I've been buying some Zeda on the JSE.

- Here's why

- A bit about the business

- Risks

- Possible target price

Oil below US$ 80, the first time this year.

• • OPEC+ made no production changes.
  • EU price cap on Russian oil. Done via insurance, but will it work and if it does will oil not move higher?

• Nampak (JSE code: NPK) results and book build. Worth a speculative punt after the rights issue is done?
• Solid Sygnia (JSE code: SYG) results and strong dividend.
• RMI becomes Outsurance on the JSE, code OUT.
• China zero-covid.
• Local GDP, better than expected.
• Worst ETFs of 2022
• Position your portfolio for 2023

Simon Shares

• MPC upped rates 0.75% with more expected in the new year.
• Solid City Lodge* (JSE code: CLH) update with November occupancies at 60%.
• Rand below R17/US$ and more strength expected.
• Top40 sneaks green for the year after a rough ride.
  • This is why we hold
  • And don't panic
  • Markets recover

Chinese covid-19 cases hitting new records, by a long way.

This has real implications (bad ones) for the global economy as the second largest is going to be struggling in 2023.

Chinese covid cases since the start of the pandemic

* I hold ungeared positions.

• Renergen* (JSE code: REN) did a small capital raise and the market not liking after they said earlier in November they wouldn't do one.
• Cilo Cybin will not be listed on the JSE. They planned to raise R500million but only got R20.5million. Those who applied will be refunded.
• Local October CPI was 7.6%, up from 7.5% and vs. an expected 7.4%. Expect MPC to do 0.75% and two 0.25% next taking prime to 11%.

It feels really bad but the JSE has had a fair year with sen decent winners as the two images below show.

JSE Top40 stocks year-to-date. (winners)

JSE Top40 stocks year-to-date. (losers)

Binance buys FTX.

No, they walk away.

FTX goes bust.

Keep your coins in a hardware wallet, not on the blockchain unless you trading it. I use a Ledger Nano S Plus.

What's the future for crypto with another exchange hitting the wall?

• Results wrap;
  • Purple Group* (JSE code: PPE)
  • Stor-Age* (JSE code: SSS)
  • Ninety One (JSE code: N91)
  • Transaction Capital (JSE code: TCP)

* I hold ungeared positions.

So you bought a stock and it's done good and you're making money, maybe even lots of it.

Now what?

• First, why did you buy it? That'll often help you decide when to sell.
• Second, is it still going up? Have a line in the sand, using charts, at which you sell.
• Third, is the news still all good? Bad news means to sell.

• US inflation due Thursday, expected is 7.9%.
• Binance buys FTX
• Time for gold?
• Murray & Roberts (JSE code: MUR) sell Clough for very little but get rid of a lot of inter-company debt.
• Leisure stocks looking good, especially the Sun International* (JSE code: SUI) chart.
• "However, due to the immense interest from the public, as well as international investors to date, we decided to extend the period by 2 more weeks. This will allow for the investors that missed the deadline, to be part of this amazing opportunity to own shares in Cilo Cybin Holdings.". Not a good sign.
• Elon Musk sells Tesla (Nasdaq code: TSLA) shares worth US$4billion after saying in April he would sell no more. But this should be enough to keep Twitter afloat for the next year.
• Meta (Nasdaq code: META) to fire 11,000 workers, about 13% of the workforce.

* I hold ungeared positions.

FAANGs, a mixed bag with Meta (NASDAQ code: META) the biggest loser.

Is it worth buying or what of the other FAANGs?

Apple (NASDAQ share code: AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ code: AMZN) would be my picks. Why buy the losers?

• RMI, I got confused between RMI and RMH last week. Former is becoming Outsurance.
• Capital & Counties (JSE code: CCO) trading update shows strong leasing activity at Covenant Garden.
• Octodec (JSE code: OCT) results, discout to NAV +50%, dividend yield ±14%.
• Sasol (JSE code: SOL) convertible bond issue essential a back door right issue. Bonds expire in five years and convert into Sasol shares at US$20.3863.
• RSA Retail Savings bonds now offer 11.5% fixed for five years.

fff

The Fini15 (JSE code: STXFIN*) is the only green index so far in 2022 and the strongest bank YTD? Absa (JSE code: ABG).

Simon takes us through the journey of finding the strongest sectors and then the strongest shares to find a trade where the money is.

• Niche JSE listed property stocks, there are a bunch of them and they're mostly looking good.
• Famous Brands (JSE code: FBR) results are back at pre-pandemic levels.
• MTBPS
• Buy triggers on Nasdaq and S&P500

My lazy system has triggered buys on both S&P500 and Nasdaq. A close above last night's close and I'll be long pic.twitter.com/8HAisLdPZr

— Simon Brown (@SimonPB) October 26, 2022

* I hold ungeared positions.

"working capital requirements are especially acute"

"financial results for the six months period ending 31 December 2022, to be at least 100% down"

This is not South Africa at all, it's Australia and the US. We've seen Wilson Bayly (JSE code: WBO) walk away from their Australian operations.

Low margins and bankers not keen on bonding projects are going to crunch this industry globally. I would suggest Aveng (JSE code: AEG) is not immune either.

The only time this industry really made money was in the run-up to the world cup, and they were colluding to get operating margins of +5%. So really this is a bust industry.

That all said, decent results from Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) while we wait for Balwin (JSE code: BWN).

• MTN (JSE code: MTN) ditches Telkom (JSE code: TKG) over their Rain talks.
• Pick n Pay (JSE code: PIK) results. Not bad but the market hated selling the stock down 9.3%. Is the issue valuation? Forward PE is ±29c vs. Shoprite* (JSE code: SHP) is on ±21x.
• Combined Motor Holdings* (JSE code: CMH) has great results driven by car rentals surging. But it going to be tough going from here.
• UK inflation returns to a 40-year high of 10.1%.