Milly Maker Maniac

Ep. 11 — QB Rankings 16-20: Malik Willis Is My Biggest QB Stand of Best Ball 2026

Podcast Description

Part 4 of the Best Ball QB Rankings — closing out the top 20 with the sneaky-important QB3 tier. Four of these five guys have finished QB6 or higher in their career, and the fifth (Malik Willis) put up 32.5 DK points in his ONE 2025 start.

Biggest headline: Malik Willis is my #1 QB stand of the entire best ball season at 20% target exposure. He's the Justin Fields comp — if Justin Fields could actually throw. Miami's $45M-guaranteed contract says they believe he's their guy for the next 4-5 years, and the Dolphins' scrappy underdog script sets up perfectly for QB-friendly point totals.

Inside the episode:

• The best-ball-vs-redraft ranking philosophy — why I want exposure to guys I'd rank lower in a redraft
• Kyler Murray + Kevin O'Connell + Jefferson stack — the fresh-start motivator
• Bo Nix year-3 leap case — 12% target (up from 2%) with Waddle and Pat Bryant as core stacks
• Full Malik Willis deep-dive — advanced metrics from his lone start, contract analysis, injury-risk vs bench-risk debate
• Jordan Love's concentrated pass game — why Watson, Kraft, Reed, and Matthew Golden all bump up
• Baker Mayfield's bounce-back case + why Chris Godwin is my biggest WR fade of the year
• Playoff schedules for each — where the Week 15-17 shootouts live

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com. Previous QB Rankings episodes cover 1-5, 6-10, and 11-15.

Part 3 of the Best Ball QB Rankings. This tier is where builds get won: pocket passers you stack instead of draft naked, injury-upside plays, and one QB with a top-3 playoff schedule that nobody's paying enough for.

Inside the episode:

• Why Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy at QB11 — cleaner health profile + top-3 playoff schedule
• Bhayshul Tuten as the single biggest Jaguar stand of my portfolio
• Purdy's 93rd%ile success rate + 96th%ile TD rate — and why the 49ers-stay-healthy outcome is only 10-15% likely
• The Matthew Stafford rule: Puka teams only, never naked — why last year was the ceiling
• Jaxson Dart at QB14 as a legit Week 16-17 game-stack piece (@DET / @DAL)
• Theo Johnson as a 20th-round Dart stacking dart-throw
• Jared Goff as the best pocket-passer stack in fantasy — the 15-20% 40-TD outcome case + the Gibbs/Amon-Ra/LaPorta stack tree
• Why you almost never draft Goff naked

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com. QB Ranks 1-5 and 6-10 already up in the earlier rankings episodes.

Next episode wraps the QB series: QBs 16-20 (late-round upside tier).

Part 2 of the Best Ball QB Rankings — QBs 6 through 10 for 2026. This is the tier where the season gets won: any of these five can hit 40+ TDs and bring a full stack of pass-catchers with them. Target exposure numbers, stacking partners, and playoff-schedule math for each.

Big headline: Justin Herbert is my single biggest above-market stand of the offseason. 25-30% target exposure, walking into a Mike McDaniel offense with Alt and Slater back healthy and a completely rebuilt interior OL. He's already had a 5,000-yard, 38-TD season with worse weapons — I think the MVP outcome is 30-35% likely.

Inside the episode:

• Why Dak Prescott is a DK preference (300-yard bonuses) but Underdog fade
• The Lamb + Pickens ping-pong stack construction
• Jalen Hurts bounce-back case (Sean Mannion + tush push rushing TDs returning)
• Patrick Mahomes' 42% career boom rate — the highest of any QB in NFL history — makes him a 20% target even coming off ACL
• Why Caleb Williams is the ONE fade of the top 12 — Ben Johnson won't let him cook
• Full playoff-schedule walkthrough on every QB (weather, dome, defensive matchups)
• Late-round stacking darts: Tyquan Thornton, Charlie Kolar, Jayden Blue, Trey Harris

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Stats Hub, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com.

Episode 9 drops next: QBs 11-15.

First rankings episode of the season — my top 5 quarterbacks for Best Ball 2026 and the exposure, stacking, and playoff-schedule framework that goes with each. I'm above market on all five, which is a stand, so I walk through the reasoning tier by tier.

