The UAE has left OPEC — but that may be the least of oil markets' problems. Rory Johnston breaks down why the Strait of Hormuz closure could be the largest supply shock in recorded history.

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An energy crisis, geopolitical flashpoints, and a labor market that defies easy reading — this FOMC meeting has more landmines than any in recent memory. Rosenberg and Choi on why the disconnect between Wall Street optimism and economic reality is approaching a breaking point.

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Q1 earnings are rolling in and despite Iran-U.S. tensions rattling sentiment, banks and tech are delivering — but how long can the resilience last? We dig into what the numbers are really telling markets, and why AI is becoming the make-or-break line item for corporate guidance.

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Markets have learned to shrug off macro shocks faster than ever — so what happens when the shock actually resolves? Jamie Dutta and Mike Zaccardi examine the Hormuz relief rally alongside global GDP prints and PMI signals to gauge how deep the Middle East crisis really cut into international growth.

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Ryan Littlestone and Michael Brown join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to break down the market reaction to a fragile Middle East ceasefire and the resulting relief rally in equities. Despite easing tensions, the discussion highlights persistently high energy prices driven by shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and the broader implications for inflation. They also debate whether central banks like the Fed and ECB will respond to renewed price pressures or prioritize slowing growth. Looking ahead, the episode previews key upcoming risks, including Chinese GDP data, US inflation reports, and the Hungarian elections, as markets continue to navigate an uncertain geopolitical landscape.

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Kevin Muir, author of The Macro Tourist newsletter, joins LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to unpack the growing disconnect between short-term headlines and underlying macroeconomic trends. The discussion covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and their impact on market sentiment, alongside concerns that strong US job growth is increasingly concentrated in non-cyclical sectors, complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy path. Muir also shares a long-term view on Japan, highlighting yen weakness and high savings as a potential macro opportunity. The episode closes by exploring how political noise, including social media-driven commentary, continues to distort investor perception amid rising recession risks.

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Beat Nussbaumer joins the show to analyze a volatile global landscape shaped by escalating US-Iran tensions and the risk of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. The discussion explores how rising oil prices are impacting currencies, including pressure on the US dollar and the British pound amid stagflation risks in the UK. They also question the apparent complacency in equity markets, warning that a potential private credit crisis may be building beneath the surface. The episode concludes with a preview of key upcoming data, including US payrolls and Eurozone inflation, highlighting the deep uncertainty driving current market behavior.

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Sam Cutler and Michael Green join Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to analyze how escalating US-Iran tensions are driving volatility across global markets. The discussion focuses on sharp reactions in oil and equities following shifting ultimatums around the Strait of Hormuz, despite strong global reserves and underlying economic softness. They also examine whether central banks are misreading supply-driven shocks as persistent inflation, and what that could mean for Fed policy. The episode concludes with a look at rising recession risks and how potential leadership changes at the Federal Reserve could shape the path ahead.

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Vincent Deluard joins Harry on LiveSquawk's Market Talk to break down a pivotal week for global markets as the US-Israel-Iran conflict reshapes the macro landscape. The discussion unpacks the Fed's defiant hold — and why Powell's resistance to White House pressure made it the most hawkish FOMC in months without a single rate move. They examine the "Taco Trade" paradox, where equities near record highs and Brent crude at $109 are raising the question of whether investors are dangerously under-pricing a prolonged energy shock. The episode also covers the Bank of England's surprise 9-0 unanimous hold, soaring Gilt yields, and stagflationary pressures boxing in the ECB. The conversation closes with a look at resilient US consumer data — from TSA highs to OpenTable records — and what global PMIs, UK and Australian inflation prints, and Germany's IFO index could mean for central banks weighing their next move.Follow Vincent on X: https://x.com/VincentDeluardTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 ⁠https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-up⁠Follow us on X: ⁠https://x.com/LiveSquawk40⁠

Eric Culp and Jamie Dutta join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview upcoming rate decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. As geopolitical tensions and energy price shocks intensify, the discussion focuses on why policymakers are shifting into a cautious “wait-and-see” stance despite earlier expectations for rate cuts. They also examine diverging economic conditions between the UK and the Eurozone, including weak growth and evolving labor market dynamics. The episode highlights how central banks are prioritizing stability over action as they assess the full impact of ongoing global disruptions.Follow Eric on X: https://x.com/EricCulpLSFollow Jamie on X: X: https://x.com/vantagemktsTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk40