Margin of Truth

In the first episode of Margin of Truth, David Andersen and Trevor Erridge explore what forecasting is—and why it matters when the future is uncertain. They unpack the difference between a budget and a forecast, and explain how forecasts connect strategy to real decisions about people, cash, and resources.

They also ask a harder question: How good are we at predicting what comes next? Drawing on research into expert and “superforecaster” habits, they discuss how humility, curiosity, probabilities, and a willingness to update assumptions can help leaders plan more thoughtfully.

Because forecasting isn’t fortune-telling. It’s a way to make better decisions today.