Israel’s Iran strategy has stopped working, and Iran has made sure it can never pretend otherwise ever again. Right, so Israel hasn’t just annoyed Iran again, it’s blown a hole in the one thing that used to keep this confrontation from running off the rails, and it can’t pretend it didn’t see it coming this time either, because their reaction has completely given the game away. We’ve seen this routine for years: Israel threatens on stage, reassures off-camera, and treats everyone else like extras who’ll stand still while it controls the countdown. This time that reassurance got thrown back in their face, dismissed as a lie, and even treated as part of the threat itself. Iran has had enough. It has now put it in writing that words count, signals count, and waiting to be hit next time before they react, is no longer a rule it says it will abide by. And here’s the bit you won’t hear on the mainstream news: Israel has gone begging to Russia to calm things down while still threatening “severe consequences” against Iran in public, which tells you exactly who just lost control of the escalation. The question this video presents therefore is if Iran did strike first next time, something they have never done before, would anyone actually side with Israel? Right, so Israel has spent the last few days apparently doing something it almost never does in public. Benjamin Netanyahu has been trying to walk words back. He has been using third parties to reassure an adversary that Israel is not about to strike, while standing up in the Knesset and threatening “severe consequences” if that same adversary moves first. For years, the confrontation between Israel and Iran has been loud but structured, even when it has turned openly violent. They fought directly for twelve days in June, traded strikes, declared deterrence restored, and then stepped back into managed hostility where things usually sit, where things currently remain.