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  • Faith & Finance - Cyclical vs. Secular: Making Sense of Market Trends with Mark Biller

    Markets rise and fall—but not all cycles tell the same story. What do those ups and downs really mean for your investments?

    Scripture reminds us in Ecclesiastes 3:1, “To everything there is a season, a time for every purpose under heaven.” Just as God designed natural cycles—the sun, the tides, the seasons—financial markets also move through cycles. While less predictable, these patterns help us understand where we are in the investing journey and how to prepare wisely for what’s ahead.

    According to Mark Biller, Executive Editor at Sound Mind Investing (SMI), the two most common market cycles are known as bull markets (when prices rise) and bear markets (when prices fall). But within those categories lie two distinct types of trends: cyclical and secular.

    Cyclical vs. Secular: What’s the Difference?

    “The terms might sound fancy,” says Biller, “but they really describe short-term versus long-term cycles.”

    • Cyclical markets are the short-term ups and downs—periods that might last a few months to a few years.
    • Secular markets are the broader, long-term trends that can span decades—often between 10 and 40 years.

    Think of it like waves on the ocean. Cyclical markets are the smaller waves that move in and out, while secular markets are the larger tides that shape the shoreline over time.

    Learning from History: Market Examples

    From 1968 to 1982, the S&P 500 was essentially flat—a 15-year stretch where inflation eroded nearly 60% of investors’ purchasing power. That’s what economists call a secular bear market—a long-term period of little to no progress.

    Yet within that broader season, there were multiple shorter-term bull and bear cycles. Investors who recognized those patterns could navigate the market with more perspective and less panic.

    The same was true from 2000 to 2009, another decade of overall stagnation in U.S. stocks. “But even then,” Biller notes, “we saw two cyclical bear markets with a five-year bull market sandwiched between them.”

    The takeaway? Even in long-term downturns, some shorter-term opportunities and recoveries keep markets moving forward over time.

    Why It Matters—Especially for Bond Investors

    Understanding these cycles isn’t just an academic exercise. “It’s actually more helpful when it comes to bonds than stocks,” Biller explains.

    That’s because bond markets move in much longer secular cycles. From 1982 to 2021, the U.S. enjoyed a 40-year secular bull market in bonds as interest rates steadily declined from 15% to near zero. But since 2020, that trend has reversed. “Interest rates have been rising again,” Biller says, “and that’s led to negative returns for many bond investors over the last five years.”

    This shift could signal the beginning of a secular bear market for bonds—a long period in which rising interest rates make it harder for bonds to perform well.

    Rethinking the Classic 60/40 Portfolio

    For decades, the “60/40” portfolio—60% stocks and 40% bonds—was the gold standard for balanced investing. But in today’s environment, that mix may need to evolve.

    “At Sound Mind Investing (SMI), we’ve reduced our bond allocation to around 30%,” Biller explains. “We haven’t abandoned bonds altogether, but we’re diversifying beyond them.”

    25 min
  • Living on the Edge with Chip Ingram Daily Podcast - Why We all Struggle with Anger, Part 2

    Your anger, instead of becoming your worst nightmare, can be your best friend. In fact, God wants to turn your anger into a tool that will serve you and help you like never before. Join Chip as he unpacks this powerful tool from God’s Word.

    Introduction: Anger is a secondary emotion

    • It is easier to be angry than to face the deeper, more sensitive issues of anger.
    • Anger is not the problem. Anger is the red warning light on the dashboard – something under the hood is amiss.
    • We cover stuff inside that God wants to heal, forgive, and restore.

    Three root issues behind anger:

    1. HURT = Real or perceived unmet needs

    • Tool: “I feel….” Messages – Attack the issue not the person

    2. FRUSTRATION = Real or perceived unmet expectations

    • Tool: “I desire…” vs. “I demand….” Statements

    3. INSECURITY = Real or perceived attacks on my worth

    • Tool: Ask yourself, “Why am I feeling threatened?”

    Summary: The first step in overcoming the destructive power of anger is the COURAGE to look below the surface.

    • Anger is the light on the dashboard; something’s wrong under the hood.
    • Anger is our way of protecting ourselves from painful, hard-to-deal-with hurts, frustrations, and insecurities.
    • Anger has many faces and despite its power for good, it destroys, unless we learn to…-Acknowledge it-Back-track to the 1st emotion-Consider the real cause-Determine to rightly respond

    Broadcast Resource

    • Overcoming Emotions that Destroy Resources
    • Message Notes

    Additional Resource Mentions

    • Overcoming Emotions that Destroy Small Group Offer

    Connect

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    28 min
  • A Love Language Minute - Is Money an Asset or a Liability?

    Is money an asset or liability to your marriage? It depends on your attitude toward money.  If you look to money for the things that money can buy to make you happy, then money will be a source of conflict in your marriage.

    Donate to Moody Radio: http://moodyradio.org/donateto/lovelanguageminute

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 min
  • Bold Steps with Dr. Mark Jobe - The Grumble -- Part 1

    Think complaining is just harmless venting?  Today on BOLD STEPS, Mark Jobe warns about the spiritual dangers of grumbling.  Through the example of the Israelites in Exodus 16, we’ll see how wrong focus takes us from celebration to complaining, and why challenges test our dependence on God.  Fight the grumble this season on Bold Steps with Mark Jobe.

    Bold Step Gift: A JOURNEY TO VICTORIOUS PRAYING: FINDING DISCIPLINE AND DELIGHT IN YOUR PRAYER LIFE by Dr. Bill Thrasher

    Become a Bold Partner: https://www.moodyradio.org/donateto/boldsteps

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    26 min
  • Be Still and Know Daily Bible Devotion - November 20th - Romans 14:1
    Romans 14:1
    Accept other believers who are weak in faith, and don’t argue with them about what they think is right or wrong.
    In every generation, there are issues on which Christians disagree. This will always be the case – the question is what to do with those disputes, particularly in relation to young Christians. Paul offers very strong and practical advice. He is desperately concerned that such issues shouldn’t be a stumbling block to those who are younger and weaker in the faith. He encourages his readers to respect one another’s different opinions and not to make a big issue of it.
    The two areas of tension in the Roman Church concerned food and the celebration of special days. Those from a Jewish background had some very strict rules about their food and the Sabbath. They were absolutely convinced that they were right, and clearly had no willingness to negotiate. Paul said that what mattered was doing what they believed was right before the Lord. If someone ate a particular food and another person refrained from eating that food, what mattered was that they were both doing so for the Lord. Paul summarised the teaching by saying that we should let God do the judging and stop looking down on other people. He urged his readers to “live in such a way that you will not cause another believer to stumble and fall” (Romans 14:13).
    However wonderful your church might be, people will always have many different opinions on a whole range of subjects. What matters is that we never allow them to get in the way of our fellowship with one another. We should hold our convictions with strength and grace and, at the same time, accept with love and generosity the fact that our Christian brothers and sisters may hold views with which we fundamentally disagree.
    Question
    What issues divide people in your own church?
    Prayer
    Lord God, help me never to allow differences of opinion to obstruct fellowship with my Christian brothers and sisters. Amen.
    4 min
  • Bible Answer Man Podcast with Hank Hanegraaff - Apparent Contradictions in the Bible, and Q&A
    On today’s Bible Answer Man broadcast (11/19/25), Hank addresses the question by Bart Ehrman on the alleged contradiction between Matthew 12:30 and Mark 9:40.

    Hank also answers the following questions:

    What happens to those who have never heard the gospel? Ryan - Kansas City, MO (4:15)
    What happens to unborn children with respect to election and reprobation? Jeff - St. Louis, MO (15:12)
    Why didn’t God give Satan a chance to repent? Ted - Atlanta, GA (17:45)
    Did Saul commit suicide, or did the Amalekite kill Saul? Ted - Atlanta, GA (19:18)
    If God is omniscient, why did he create Satan and permit the temptation that led to humanity’s fall? Russell - Bellflower, CA (20:09)
    Can you elaborate on the garments of skin that God made for Adam and Eve, and on the seed of the woman opposed to the serpent? David - Dayton, OH (23:44)
    29 min
  • The Mark Driscoll Podcast - How To Raise Godly Kids
    How to leave a great legacy and make sure that your kids have a close personal relationship with God from a young age.

    Follow on social media!
    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/MarkDriscollMinistries?sub_confirmation=1
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    Twitter: https://linktr.ee/markdriscoll 
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    39 min

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