Kernow Damo

Israel's Game Plan Shatters: Iran’s Game-Changer Stuns the World


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The fallout from the 12 day war in June for Israel is still being felt, as Iran hand them some more unintended consequences they really won't like! Right, so Iran have just changed the scale with a single number. Ten thousand. Ten thousand kilometres as is the inference, an upgrade from two thousand. The old two-thousand limit vanished the moment this new number appeared. What the heck are we talking about? Well lets set the context. Back in June Israel launched an unprovoked attack on Iran. The exchange tightened into a twelve day war and then stopped as Israel quickly realised it had bitten off more than it could chew. No advantage left for Israel to carry forward, they got beaten. But they remain a threat, the biggest disruption in the entire Middle East and Iran know it. So now comes the number twelve thousand. The missile range announcement as it is. Iran you see have a new toy and with a range like that, Iran are not just warning off Israel, but any number of their proxies too. Right, so Iran put a new figure into the world and just left it there. Ten thousand kilometres for a missile that had never been part of the picture before. The old ceiling sat at two thousand for their missiles you see. It sat there through sanctions, negotiations, Israeli strikes and all the rest. Everyone repeated the number as though it was a technical limit rather than a political choice. It shaped how Israel behaved. It shaped how Europe planned. It shaped how the United States justified containment. This is what Iran can do, what we know they can do, so we’ll respond accordingly knowing what their limits are. Then Israel and the US hit Iranian nuclear sites. Iran ended 12 days of conflict by hitting the American base in Qatar. Well that missile range limit as it turns out, was one more casualty of that conflict, because Iran have followed it up with a bigger one. Iran’s officers began referring to a new intercontinental ballistic missile that state-linked media described as nearing operational readiness, a system without a confirmed public name but reported through defence channels as capable of reaching ten thousand kilometres, far beyond anything Iran had previously acknowledged. The figure pushed the capability into the category that covers Europe and parts of the United States, a range that only a handful of states have ever claimed. The reporting did not arrive through leaks or anonymous speculation. It arrived through Iranian outlets that have historically tracked missile development closely, citing defence sources who stated that the project was almost ready for service.

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Kernow DamoBy Damien Willey