Inside the episode:

• Why Josh Allen at QB1 is worth an 8% exposure target even at the brutal ADP — Joe Brady's promotion, defensive regression, and the new-stadium narrative
• The Lamar bounce-back case: 30%+ career boom rate, Declan Doyle unlocking the offense, and why Lamar + Zay is the highest-advance-rate double-stack of the season
• Joe Burrow as my 15-20% target QB — 50-touchdown outcomes, 2nd-best playoff schedule, and the Bengals quad-stack build
• Jayden Daniels year-3 leap — the new OC, motion, McLaurin targets, and the JAX Week 17 game stack
• Drake Maye as solid-but-not-elite QB5 — how the schedule flip and playoff slate cap his ceiling
• How to make sure you leave every draft with at least one top-12 QB
• Why I'm above market on nearly every QB in the top 12 (Caleb Williams is the exception — covered next episode)

Rankings tool, Boom Game History, Player Compare, and Team Pages with playoff schedules all live at millymakermaniac.com.

Episode 12 drops next: QBs 6-10.

Taking another shot at $3 million on the DraftKings NFL Best Ball $20M Millionaire — drafting out of the 11 spot and building one of the heaviest stack-driven teams I've done this season. Ashton Jeanty and De'Von Achane anchor the running back room (both above-market stands I walk through in detail), Justin Herbert leads a five-deep Chargers stack with McConkey / Trey Harris / Gadsden / Njoku, a Patrick Mahomes + Xavier Worthy mini-stack rides the Week 17 game against the Chargers, and we close it out with a full Browns stack: Shedeur Sanders, Quinshon Judkins, Cassey Concepcion, and Denzel Boston.

Inside the episode:

• The full Player Compare walk-through on Achane vs. Saquon, Walker, Chase Brown, and Hampton — and why boom rate, EPA per touch, and yards created per carry make him the easy pick
• Why Jeanty as RB12 last year behind a broken Raiders OL is the buy — Kubiak, the new center, and Colt Miller returning
• Tyler Warren as a top-12 TE 40 picks behind Brock Bowers
• The case for a Browns offense scoring 21+ points in real games — and why Shedeur winning QB1 unlocks the whole stack
• Stacking philosophy when your two best QBs face each other in Week 17
• Late-round dart throws: Sean Tucker, Tez Johnson, Chris Brazzell

The full DraftKings $20M Millionaire structure walk-through is in here too — round-by-round payouts, advancement rules, and why this format rewards top-heavy stacks. Rankings, team pages, and tools at millymakermaniac.com.

Another $2M Best Ball Mania draft on Underdog, this time out of the 9 spot. I'm going Hero RB around De'Von Achane (above market — 34% boom rate is too loud to ignore), stacking a wide receiver room four deep with CeeDee Lamb, Zay Flowers, Ladd McConkey, and Christian Watson, and then pivoting hard into a full Miami game stack with Malik Willis, Greg Dulcich, and Malik Washington when my Dak and Herbert stacks both got sniped.

Inside the episode:

• Why Achane belongs above Saquon, Kenneth Walker, and Chase Brown
• The Jonathan Brooks stand at 105 and why I'm higher than the room
• How I ended up on naked Mahomes — and why I'm fine with it
• The Malik Willis case: tape, athleticism, accuracy, and a Miami offense people are sleeping on
• Tyler Warren as a top-12 TE absorbing vacated Pittman targets
• Late-round RB logic: Woody Marks, Zach Charbonnet, Sean Tucker
• Fading Saquon and Derrick Henry one more time

Full roster, full reasoning, full board reactions. Rankings, team pages, and the Player Compare tool live at millymakermaniac.com.

First DraftKings $20M Best Ball Millionaire draft where I finally took Christian McCaffrey. From pick 7, went HERO RB — McCaffrey + Bowers start, built around Brock Purdy and Jayden Daniels with double stacks on both sides. Full walkthrough of every pick, every stand, every "this team is the most injury-prone roster ever assembled" moment.

$25 entry. $3M for 1st, $2M for 2nd, $1M for 3rd.

Become a Maniac: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE TEAM
QB: Jayden Daniels, Brock Purdy
RB: Christian McCaffrey, Jaylen Warren, JK Dobbins, Chris Rodriguez, Jonah Coleman, Tank Bigsby
WR: Zay Flowers, Terry McLaurin, Christian Watson, Ricky Pearsall, Travis Hunter, Demetrius Stribling, Dontayvion Wicks, Troy Franklin, Jakobi Lane
TE: Brock Bowers, Chig Okonkwo, Greg Dulcich

WHY I FINALLY TOOK McCAFFREY
After fading him all season, the boom rate research changed my mind. CMC has a 61.5% career DK boom rate — 22+ points in 6 of every 10 games. Last year: 12 boom games, 15 usable weeks. His receiving role on DraftKings full-PPR keeps him bankable even if the rushing efficiency slips. Building 2-4% of the field as a hedge.

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- McCaffrey at 1.07 — first share of the season
- Bowers at 2.18 — Kubiak target hog
- Jayden Daniels + McLaurin + Chig triple stack
- Purdy + McCaffrey + Pearsall 49ers stack
- Travis Hunter at 13.151 — won't just play corner
- Jonah Coleman as the Dobbins handcuff
- Tank Bigsby for Week 17 vs SF

MY BIGGEST FADES
- Saquon Barkley — age + workload + worse OL = bust candidate
- Derrick Henry — film shows lost a step

STACKS
- 49ers — Purdy + CMC + Pearsall + Stribling
- Commanders — Daniels + McLaurin + Chig
- Week 17 correlation — Bigsby, Wicks, Hunter all face the stacks

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(01:30) Why I changed my CMC stance
(03:00) Pick 1.07 — Christian McCaffrey
(05:30) Pick 2.18 — Brock Bowers
(08:00) Pick 3.31 — Zay Flowers
(10:30) Pick 4.42 — Terry McLaurin
(13:00) Evans + Lamar both sniped
(17:00) Pick 6.66 — Jayden Daniels
(19:30) Pick 7 — Jaylen Warren
(22:00) Pick 8 — Brock Purdy
(24:30) Jonathan Brooks sniped again
(26:00) Pick 9 — Ricky Pearsall
(28:30) Pick 10 — JK Dobbins
(31:00) Pick 11 — Chris Rodriguez
(33:30) Pick 12 — Chig Okonkwo
(35:30) Pick 13 — Travis Hunter
(37:30) Pick 14 — Jonah Coleman
(40:00) Pick 15 — Demetrius Stribling
(42:00) Pick 16 — Tank Bigsby
(43:30) Pick 17 — Greg Dulcich
(45:00) Pick 18 — Brandon Aiyuk fade
(47:00) Pick 19 — Dontayvion Wicks
(48:30) Pick 20-21 — Franklin + Lane
(50:30) Final team breakdown

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac

First recorded Underdog Best Ball Mania draft of the year. From pick 7, went ZERO RB — Amon-Ra St. Brown, Brock Bowers, Zay Flowers, Lamar Jackson stack. Then got sniped on Jonathan Brooks by ONE pick and had to scramble the whole RB room. Full walkthrough of every decision, every stand, every panic pivot.

Become a Maniac: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE TEAM
QB: Lamar Jackson, Bryce Young
RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, Keaton Mitchell, Jonah Coleman, Kyle Monangai, Emmitt Johnson
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Zay Flowers, Luther Burden, Carnell Tate, Ricky Pearsall, Elijah Surratt
TE: Brock Bowers, Gunner Helm, Greg Dulcich

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- Amon-Ra St. Brown at 1.07 — safest WR1 on the board
- Brock Bowers at 2.02 — JSN of Kubiak's offense
- Lamar + Zay + Surratt triple stack
- Fading CMC, Saquon, Henry — age cliff is real
- Buying the Vikings backfield (Aaron Jones + Jordan Mason)
- Keaton Mitchell as a zero-RB value bet

STACKS
- Lions — Amon-Ra
- Bears Week 17 — Burden + Monangai
- Ravens — Lamar + Zay + Surratt
- Vikings backfield buy
- Titans — Tate + Helm

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(00:30) Why I don't love the pick 7 slot
(02:00) Pick 1.07 — Amon-Ra St. Brown
(04:30) Pick 2.18 — Brock Bowers
(07:00) Pick 3.31 — Zay Flowers
(09:30) Pick 4.42 — Luther Burden
(12:00) Pick 5.55 — Lamar Jackson
(14:00) Pick 6.66 — Carnell Tate
(17:00) Pick 7.79 — Rhamondre Stevenson
(20:00) Jonathan Brooks gets sniped
(22:30) Pick 8.90 — Ricky Pearsall pivot
(25:00) Buying the Vikings backfield
(28:00) Pick 11 — Keaton Mitchell
(30:30) Pick 12 — Jonah Coleman
(32:30) Mendoza dream dies, Bryce Young pivot
(35:00) Pick 15-16 — Gunner Helm + Greg Dulcich
(37:30) Pick 17 — Emmitt Johnson
(39:00) Final pick: Elijah Surratt
(40:30) Final team breakdown

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac

First recorded Best Ball draft of the year. Zero RB build — 5 wide receivers in the first 6 rounds, including Brock Bowers in Round 2.

