Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain is splitting Farage’s vote — and dragging the whole right wing further into a deportation bidding war. Right, so Rupert Lowe has launched a new party called Restore Britain, so now there are now two hard-right parties chasing the same voters, Reform and Restore, sat side by side, competing in the same turf. The far right starting to eat itself. So on the surface, that sounds like good news. If you want Nigel Farage stopped, a split like this could blunt his momentum, waste votes under First Past The Post, and turn his “inevitable next government” act into a right wing scrap. But here’s there is a catch. Lowe isn’t trying to beat Farage by being better at governing. He’s trying to beat him by being nastier. He’s already on record talking in “millions will have to go” terms when it comes to migration, he’s already playing games with who counts as British, and Reform figures are already publicly arguing about the racism swirling around Restore’s online antics. So here’s what we need to go over, because I’m going to walk through what this split could block under first past the post, what it could still drag the country into even if Restore wins nothing, and why Farage’s attempt to look respectable could end up forcing him into the same mistake we’ve seen the Tories and Starmer’s Labour make in chasing a right wing flank of voters drifting away from you, until the whole argument moves right. Right, so Rupert Lowe has launched Restore Britain as a political party and, in the process, he’s turned Nigel Farage’s big selling point into a visible weakness: the far right in Britain is not a single brand, it’s a market, and markets split when there’s money, attention, and grievance to harvest. Lowe has done the launch through a set-piece announcement video, shot on his farm, built to travel on social media first, and to feel like it’s already a movement before it’s even a party. Restore Britain has been presented as the place you go if you think Reform has started playing dress-up and trying to look “credible” for the cameras, the donors, and the same old TV panels, and that framing matters because it means Lowe isn’t trying to outcompete Farage on competence, he’s trying to outcompete him on permission.

Labour’s Gorton & Denton dinner tape has triggered a police complaint - watch the clip, then judge what it says for yourself. Right, so Labour’s Gorton and Denton dinner tape is leaving a bit of a legal aftertaste, and I’m not asking you to take my word for anything because the proof is the tape itself. So here’s the deal, I’m going to play you the clip, I’m going to tell you what we can say with certainty just from what’s visible and audible, and then I’m going to walk you through the only thing that matters after that, which is the legal and political mechanics that make this so toxic for Labour in Gorton and Denton. Because “treating” is a real word in election law, “ordinary hospitality” is the excuse everyone reaches for, and intent is the hinge that decides whether this is just grim optics or something that drags a campaign into a police file. And if you’re thinking this is just another internet row, it isn’t, because once a by-election is being fought with a dinner tape as Exhibit A, nobody in that race gets to pretend it’s about policy leaflets anymore. So stick with this, because by the end of this you’ll know exactly what questions Labour can’t dodge, what receipts would make or break the story, and why the public judgement lands long before any official process does. Right, so that was the video clip in question, circulating from the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election campaign showing a roomful of people at a sit-down meal, with Labour campaign material visible, and a voice on the recording setting out a condition for being fed that sounds, to the ear, like “if you want to get fed” then you need to hold signs up. And the first consequence is not even legal, it’s practical: once something like that is on film, nobody in that room gets to pretend the event is private, nobody in the campaign gets to pretend it’s a misunderstanding that can be tidied away with a statement, and every other party in the constituency now has a ready-made line that fits on a leaflet.

Greens “Zionism Is Racism” Vote Being Stopped? Here’s how the conference clock could stop a vote without anyone actually banning it. Right, so Green Party Spring Conference 2026. Motion A105. “Zionism is Racism.” Is the vote now at risk of not being reached? Because look at this. A stack of amendments are now sitting on top of the motion like a weight, and the only thing you need to know about conference is the clock doesn’t care who’s right, it cares how long it motions take to proceed. If this gets dragged out, if this turns into endless micro-changes and procedural wrangling, you don’t need anyone to ban it. You just need time to run out, and then you get the easiest outcome for everyone to hide behind is ‘we ran out of time’ ‘we didn’t have time to get to get to vote’. So I’m going to show you what is happening in regards to this motion now, how a vote can be stopped without anyone admitting they stopped it, what the Standing Orders Committee can do about it, and what members can do to make sure this doesn’t end as a no-vote scandal where everyone’s furious and nobody’s accountable. Right, so Jewish Greens has published a call urging Green Party members to vote against Motion A105, and it has done it in the only way that forces the party into a reputational bind, because it frames the motion as something that risks making Jews feel unwelcome in the party and it treats “Zionism” as a term so broad that it can become a disciplinary label rather than a political description. Jewish Greens has also put on record a fear that party structures could be instructed to act on that label in ways that leave Jewish members uniquely vulnerable to accusation and disciplinary stress, and it has warned about the public impression of the party moving from anti-Zionism to anti-Jewishness in the eyes of people who will not read fine distinctions. Jewish Greens does not speak for all Jews and it does not speak for every Jewish Green member, and it does not need to, because the moment a self-identified Jewish group inside the party publishes a warning about belonging and discipline, the party is now operating under a public constraint that no procedural memo can undo.

