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Mining company Menar is very hopeful that trade relations between South Africa and the United States are normalised very soon, and points out that if they are not, the United States will also be adversely affected and not South Africa alone.
Menar MD Vuslat Bayoglu emphasised this dual adversity outcome when he spoke to Mining Weekly in a Zoom interview. (Also watch attached Creamer Media video.)
Menar is a private investment company with a portfolio of diversified minerals that include anthracite, coal, manganese and ferromanganese in South Africa, gold in Kyrgyz Republic and nickel in Türkiye.
"It is critical for the US to quickly settle the dust to prevent farmers, for instance, starting to look for alternative markets. The US and South African farmers have for years built this supply chain successfully, and they don't want to waste this relationship. The same applies to the mining industry.
"For ferromanganese, it's critical for us to be able to supply product to the US, but if we can't, then we need to look at alternative markets, maybe in the Middle East or maybe to some East European countries that are growing in steel manufacturing.
"Because China created its own capacity on ferromanganese, South African production will have no option but to go to either US or Europe or the countries that are that are trying to push their steel production.
"So, it's a critical relationship and we're watching it very carefully and hoping that the relationship goes back to its normal position," Bayoglu outlined.
Menar is trying to bring Khwelamet, formerly Metalloys, back into production in Meyerton, Gauteng, and sees that its market is going to be mainly United States.
"We're talking to potential customers to make sure that when we're back into production, we'll be able to move our products," added Bayoglu.
US is an important trade partner for manganese and ferromanganese, and Menar's awareness of that is why the company is watching what is happening between South Africa and United States very closely.
"But the US relationship is critical for South Africa in the same way as South Africa's relationships with Japan, China, Germany, France, and the UK are critical.
"They're all critical because we're living in a global village, and we can't afford to have a bad relationship with another country, and especially with United States, the biggest power in the world.
"We need to have the right relationship so that our business people are not affected, because we've got other challenges in South Africa to solve. This is a man-made challenge, and we can fix this problem, and then we can move on.
"We can move on addressing unemployment challenges, Eskom challenges, Transnet challenges, and the gap between rich and poor. All these things can be addressed, once we have smooth relationship with all of our trading partners, and United States is one of the important ones, because it's a massive market for our products, because they the consumption rate is high, the GDP per capita is high. From those perspectives, we can't afford to lose the US as a partner.
"But on the other hand, the Trump Administration also knows that if they push this too hard, then at the end of the day South African producers are going to look for alternative markets, and that would be bad for the US as well, because, let's say, if I am producing ferromanganese, and if they don't want to buy ferromanganese from me, then what am I going to do?
"Then I'll go and try to sell my products to East European countries, be it Romania, be it Poland, be it the Czech Republic. Then when Americans want to buy ferromanganese, I'll have to say, sorry, guys, I don't have ferromanganese, and then the US will have to go to China.
"Again, it will create more dependency for them o...