Walking through every pick, every stand, every fade. Why I'm fading CMC, Saquon, and Henry. Why I'm force-drafting Jonathan Brooks 40 spots above ADP. Why Jalen Warren is one of the biggest values in the middle rounds. Why JSN over Puka. The Sam Darnold + JSN stack. Plus a full tour of the new tools on millymakermaniac.com.

Drafted in the DraftKings Best Ball $20M Millionaire from the 5 spot.

Join the Maniacs: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

THE FINAL TEAM
WR: JSN, Zay Flowers, Tee Higgins, Jalen Waddle, Parker Washington, Jeremy Bernard
TE: Brock Bowers, Greg Dulcich, Terrence Ferguson
RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, Jaylen Warren, Jonathan Brooks, JK Dobbins, Emmett Johnson, Chris Brazell, Jayden Blue
QB: Sam Darnold, Bryce Young, Aaron Rodgers, Fernando Mendoza

MY BIGGEST STANDS
- Fading CMC, Saquon, Henry — the age cliff is real
- Jonathan Brooks at RB30 is the biggest value on the board
- JSN over Puka
- Brock Bowers at 2.01
- Jaylen Warren over Rico Dowdle

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(01:00) Downloading my rankings from the site
(03:30) Pick 1.05 — JSN over Puka
(06:00) Pick 2.20 — Brock Bowers
(09:00) Fading the old RBs
(12:00) Pick 3.29 — Zay Flowers
(14:30) Pick 4.44 — Tee Higgins
(17:00) Pick 5.53 — Jalen Waddle
(20:00) Pick 6.68 — Parker Washington (Zero RB committed)
(22:00) Pick 7.77 — Rhamondre Stevenson
(25:00) Pick 8.84 — Jaylen Warren
(28:00) Pick 9.92 — Jonathan Brooks (40 spots above ADP)
(32:00) Pick 10.101 — JK Dobbins
(35:00) Pick 11.116 — Sam Darnold + JSN stack
(37:30) Building the QB room (Young, Rodgers, Mendoza)
(42:00) Late round dart throws
(50:00) Final team breakdown
(55:00) Tour of the site tools
(58:00) Closing thoughts

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac

MillyMakerManiac.com is live. This is the full tour — every page, every tool, exactly how I use it.

I'm Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac. After hundreds of hours of building, every Best Ball and DFS tool I wanted is now in one place. Rankings, projections, stacking research, boom rates, 32 team breakdowns, builder tools — all of it.

Join the Maniacs: https://millymakermaniac.com
Discord: https://discord.gg/NGGM2EA9

WHAT'S ON THE SITE
- Best Ball Rankings — DraftKings + Underdog, updated all season with one-click CSV export
- Best Ball Playoff Rankings — Vegas team + game totals for Weeks 15-17, where the Milly is actually won
- Stats Hub — every advanced analytic for QB/RB/WR/TE, sortable, three years of data
- ADP Movers — biggest DraftKings and Underdog risers and fallers, updated weekly
- Boom Game History — career boom rates normalized to 17 games (removes injury penalty)
- Player Profiles — every fantasy-relevant player with color-coded advanced analytics
- Stacking Study — 10-year breakdown of the most common winning stacks
- Score Frequency Study — what scoring ranges QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1 actually hit
- Week 17 Study — the scoring profiles that win championship week
- 32 Team Pages — full offseason breakdown, players, playoff schedule, grades
- Projection Builder — set your own percent changes per team and position
- Rankings Builder — turn your projections into upload-ready DK/UD CSVs
- Player Compare Tool — side-by-side advanced analytics for tough decisions

CHAPTERS
(00:00) Welcome, Maniacs
(01:00) Why I built this site
(02:30) Site walkthrough begins
(03:00) Best Ball Rankings (DK + UD)
(04:30) Playoff Rankings
(05:30) Stands vs Fades philosophy
(06:30) Discord + community
(07:00) Stats Hub
(09:00) ADP Movers
(09:30) Boom Game History
(11:00) Player Profiles
(12:30) Stacking Study
(14:30) Score Frequency Study
(16:00) Week 17 Study
(16:30) 32 Team Pages
(18:00) Projection Builders
(19:30) Rankings Builders
(20:30) Player Compare Tool
(21:30) Outro

THE PLAN
Daily episodes from now through NFL kickoff. Team-by-team breakdowns, ranking shows, mock drafts, Best Ball strategy, ADP movement. Two episodes per week once DFS season hits.

If you grind Sunday morning lineups, stay up at 2 AM rebuilding projections, and obsess over every team's third-string slot receiver — you're already one of us.

Drop your stands and fades in the Discord. Try to change my mind. That's the whole point.

— Zac, the Milly Maker Maniac