Right, so Donald Trump has just come out with the line that tells you where this is really heading. Regime change in Iran, he says, would be “the best thing that could happen”. Well for who, you big orange balloon? So when you now hear about how “talks are ongoing”, don’t picture diplomats leaning over a table looking for a deal. Picture a countdown with a polite label stuck on it instead.

Because at the same time, the US military is being described as getting ready for operations that could run for weeks, with everyone involved expecting Iran to hit back. A second aircraft carrier is moving in. Bases are being hardened. And the kind of targets being discussed aren’t just “nuclear sites”, they’re the state itself.

So in this video I’m going to do something really simple. I’m going to take the tangerine tyrant’s quote, lay it next to the buildup, and show you what it removes, because in doing what he has done and saying what he has said, he’s already removed deniability and it removes the idea this is still about a neat little technical deal. And it leaves you with the only question that matters now: how long do they plan to keep calling it “talks” while they set the board for war, now seemingly saying as much out loud?

Right, so Donald Trump has stood there, in public, and answered the regime change question by saying it “seems like that would be the best thing that could happen” in Iran, and once a US president starts speaking like that, every other sentence about diplomacy becomes stage dressing and every “indirect negotiation” becomes a timer you can’t see, because the end-state being floated isn’t a deal, it’s a removal. That fixes a constraint on everyone else in the room, including the negotiators who are still trying to pretend this is a normal bargaining process with a normal off-ramp, and it fixes a constraint on Iran too, because there is no technical concession that answers a demand for your government to stop existing.

The Pentagon is simultaneously preparing for the kind of operation that doesn’t fit inside the neat little euphemisms people use when they want audiences to think “limited”, “surgical”, “one night”, “back to normal by Monday”. The planning being described by US officials is for sustained operations measured in weeks, not hours, and the target set being contemplated goes beyond nuclear-related infrastructure into Iranian state and security facilities. That is the operational definition of escalation, because once state facilities are in scope, the action is no longer being sold as “non-proliferation enforcement”, it is being built as punishment, disorientation, and pressure against the machinery of the state. It is also being built with an assumption of retaliation, meaning the plan is not “hit and stop”, it is “hit, absorb, hit again”, and that means the real decision is not whether a strike happens but whether the United States accepts a back-and-forth cycle as a managed condition for weeks.

The hardware posture has been shifting in ways that match that assumption, because a country preparing to throw one punch does not spend this much effort on shields unless it expects the other side to throw one back. The USS Gerald R. Ford is being moved towards the region to join the USS Abraham Lincoln, and you don’t do that for show. You do it because you want more aircraft, more sorties, more command-and-control depth, and the ability to keep going day after day. A second carrier isn’t about signalling politely across a negotiating table; it’s about making the threat real, and keeping it real.

Yvette Cooper’s Observer column is now the evidence in a contempt complaint - but will the law apply to a minister? Right, so look at this. Yvette Cooper, former Home Secretary, now Foreign Secretary, wrote in a national newspaper piece about Palestine Action while criminal proceedings linked to them are still live, and she’s done it in the one way that creates the maximum legal friction, because she’s not just arguing policy, she’s branding them with “violence, intimidation… weapons, and serious injuries”, and then she admits in the same breath that “important details cannot yet be publicly reported because of criminal proceedings”. So she’s telling you she knows the cases are active, she’s telling you she can’t publish the specifics, and she’s still pushing the most loaded framing she can get on the record anyway. Now Defend Our Juries say they’ve lodged a contempt of court complaint to the Attorney General, Richard Hermer, over that exact kind of ministerial commentary, because contempt exists for one reason: so powerful people don’t get to salt the ground around a trial and then act surprised when “fair jury” becomes a fantasy. So stay with me, because I’m going to put the line on screen, I’m going to show you why it’s not a harmless turn of phrase, I’m going to connect it to what Parliament has already voted through, and I’m going to spell out what this forces onto the table now: either ministers are bound by the rules they preach, or “rule of law” is just something they shout at everyone else. Right, so Yvette Cooper has chosen to write a newspaper column about a group that the state has just shoved under terrorism powers, while criminal cases linked to that group are still live, and she has done it in the one way that creates the most legal friction: not by arguing policy, not by talking in generalities, but by stitching together a picture of “violence, intimidation…

