It's Jordan, Probably

Last video I said I figured out who the Gray Cartel is. Before I say a name, you need to see how it works. Because once you see it, you'll understand why nobody's caught them.

Expert networks that pay for "consulting calls." Fifteen-minute Bitcoin markets that get decided in the last minute. Paid trading rooms where you think you're the customer, but you're the crowd. And odds that now show up on the news as if they're what everybody thinks.

If you've ever been in a paid calls group, or someone DM'd you offering money to post their calls, I want to hear about it. Comments are open.

Sources: Primary Global Research expert-network prosecutions (SEC and Justice Department records, 2010–2012); the SEC and DOJ Atlas Trading case (2022; one guilty plea, other charges pending; allegations are not convictions); Kalshi's 15-minute market rules (Kalshi help center); Kalshi's odds partnerships with CNN and CNBC, and Polymarket's with X and Dow Jones (as reported).

Educational content only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

00:00 Who the Gray Cartel is
00:24 Nobody knows they work for them
00:43 How it's organized
01:57 The one who buys tips
02:54 The one who sells the outcome
03:57 The close ones
04:49 Wave rooms
05:46 The Atlas Trading case
06:28 You're the crowd
07:17 The odds are the news
07:39 Why nobody talks
08:10 Channels all the way down
08:41 What I haven't told you

Watch it: https://youtu.be/x8USbvb497c

I started this channel to talk about trading prediction markets. Then I started reading the court filings.

A soldier who allegedly bet on a raid he helped plan. A Google engineer betting on Google's own data. Markets that get "decided" by whoever holds the most voting tokens. And a crowd that might be a lot smaller than it looks.

If you trade these markets and you've ever watched the price move right before the news, I want to hear about it. Comments are open.

Sources: federal charging documents (as reported), on-chain UMA voting records (as reported), and a Columbia University preprint on Polymarket wash trading (as reported by Fortune and Decrypt; not peer reviewed). Allegations are not convictions.

Educational content only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

00:00 Why I'm starting this channel
00:43 Case 1: the soldier and the Maduro operation
01:11 Case 2: the Google engineer
01:31 Kalshi is catching people too
02:01 Who actually decides the answer
02:57 The Ukraine minerals market
03:44 The Zelensky suit market
04:30 Is the crowd even real?
05:27 The ones who aren't sloppy
07:03 Not knowing the answer. Making it.
07:53 Why this matters
08:46 I figured it out

Watch it: https://youtu.be/BQu_7IoAzkQ