channel and AccuWeather are noting unusually high sea surface temperatures across the Gulf of Mexico and the western Atlantic, which continue to fuel the potential for rapid storm intensification. This pattern raises concerns for coastal communities stretching from the southeastern United States to the Yucatán Peninsula, particularly as the peak of hurricane season nears in September.
Looking ahead, forecasters are monitoring another tropical wave off the coast of West Africa. Early models suggest favorable conditions for development as it approaches the central Atlantic by the weekend. While no immediate impacts are projected, residents in hurricane-prone areas are urged to stay informed. In the coming days, NOAA plans to increase reconnaissance missions to better assess storm development and trajectories as the Atlantic hurricane season enters a more active phase.
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