Trump’s “very big force” threat ramps up as a second US carrier heads for the region, with Iran refusing to play ball at all... Right, so Donald Trump is sending a second aircraft carrier towards Iran while talks are still on, and he’s not even pretending what it’s for. He’s saying the quiet part in plain English: if there’s no deal, he “needs” the force, and if there is a deal, he can “cut it short”. So this isn’t diplomacy with a backstop, it’s a negotiation being conducted with a threat sitting on the table, and everyone’s meant to call that “peace”. Here’s what matters. Iran doesn’t respond to being leaned on like this, because the whole point of its posture is to make intimidation expensive. Meanwhile Trump is widening the demand list, Netanyahu is pushing for maximal terms, and the US Navy is stretching deployments like that has no cost. So in this one, I’m going to lay out what this actually locks in, who it traps, and why moving more hardware doesn’t buy control - it buys risk. Right, so Donald Trump has ordered a second US aircraft carrier towards the Middle East while indirect talks with Iran are still happening, and he has linked the deployment to whether Iran signs up to what he wants. Donald Trump has said the United States is prepared to deploy “a very big force” if the negotiations fail. Donald Trump has been asked why he is sending another carrier and he has answered that “in case we don’t make a deal, we’ll need it”, and that “if we have a deal, we could cut it short”. Donald Trump has said the second carrier will be leaving “very soon”. Donald Trump has added that if the talks are not successful it will be “a bad day for Iran — very bad”. That is the posture. That is the language. That is the environment the talks now sit inside. Trump’s moving the USS Gerald R. Ford strike group out of the Caribbean and sending it to link up with the USS Abraham Lincoln group already out there. And let’s not kid ourselves what that actually is. That isn’t “presence”. That’s a floating airbase with escorts and supply ships, built for one job: launching strikes and surviving long enough to keep doing it. So when Trump says he’ll “need it” if there’s no deal, he’s not talking about reassurance. He’s saying the threat is part of the bargaining.

High Court rules Palestine Action ban unlawful as Starmer’s government appeals, keeping proscription in force and fuelling backlash already. Right, so Keir Starmer’s government has just been told by the High Court that the Palestine Action ban was unlawful, and instead of taking the hit and moving on, Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is already saying they’re appealing, which means they’re choosing to spend more public money fighting for the right to keep a protest group proscribed under the Terrorism Act 2000. “That label isn’t just a badge, it’s a legal weapon, because once proscription is in place it creates offences around membership and inviting support, it makes speech and symbols legally risky, and it gives police grounds to act on banners, badges and slogans, and it does it while ministers hide behind the word “security” like it ends the conversation. So in this video I’m going to walk through five concrete reasons that appeal is going to blow up in Labour’s face, because the court has already said they overreached, and the only question left is how loudly they insist on proving it again. Right, so Keir Starmer is now fronting a government that has been told by the High Court that its decision to proscribe Palestine Action was unlawful, and Shabana Mahmood is still insisting on appealing, which means the ban stays in place for now while the state argues for the right to keep it. Huda Ammori has brought the challenge as a co-founder of Palestine Action, so this isn’t some abstract rights group speaking on someone else’s behalf, it’s the person at the centre of it forcing the Home Office to justify the terrorism label in court. Dame Victoria Sharp has been on the panel that has ruled there was very significant interference with freedom of speech and freedom of assembly, and that is the court describing the move as a rights hit, not a bit of paperwork. Mahmood has chosen appeal over acceptance, so instead of taking the loss and stepping back, she’s dragging the government into a longer fight to defend the decision. And that lands on Starmer because he is the prime minister, she is his Home Secretary, and he’s the one who ends up owning the bill and the blame.

