Return on Reason

Is This Time Different? Energy Shock


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We revisit a question we expect to ask every 1-2 years. Is this time different? The catalyst this time is energy and trade shocks tied to conflict. You’ll learn:

  • How common market drops like this are and how often they rebound
  • How separating your roles as a citizen, consumer, and investor can guide what action, if any, to take
  • What history tells us about market returns through past conflicts and energy shocks
  • The questions investors are asking and how we think about what to do
  • For additional context and visuals shown in the episode, you can subscribe to Justin Brown’s Chart of the Week.

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    Meet with Pat & Marcus: https://outlook.office365.com/book/MarcusCalendaratGreenspringAdvisors@Greenspringos33.onmicrosoft.com 

     

    Sources

    (1) Tariffs: Is This Time Different? | #6 (Greenspring Advisors, 2025)

    (2) Do Large Oil Price Moves Impact Future Market Returns? (Greenspring Advisors, 2026)

    (3) U.S. Market Returns After Major Conflicts (Greenspring Advisors, 2026)

     

    Information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. It is not intended as the primary basis for financial planning or investment decisions and should not be construed as advice meeting the particular investment needs of any investor. This material has been prepared for information purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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    Return on ReasonBy Greenspring Advisors

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