A market update on the surprise relief from a 3.4% CPI reading, the fading odds of a September Fed hike, and why a stubborn oil spike near the Strait of Hormuz is still keeping inflation worries alive. The episode also covers the latest AI infrastructure earnings momentum, bank stocks, and key names to watch into the opening bell.

Markets are digesting a surprise payroll decline, shifting Fed rate-hike odds, and the looming risk of a hot CPI print that could upend the latest easing narrative. The episode also covers Apple’s downgrade, upbeat small business sentiment, and the key pre-market movers and macro data investors are watching today.

Show Notes

• Stock market next week: Outlook for Aug. 10-14, 2026: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/07/stock-market-next-week-outlook-for-aug-10-14-2026-.html

Intel’s surprise $15 billion equity offering sparks a sharp premarket selloff as traders weigh immediate dilution against the long-term value of a stronger balance sheet and funding for advanced packaging and AI investments.

The episode also breaks down the broader market backdrop, including soft labor data, rate expectations, oil volatility, and key stocks moving on earnings, upgrades, and major contract wins.

Show Notes

• United States Stock Market Index - Quote - Chart - Historical Data - News: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

Markets face a tense open as rising Strait of Hormuz risks push Brent crude higher, while tech names like Sandisk and Western Digital get hit on margin pressure and weak guidance. The episode also previews key labor data, including July nonfarm payrolls, and breaks down how the results could shape bond yields, Fed expectations, and sector moves.

Show Notes

• S&P 500 falls as oil prices pressure stocks; Dow drops more than 450 ...: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/08/05/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

We break down the massive SpaceX lockup expiration, its impact on price discovery, and why a flood of new shares is colliding with shaky sentiment after a rough earnings reaction. Plus, a split market tape, sector shakeouts in software and mortgage finance, and the latest macro data shaping the day ahead.

Markets are hovering near record highs as earnings spotlight a powerful shift from software hype to physical infrastructure, with Caterpillar, Boeing, and other hardware-linked names benefiting from AI-driven capex. The episode also weighs the bull and bear cases on consumer weakness, higher borrowing costs, and the day’s key macro catalysts, including ADP, ISM Services, and JOLTS.

Show Notes

• Earnings Blitz, Peace Hopes Provide Early Boost: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-update-open

Pre-market markets react to easing geopolitical tensions as crude oil drops and Treasury yields slip, sparking a relief rally in equity futures. The episode also breaks down Marriott’s mixed Q2 results, weighing resilient U.S. travel demand against weakness overseas ahead of key ISM Services and JOLTS data.

Show Notes

• Dow surges nearly 700 points for record close as Big Tech stocks rise ...: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/08/02/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

Crude plunges below $80 after Washington pauses strikes on Iran and peace talks resume in Oman, lifting equity futures while pressuring energy names. We also break down the bull and bear cases for the oil relief rally and preview earnings from Marriott, Clorox, Palantir, and ON Semiconductor.

Rising long-term Treasury yields are pressuring mega cap tech as Amazon and Apple reveal a sharp split in how Wall Street prices capex, margins, and future growth. The episode also weighs Exxon Mobil and Chevron earnings, energy cash flows, and month-end rebalancing flows that could reshape the tape.

Markets are split between AI-fueled optimism and a sharp repricing in bonds, as Microsoft surges on strong Azure growth while Meta sinks on a costly capex miss. The episode also covers Treasury yields hitting a 19-year high, rising oil and gold amid geopolitical तनाव, and key earnings and macro data ahead.