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Markets turned sharply volatile as the Middle East conflict entered its fourth day, expanding beyond initial strikes and raising fears of prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
In today’s special Impact Report on Markets with Megan, hear what escalating geopolitical tensions mean for oil prices, inflation expectations, Federal Reserve policy, and global markets.
🚨 Topics Megan Covers:
• Crude oil rises to $77 per barrel, highest level since January 2025
• The VIX volatility index jumps to its highest level since Liberation Day
• The S&P 500 posts its worst day since October
• All 11 sectors trade lower, led by materials, industrials, and consumer discretionary
• Two-year inflation expectations hit a 10-month high
• Fed funds futures move from 3.00% to 3.20%, pricing out rate cuts
• Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which moves 20 million barrels per day, drops significantly
• Gasoline prices climb to $3.10, up 30 cents
With oil supply routes under threat and inflation expectations rising, markets may remain volatile in the weeks ahead. Investors are now weighing how long this conflict lasts and whether disruptions in global energy flows continue.
📊 What does higher oil mean for the economy?
• A sustained $10 increase in oil could reduce GDP by 10 to 20 basis points
• The same move could lift headline inflation by 20 basis points
• Higher gasoline prices reduce consumer spending power by billions annually
While short-term volatility is elevated, history shows that geopolitical shocks often become long-term buying opportunities. Megan explains why prior Middle East disruptions have not derailed long-term equity growth and how portfolios were positioned ahead of this risk.
Subscribe now and listen to all past episodes:
https://marketswithmegan.fm
#OilPrices #StraitOfHormuz #MiddleEastConflict #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarket #VIX #EnergyMarkets #MarketVolatility #Investing
https://youtu.be/1IDCiA-4Cwc
Disclaimer: material was prepared by Verdence Capital Advisors, LLC (“VCA”). VCA believes the information and data in this document were obtained from sources considered reliable and correct and cannot guarantee either their accuracy or completeness. VCA has not independently verified third-party sourced information and data. Any projections, outlooks
or assumptions should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events which will occur. These projections, market outlooks or estimates are subject to change without notice. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance
that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product or anynon-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in these materials will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. You should not assume that any
discussion or information contained in this report serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from VCA. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the co...
By Megan Horneman5
44 ratings
Markets turned sharply volatile as the Middle East conflict entered its fourth day, expanding beyond initial strikes and raising fears of prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
In today’s special Impact Report on Markets with Megan, hear what escalating geopolitical tensions mean for oil prices, inflation expectations, Federal Reserve policy, and global markets.
🚨 Topics Megan Covers:
• Crude oil rises to $77 per barrel, highest level since January 2025
• The VIX volatility index jumps to its highest level since Liberation Day
• The S&P 500 posts its worst day since October
• All 11 sectors trade lower, led by materials, industrials, and consumer discretionary
• Two-year inflation expectations hit a 10-month high
• Fed funds futures move from 3.00% to 3.20%, pricing out rate cuts
• Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which moves 20 million barrels per day, drops significantly
• Gasoline prices climb to $3.10, up 30 cents
With oil supply routes under threat and inflation expectations rising, markets may remain volatile in the weeks ahead. Investors are now weighing how long this conflict lasts and whether disruptions in global energy flows continue.
📊 What does higher oil mean for the economy?
• A sustained $10 increase in oil could reduce GDP by 10 to 20 basis points
• The same move could lift headline inflation by 20 basis points
• Higher gasoline prices reduce consumer spending power by billions annually
While short-term volatility is elevated, history shows that geopolitical shocks often become long-term buying opportunities. Megan explains why prior Middle East disruptions have not derailed long-term equity growth and how portfolios were positioned ahead of this risk.
Subscribe now and listen to all past episodes:
https://marketswithmegan.fm
#OilPrices #StraitOfHormuz #MiddleEastConflict #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarket #VIX #EnergyMarkets #MarketVolatility #Investing
https://youtu.be/1IDCiA-4Cwc
Disclaimer: material was prepared by Verdence Capital Advisors, LLC (“VCA”). VCA believes the information and data in this document were obtained from sources considered reliable and correct and cannot guarantee either their accuracy or completeness. VCA has not independently verified third-party sourced information and data. Any projections, outlooks
or assumptions should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events which will occur. These projections, market outlooks or estimates are subject to change without notice. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance
that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product or anynon-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in these materials will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. You should not assume that any
discussion or information contained in this report serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from VCA. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the co...