It was eleven years ago today that Malaysia Airlines flight 370 disappeared from radar screens over the South China Sea.

Since then millions of square miles of ocean have been searched from the air, hundreds of thousands of square kilometers of seabed have been scanned, a few dozen pieces of debris have been recovered from the shores of the western Indian Ocean, but we still don’t have any conclusive answers as to what happened to the plane or the 239 people aboard.

There is a search on—but it’s not clear to what extent. The ship tasked with scanning the seabed, Ocean Infinity’s Armada's 78 06, has set sail towards the search area, but it is displaying its destination as Cape Town, with a time of arrival so soon that it implies that it will spend little if any time on station in the search area.

Today I’m going to talk about what we know about the confusing status of the search right now and what the possibilities are going forward.

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