Iran hammering the UAE may now be choking the lifelines that have kept Sudan’s RSF butchers in business. Right, so Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, Hemedti, the warlord in charge of the risibly named Rapid Support Forces has spent the war in Sudan acting like the road behind him would stay open forever. Arms would come. Fuel would come. Men would come. Routes would stay available. Sponsors would stay coy. The denials would keep doing their job. The usual respectable little game would carry on, where everybody who matters says as little as possible while a genocidal militia does as much as it likes. But Sudan’s butchers may now be running out of road, and not because conscience has suddenly broken out in Abu Dhabi or Addis Ababa like a particularly unsightly rash. They may be running into a much rougher problem than that. The United Arab Emirates, their sponsors, is under strain from Iran’s regional war, Ethiopia has been dragged closer into the light as part of the RSF’s rear architecture, and Sudanese army pressure has been hitting supply sites and routes at the same time. So the question is no longer whether the RSF has foreign sustainment. The question is what happens when the machinery that has kept Hemedti supplied and comfortable starts losing room to move and room to act. General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has Sudanese Armed Forces units pushing on fronts that are tied to Hemedti’s logistics. Sudanese military sources have described strikes on RSF supply positions near the Libya and Chad borders and around 21 strikes on convoys. In the Blue Nile area, RSF activity around Deim Mansour and Al-Kurmuk has dragged the Ethiopia corridor into the war more openly, because once a convoy route, as that has been, stops being a quiet line on a planner’s desk and starts becoming something that can be named, tracked and hit, the whole atmosphere changes doesn’t it?