Did the AI Bubble Just Pop?
Hey, so the question on everybody's mind today is, did the AI bubble just pop? I think no. The stock market thinks yes. Let's explore why I believe that perspective is a bit short-sighted and doesn't consider the bigger picture.
The Expanding Role of AI
Here's how I use AI in 2025 for tasks that weren't possible just 24 months ago:
Writing and Editing: AI helps me write and edit blog posts.Creative Arts: I use it to create music and generate fan art.Content Summarization: It summarizes YouTube videos for me.Transcription: AI handles a lot of audio and video transcription.Language Learning: I use AI for learning new languages.Search Replacement: In many cases, AI replaces traditional Google searches.Database Queries: It assists in writing database queries, especially those not in SQL.Calculations and Problem Solving: AI helps with back-of-the-envelope calculations and thinking through problems.Translation and Coding: I use it to translate manga and even to code and build apps, just like this one.Two years ago, these applications of AI were not possible because the models simply didn't exist. We're only a couple of years into this transformation, and the potential applications of AI are still largely untapped.
Limitations and Future Potential
Currently, AI can't handle tasks like doing taxes or providing legal advice. The training data exists—case law is just a collection of books that someone spends years understanding. While AI might not take over the legal industry, it could make knowledge of tax law or other legal fields more accessible through well-trained models, but we're not there yet.
Demand for AI Remains Strong
The demand for AI hasn't changed. Despite headlines claiming that a model was trained for $6 million to compete with OpenAI's cutting-edge model, I believe that's mostly propaganda. Significant advancements include activating fewer parameters per token and using a mixture of experts. In the coming days, OpenAI is expected to disclose how GPT-4 Turbo was made cheaper and more resource-efficient than previous versions.
Infrastructure Challenges
Building a data center to run these models still requires hundreds of millions of dollars. It's not like new models will suddenly run on different chips. They will continue to operate on H100s in data centers that require significant electricity and human resources to build and maintain. We are still not meeting the demand for AI infrastructure, as more people want to use tools like Stable Diffusion or ChatGPT than there is capacity for.
Conclusion
The assertion that AI demand has decreased is misleading. There are still new applications for AI models, and the infrastructure to support them is continually evolving. The claim that a model was trained for $6 million on half a billion dollars worth of GPUs is part of a larger story about the ongoing development and deployment of AI technologies.