Introduction:
In today’s episode, we dive into the mounting market anxieties driven by several converging global challenges. First, China’s economic growth slowed to 4.8% in the third quarter, its weakest pace in a year, compounded by a deepening real estate crisis and escalating trade tensions with the US—including threats tied to rare earth exports. We’ll explore why this dual crisis could trigger a "balance sheet recession" and what that means for the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank as they continue their battle against inflation.
Next, we analyze a significant geopolitical shift as former President Trump reportedly urged Ukraine to cede territory to Russia following a tense meeting with President Zelenskyy. This "transactional" pivot challenges prevailing narratives about prolonged defense spending and raises questions about the future stability of European assets and the strength of US alliances.
Finally, we examine the newly announced $8.5 billion US-Australia alliance aimed at breaking China’s 90% dominance over the rare earth supply chain. This strategic partnership not only introduces a "geopolitical security premium" for Western companies but also heightens concerns about China potentially weaponizing rare earth prices against these critical investments.
Content and Timestamp:
00:00:37 China's Economic Slowdown Amid Escalating US Trade Tensions
00:07:30 Trump Pushes Ukraine to Cede Territory to Russia After Tense Zelenskyy Meeting
00:12:26 US and Australia Forge Rare Earths Alliance to Challenge China's Dominance
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