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Why consumer sentiment is tanking despite solid GDP growth and low unemployment. We examine the disconnect between economic data and household anxiety, focusing on transport fuel costs, energy shocks, and the psychology of inflation expectations anchored by recent geopolitical tensions.
#ConsumerSentiment #EconomicPsychology #InflationExpectations #GDPvsWallet #TransportFuelCosts #EnergyShock #Goldman Sachs #HappinessIndex #MacroEconomics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WeeklyMacro #MarketData #PCEIndex #UnemploymentRate #OilPrices #Geopolitics #HouseholdBudget
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With the ten-year Treasury yield holding steady at five percent while the Fed Funds effective rate sits at 3.63 percent, a structural divergence is emerging in September 2026. Lucas and Luna break down why the market is pricing in persistent inflation expectations despite cooling GDP growth of 1.5 percent. They examine the mechanics behind this spread, how it impacts corporate borrowing costs, and what it signals for the next FOMC meeting.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroEconomics #FederalReserve #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #InflationData #GDPGrowth #MonetaryPolicy #BondMarket #FinancialMarkets #EconomicAnalysis #InvestingStrategy #Macroeconomics #FedFundsRate #TenYearTreasury #PCEPriceIndex #LucasAndLuna
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Fuel prices are no longer just a line item for truckers; they are becoming a structural drag on the entire US economy. With transport companies sounding alarms and consumers facing an estimated one thousand seven hundred dollar energy shock, Lucas and Luna break down how the Iran conflict is reshaping global supply chains. They analyze the latest PCE data, the ten-year Treasury yield hovering near five percent, and why the Federal Reserve’s rate policy is colliding with rising logistics costs to create a sticky inflationary environment that standard models aren't capturing.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #Logistics #SupplyChain #Inflation #Transportation #FuelPrices #IranConflict #FederalReserve #PCEData #TreasuryYields #ConsumerSpending #GlobalTrade #MacroTuesdays #LucasAndLuna #EnergyShock #FreightCosts
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Transport companies are sounding the alarm on fuel prices as oil markets tighten amid geopolitical tensions. With an estimated $1,700 per household bill from the one-two punch of higher energy costs and interest rates, we examine how this supply shock is reshaping consumer behavior. We look at the disconnect between cooling GDP growth and rising core CPI to understand why the inflation fight is far from over.
#EnergyPrices #ConsumerInflation #GeopoliticalRisk #TransportSector #HouseholdBudgets #CoreCPI #OilSupplyShock #InterestRates #EconomicOutlook #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroTuesdays #InflationData #MarketAnalysis #GlobalEconomy #LucasAndLuna #FinanceNews #EconomicsExplained
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Lucas and Luna unpack the disconnect between August payrolls and real economic output. With nonfarm payrolls at 159,075 but real GDP growth slowing to 1.5 percent annualized, they ask if we are hiring for stagnation. The conversation explores how rising job openings and sticky core CPI inflation are reshaping consumer confidence ahead of a potential Fed rate hike.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicsShow #MacroTuesdays #RealGDP #NonfarmPayrolls #CoreCPI #FedRateHike #LaborMarket #ProductivityGap #ConsumerConfidence #JobOpenings #WageGrowth #InflationData #FederalReserve #EconomicOutlook #September2026 #MarketAnalysis
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Inflation outpaces wage growth in August, leaving real purchasing power flat despite nominal gains. Lucas and Luna break down the CPI data showing core prices rising while average hourly earnings stall, creating a squeeze on household budgets. They examine how this divergence impacts consumer outlooks and why the Fed faces pressure to hold rates steady even as job openings remain high.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicsShow #MacroTuesdays #WageGrowthTrap #InflationData #CPIReport #RealWages #ConsumerOutlook #FederalReservePolicy #LaborMarketCooling #PurchasingPower #AugustPayrolls #CoreCPI #HouseholdBudgets #EconomicSlowdown #PricePressure #LucasAndLuna
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Inflation is outpacing wage growth again, squeezing Americans’ paychecks. With the CPI reading at 334.1 and core PCE still sticky, we explore how persistent price pressures are eroding real purchasing power despite a cooling labor market. Lucas and Luna break down the mechanics of this squeeze, why the Fed might hold rates higher for longer, and what it means for your household budget in late 2026.
#WageGrowth #CPIReport #PCEIndex #FederalReserve #InflationData #RealWages #ConsumerOutlook #LaborMarket #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicAnalysis #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroTuesdays #US Economy #PaycheckSqueeze #InterestRates #CostOfLiving #FinanceNews
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August CPI came in hotter than expected while average hourly earnings grew by only half a percent, creating a dangerous divergence. Lucas and Luna break down why real wages are contracting again despite job market stability. They examine the implications for consumer spending power, the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week, and why this specific data point matters more than headline GDP growth.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroEconomics #InflationData #RealWages #CPIReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #ConsumerSpending #WageGrowth #PCEIndex #LaborMarket #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicOutlook #September2026 #PayrollData #CostOfLiving #MarketVolatility
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August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, but the real story lies in average hourly earnings jumping to thirty-seven dollars and eight cents. With core CPI holding at 337.8 and job openings ticking up to 7,271,000, we are seeing a labor market that refuses to cool on wages even as growth slows. Lucas and Luna dissect why this wage-price friction is forcing the Federal Reserve to consider another rate hike next week despite a softening GDP print of just one point five percent annualized. This episode explains the mechanics of sticky service-sector inflation and what it means for your mortgage rates and portfolio heading into Q4.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #LaborMarket #WageGrowth #InflationData #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EconomicsNews #AugustPayrolls #CoreCPI #JobOpenings #MacroTuesdays #FedPolicy #ConsumerPrices #RealGDP #EconomicOutlook #LucasAndLuna #MarketAnalysis
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With the S&P 500 down two percent this week and ten-year yields climbing toward five percent, markets are pricing in a surprise interest rate hike next week. We break down why the Federal Reserve might be forced to tighten policy despite cooling growth data, focusing on the divergence between headline inflation and sticky core services. Lucas and Luna examine the mechanics of the FOMC decision and what a counter-intuitive move means for borrowers and bondholders.
#FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationData #MonetaryPolicy #BondYields #SAndP500 #CoreCPI #FedFundsRate #MarketVolatility #Macroeconomics #FinancialMarkets #ConsumerPrices #TreasuryBonds #LucasAndLuna #WeeklyMacro
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