A summary of the Alpha Brands Research report 'Where the World Spends' — a high-quality portfolio of 46 leading brands serving consumption, the primary driver of every economy.
The theme: global output is roughly $126 trillion (IMF 2026), and every dollar of it is one of three buyers spending — households ~$71 trillion (~56%), businesses ~$33 trillion (capital formation ~26%), and governments ~$21 trillion (~17%). Consumption is not a sector; it is the economy. The portfolio is a leaders-and-innovators portfolio tied to the important consumption industries via leading brands, organized by the buyer: consumer spending (20 names, 48.2%), business cap ex and innovation (20 names, 39.9%), and government spending (6 names, 11.9%). No position is above 4.6%.
Key points:
- Portfolio quality: 27.6% weighted revenue growth, 25.8% operating margin, ~27% return on invested capital.
- The opportunity after 2026's churn: the S&P 500 sits just 2.0% below its record close while these holdings average 17.1% below their 52-week highs; 20 of 46 names are down 20% or more and carry 35.7% weighted analyst upside.
- Consensus 12-month targets imply 24.1% weighted upside for the portfolio versus ~12% expected for the S&P 500 in 2027.
- Differentiated: 12 holdings (21.7%) are not in the S&P 500, including TSMC, ASML, MercadoLibre, Spotify, Shopify, BAE Systems and Siemens Energy.
- The honest trade-off: the portfolio is pricier than the index on trailing earnings (32.8x harmonic trailing P/E vs the S&P 500's 19.0x forward), and its biggest upside sits in its most volatile names; the case rests on ~28% revenue growth and the discount already applied.
Data as of October 20, 2026 (Fiscal.ai prices; consensus analyst targets). For informational purposes only; not financial advice.