SHJ Wealth Advisors

Inside the Economy: Consumer Spending, Pricing, and S&P 500 Outlook


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This week on Inside the Economy, we assess consumer spending, home pricing, and the outlook for the S&P 500. Amid the Iranian conflict, oil prices have increased, but has this impacted consumer spending? Higher-income households have seen after-tax wage growth rise to 5.6% year-over-year; how does that compare to lower-income households? Additionally, according to the Affordability Price Index, consumer affordability appears to have been minimally affected. How could interest rate changes affect affordability going forward? Turning to home prices, they seem reluctant to adjust, which may be attributed to labor and material costs remaining around $200 per square foot. Geographically, where are home prices seeing the largest increases? Finally, the S&P 500 price-to-earnings ratio is near its lowest level in a year and appears healthier relative to earnings, but how many companies have issued positive EPS guidance? Tune in to learn more.
Key Takeaways:
• Core CPI at 2.5% (YoY)
• Nondefense Capital Goods Shipments at 6.4% in February (YoY)
• S&P 500 price to earnings ratio at 20
...more
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