Iran’s offer puts Trump on the spot as Netanyahu pushes harder, with Oman talks, new US sanctions and the nuclear standoff back in the spotlight. Right, so Donald Trump is being offered a way out and it’s the kind of way out that makes powerful people uncomfortable because it forces them to admit what this has really all been about. Iran’s atomic chief, Mohammad Eslami, is saying fine, talk nuclear only, talk dilution of that sixty per cent stockpile, but lift every sanction in return and stop pretending this is a negotiation if you’re still tightening the noose while you talk. But here’s the bit that really matters: Benjamin Netanyahu is in Washington pushing for the exact opposite, widening the demands until there’s no deal left to sign, and Pete Hegseth is telling Iran to “make the wise choice” turning diplomacy into little more than a drunken threat. So in the next few minutes I’m going to walk you through the mechanics of the offer, the trap it sets for the US and Israel, and why the next escalation, if it comes, won’t be something that “just happened,” it’ll be a decision made in full view, with an offramp for Iran already sitting there, being ignored by the mainstream media on purpose. Right, so Mohammad Eslami has put a simple condition on the table and it has the annoying quality to the US and Israel of being clearly coherent. He has said Iran could consider diluting its stockpile of uranium enriched to sixty per cent if all sanctions are lifted in return. He has also said exporting uranium is not on the agenda. Donald Trump is trying to posture as the man of deals while keeping the boot on Iran’s throat, and the two instincts can’t both run the show at the same time. The American state wants Iran to accept a “zero enrichment” position, and it wants the kind of “bigger deal” that strips out missiles and allies and anything else that makes Iran hard to hit. Iran is saying no on everything except the nuclear file, and it is putting a price on even that, and the price is sanctions relief. Head of Iran’s National Security Council, Ali Larijani has walked into Muscat with that message and he has done it with deliberate timing. He has met Sultan Haitham bin Tariq in Muscat for nearly three hours and then held talks with Omani Foreign Minister Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, and the visit is being explicitly tied to the first round of indirect talks between the United States and Iran on nuclear and sanctions-related issues hosted by Oman days earlier.

Iran calls Trump’s bluff as White House threats and sanctions raise global shipping risk, with Gulf routes and oil markets pricing the danger today. Right, so Donald Trump is trying to muscle a “deal” out of Iran by treating talks like a threat, and Iran has just made that approach look ridiculous in public. Because Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi is saying enrichment stays, missiles aren’t on the table, allies aren’t on the table, and if war gets imposed they’ll take it. So whatever you’ve been told this is, it isn’t some polite reset. It’s Washington trying to turn negotiation into surrender terms, with Benjamin Netanyahu turning up in the background to push even harder demands, as if the United States is there to run Israel’s wishlist. But here’s the part that really matters: Trump has talked himself into a corner. If he backs off, he’s admitted the threats carried no weight. If he follows through, he’s walking straight into the retaliation Iran is openly saying they’re prepared for and frankly only a fool would doubt them, with American bases sitting there in range and global shipping pricing the risk to the rest of the world in real time. So stay with me here, because I’m going to explain the interesting part isn’t the shouting. It’s the chain of consequences Trump has triggered that he now has no clean way out of. Right, so Donald Trump has put “war or deal” on the table, and Iran has answered by removing the part where the United States gets to write the terms and call it diplomacy. Abbas Araghchi has said Iran will not give up uranium enrichment, even if war is imposed, and he has tied that refusal to a claim of rights and dignity rather than bargaining posture. Donald Trump can threaten, posture, sanction and move hardware, but he cannot force a concession that Iran has now framed as non-negotiable without making the threat real.

Winter Olympics protests erupt in Milan over Israel and ICE as police deploy tear gas and chaos spills from the streets into the Games. Right, so The Winter Olympics has barely started in Milan and it’s already not about sport, because the people running this show have tried to sell you an “apolitical” Olympics while doing politics right in your face and then acting shocked when the public answers back. You’ve got students and activists in the streets chanting “ICE out”, you’ve got police using tear gas and water cannon near venues, you’ve got boos inside the stadium for Israel and for JD Vance on the big screens, and you’ve got Giorgia Meloni’s government doing what governments always do when their glossy spectacle starts slipping, trying to turn a legitimacy problem into a public order problem. And here’s the part nobody wants to admit out loud. None of this was inevitable. It was chosen. You don’t drag a toxic enforcement brand like ICE into the orbit of a global unity advert and then pretend it’s “just logistics”. You don’t insist the Olympics is neutral while giving a state like Israel a normal place in the parade and then clutch pearls when the crowd reacts. That’s not neutrality, that’s management, and it only works while everyone agrees to play along. So in this video I’m going to walk through what has actually happened, who decided what, why it’s blown up so fast, and what this forces going forward, because if Milan is the template, future Olympics are going to look less like sport and more like a travelling security state with a medal ceremony bolted on. Right, so the International Olympic Committee has rules that ban demonstrations and political propaganda inside Olympic sites and venues, and it keeps insisting sport is neutral and separate from politics, which would be a lovely fantasy if the Olympics didn’t already run on national delegations, flags, anthems, heads of government, security theatre, and the kind of messaging that states treat as free advertising.