2020 has already seen the quickest bear market sell-off and counter-rally in history. With one of the most consequential elections in U.S. history just six weeks away and another virus wave likely this fall, volatility will remain the key investing story in 2020. So much fear and greed can make even the most seasoned investor abandon well thought out plans, leading to potentially catastrophic results to their portfolio's bottom line. EPB Macro Research's Eric Basmajian rejoins the podcast to walk listeners through his unique approach to portfolio construction, which blends mean-variance analysis and his own financial forecasting models to produce risk-adjusted outperformance.
Show Notes
4:00 - 2020 has been a crazy year for markets - and it's not even over
7:30 - What is Modern Portfolio Theory - and why does it work?
12:30 - Balancing risk through mean variance analysis
17:30 - Eric's approach to portfolio construction within EPB Macro Research
23:00 - Frequency of portfolio rebalancing
29:45 - Current valuations and future expected returns in asset class allocations and position sizing
33:30 - How overvalued are equities right now?
37:30 - Valuations continued: U.S. vs. Foreign equities
42:30 - Expected bond returns in a flat yield curve environment
56:00 - Disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street: How efficient are markets?
62:00 - Too much debt is bad for future growth
72:00 - Labor force vs. productivity growth
76:00 - Given the current interest rate environment, how does one get a real rate of return in bonds?
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