South Africa’s early mover advantage in green hydrogen will fade and become ineffective over time without a collaborative, collective and holistic national approach that assures the export of green hydrogen over and above its domestic use.
That was the strong message that came across in the Hydrogen Economy Discussion webinar in which AP Ventures founding partner Kevin Eggers, PwC South Africa director energy, strategy and infrastructure James Mackay, Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) head of mining and metals, infrastructure and energy Reginald Demana, and Atlantis Special Economic Zone (SEZ) Company acting CEO Dr Pierre Voges participated, under the watchful eye of mining doyen Bernard Swanepoel. (Also look at attached Creamer Media video.)
The big takeaway is that domestic and export green hydrogen potential must be considered together if either is to be economically competitive.
The export of green hydrogen is expected to lead South Africa’s green hydrogen growth story, with export and domestic balances being key.
South Africa is seen in the early stages as being in the lowest quartile of cost globally as a result of having a good balance of natural resources, sufficient land, good positioning, infrastructure, and legal and banking expertise.
However, projected over time, South Africa keeps slipping down the projected cost curve according to the projected calculations being done and by 2040-45, the country is, at best, mid of the global cost curve. That is because other countries with natural resources will be catching up.
The debaters concurred about South Africa's early mover advantage needed to be anchored by exports because the country does not have the financial incentives, subsidies and finance available to accelerate domestic uptake.
AP Ventures, which is looking for investments in South Africa, has 80% of its investments in the US and Europe.
The Anglo American-linked venture capital company had its origin eight years ago as a corporate venture development fund spun out of Anglo American Platinum, and quickly learnt the close coupling between platinum group metals (PGMs) and hydrogen, and the opportunity to get PGMs to play a catalytic role in bringing about the hydrogen economy.
“The two are inextricably linked in my view,” said Eggers of PGMs and hydrogen. AP Ventures manages $400-million and has invested in 17 portfolio companies. Last year, 200 of the 500-plus deals that AP Ventures viewed were hydrogen-linked, the online webinar covered by Mining Weekly heard.
“We see a lot of hydrogen opportunities. What we look at as a team is very much focused on the venture capital end, so the early stage novel technology part of that spectrum, and we invest all the way across the value chain,” Eggers said.
“Importantly, worth mentioning in terms of this South African focused audience is that we have the majority of our capital from South African sources, and that Anglo American Platinum, Impala Platinum and the Public Investment Corporation form the cornerstone of our capital base.
“Beyond that we have Japanese, Norwegian and French investors, but it’s very important that we’ve got this strong base of South Africans who see this really interesting link between the PGMs growth and the opportunity to build our hydrogen economy.
“I must say at the outset that I’m bullish, I’m very optimistic about hydrogen, I’m very optimistic about the opportunity for South Africa to benefit on the back of successfully building the hydrogen economy.
“I know it’s going to be hard to marshall that level of capital into a nascent sector like the hydrogen economy but I’m still optimistic.
“South Africa is a very important geography for us. We want to see this hydrogen story develop here, and I think we can do that by bringing some technology into the country and putting some dollars to work at the same time,” said Eggers.
Questioned on how much risk the IDC was prepared to take on piloting hydrogen projects within South Africa, Demana...