Headline and underlying inflation both declined again in the June quarter. The annual pace of headline inflation fell from 2.4 to 2.1 per cent between March and June. The "trimmed mean" measure of inflation, which is the Reserve Bank's preferred measure of underlying inflation, also declined. It fell from 2.9 to 2.7 per cent between March and June, which broadly matches the Reserve Bank's forecasts from May. Economists say the data has cleared the way for the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates at its August meeting. Treasurer Jim Chalmers described the figures as outstanding.
David Bassanese, BetaShares chief economist, said the decline in trimmed mean inflation reflected broad-based easing in goods, services, and housing-related inflation. But he said the data also demonstrated that RBA governor Bullock was right to be cautious about cutting rates before she saw this inflation data. He expects the central bank to lower the cash rate in August. AMP deputy chief economist Diana Mousina also thinks the RBA will cut rates. Borrowers in Melbourne are looking forward to lower mortgage repayments. Emilia Terzon reports.
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