💰 Liquidity Flows, Rate Cuts & The Future of Housing
Markets are shifting fast as liquidity tightens, the Fed debates rate cuts, and housing demand battles affordability challenges. From consumer spending resilience to labor market soft spots, KP unpacks the contradictions shaping the economy right now.
It’s a landscape of contrasts: strong balance sheets vs. softening jobs, rising CapEx in AI vs. slowing global trade, and mortgage momentum vs. inflation pressure.
📊 With Jackson Hole around the corner, the Fed’s next move could set the tone for bonds, housing, and equities—and KP breaks it all down live from the road.
Episode Highlights:
00:00 - MBA updates: trigger leads, GSE merger, credit scores & guarantees
02:41 – Congrats to John Hedlund: new MBA Vice Chairman (2026)
03:27 – Market outlook: NAHB confidence, housing starts, applications & Fed minutes
04:31 – Jackson Hole preview: Powell, tariffs, and market-moving risks
06:36 – Stocks, bonds & crypto: liquidity shifts and institutional trading flows
09:58 – Treasury yields explained: 2-year vs 20-year vs Fed Funds
10:28 – Hawkish cuts & dot plot scenarios for the September Fed meeting
12:40 – Money supply, tariffs as taxes & liquidity drain explained
14:28 – Housing impact: affordability if rates drop to 6%
14:59 – CFPB updates, regulatory shakeups & state-level enforcement
15:44 - Live from NAMMBA Connect: diversity in lending & leadership highlights
17:14 - Existing home sales, builder confidence & treasury yields update
18:28 - Jackson Hole expectations: Powell’s tone & market reactions
23:03 - Consumer spending slowdown vs. CapEx surge in AI
24:06 - AI boom: CapEx, productivity, and risks of job losses
25:00 - Physical AI & robotics: Tesla, humanoid robots, and the future of work
27:00 - Final thoughts: liquidity, tariffs, markets & preparing for Powell
🎧 Stay smart. Stay ready. Stay informed.
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