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Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint.. I’m Nelson John and here are today’s top stories.
1. India on Covid Alert Again
India’s health agencies have reactivated surveillance mechanisms amid rising Covid-19 cases in Hong Kong and Singapore. Genome sequencing and wastewater tracking in Bengaluru are already picking up early signals. With 257 active cases—the highest in a year—authorities stress there’s no need to panic yet. “Covid hasn’t vanished,” warns Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, citing the emergence of Omicron sub-variants LF.7 and NB.1.8. No hospitalizations have been reported in India, but experts are watching SARI and ILI trends closely.
2. SC to Telcos: No Waiver, No Shortcut
The Supreme Court dismissed pleas by Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea, and Tata Teleservices for relief from ₹80,000 crore in interest and penalties linked to adjusted gross revenue (AGR) dues. Calling the petitions “shocking” and “misconceived,” the court said it’s up to the government to help—but it won’t intervene judicially. Vodafone Idea, now nearly half-owned by the government, is under financial duress with over ₹2 trillion in dues. Without a bailout or major policy relief, analysts warn it may not survive beyond FY26.
3. India’s Coffee Exports Brew Big
India’s coffee exports jumped from $800 million in FY15 to $1.81 billion in FY25, despite only marginal production growth. The secret? Higher global prices for robusta and strong branding. Karnataka remains the coffee hub, but cultivation is expanding into tribal districts of Odisha. With Europe’s deforestation regulation kicking in, India’s shade-grown coffee is gaining a green premium. Still, rising procurement costs are hitting local traders hard, even as demand from Italy, Russia, and Germany grows strong.
4. Myntra Goes Global, Starts with Singapore
Myntra has launched international shipping to Singapore, targeting the 6 million-strong Indian diaspora. With over 35,000 styles across 100 brands—including Aurelia, Global Desi, and Rare Rabbit—the Flipkart-owned fashion giant is offering delivery in 4–7 days straight from India. CEO Nandita Sinha says the focus is on festive fashion and understanding consumer needs before expanding to more countries. Singapore’s booming e-commerce market makes it an ideal launchpad for “Myntra Global,” a strategy aimed at building global brand affinity.
5. Trump-Putin Call Rekindles Peace Hopes
In a surprise diplomatic turn, Russian President Vladimir Putin said his two-hour phone call with US President Donald Trump was “frank and useful.” The two discussed paths to peace in Ukraine, with Putin proposing a memorandum for a ceasefire and long-term treaty. Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky welcomed the idea of peace but said Russia must act to be trusted. “We want to finish this war, but we don’t trust them,” he said. Talks may be resuming—but skepticism remains high.
Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you 5 major stories from the world of business.
It's Monday, May 19th, 2025. This is Nelson John.
1. Q4 Earnings Storm: Over 660 Companies Line UpIt’s a blockbuster week on Dalal Street as over 660 companies, including market giants like Power Grid, ONGC, Hindalco, and ITC, prepare to report Q4 results. The Nifty 500 has already surprised positively with 10.5% earnings growth, signaling a mid-cap revival. Investors will closely track results starting Monday from firms like DLF and Pfizer, followed by Hindalco, Dixon, and Max Healthcare on Tuesday. Wednesday belongs to ONGC, IndiGo, and Mankind Pharma. By Friday, the likes of JSW Steel and Reliance Infra will cap off what could be a defining week for FY25 sentiment. Even Saturday will see earnings action from JK Cement and Indigo Paints. The momentum here could shape the market’s next big move.
2. IMF’s 11-Point Lifeline to PakistanPakistan has secured a fresh $1 billion from the IMF—but with 11 strict conditions. The total disbursed now stands at $2.1 billion. Key demands include passing a ₹17.6 trillion budget, implementing agricultural income tax, raising energy tariffs, and phasing out tech zone incentives by 2035. Failure to meet these could jeopardize further aid. Adding to the pressure, the IMF has flagged rising India-Pakistan tensions as a potential risk to the reform path. As Pakistan stares at a tough fiscal balancing act, the road to economic stability is paved with policy overhauls and public patience.
3. India Hits Bangladesh with Trade CurbsIndia has restricted port access for Bangladeshi goods worth $770 million, impacting nearly 42% of Dhaka’s exports into India. The move blocks key items like garments and processed foods from land routes, now limiting them to Kolkata and Nhava Sheva ports. While India hasn’t cited geopolitical reasons, the restrictions follow Dhaka’s curbs on Indian yarn and rice exports and a transit fee on Indian cargo. Experts say India is using economic tools to push back against Bangladesh’s growing tilt towards China, which recently signed $2.1 billion worth of deals with Dhaka. With trade ties fraying, the two neighbors are veering from collaboration toward confrontation.
4. Adani’s Deep-Sea Defence PlayAdani Defence & Aerospace has signed a major partnership with US-based Sparton to localize anti-submarine warfare tech in India. This makes Adani the first private Indian firm to offer indigenised sonobuoy systems—critical for undersea detection and naval security. The tie-up aligns with India’s ‘Aatmanirbhar Bharat’ vision and is poised to boost Indian Navy capabilities. Jeet Adani called it a step toward securing sovereignty amid rising maritime threats. Sparton CEO Donnelly Bohan said the collaboration will help build high-tech jobs and localized defence manufacturing. India’s push to be a global player in undersea warfare just got a sonar-powered boost.
5. Ola’s Gigafactory Ambitions Hit DelayOla Electric’s grand gigafactory plan has hit a snag. Despite raising ₹5,500 crore last year, the company has not utilized the ₹1,227 crore earmarked for expanding battery cell capacity to 6.4 GWh by April 2025. Phase 1b and Phase 2 are delayed, with commercial production now pushed to FY26. This could endanger Ola’s eligibility for incentives under the ₹18,100 crore PLI scheme. The company, already facing mounting losses—₹564 crore in Q3 FY25—is under scrutiny for delayed execution and missed milestones. Analysts warn that unless Ola speeds up or outsources, its dream of a 20GWh facility by 2026 may remain on paper.
In this episode of AI Rising Podcast, we’re joined by Chaitanya Chokkareddy, Chief Technology Officer, Ozonetel Communications, a company at the forefront of AI-driven cloud communication in India. As India catches up in the global AI race, Chaitanya shares how the country can shape its own unique AI narrative—built on innovation, scale, and purpose.We dive into how AI is quietly transforming cloud telephony behind the scenes, how large language models are redefining customer experiences, and what the future holds: big, general-purpose models or focused, industry-specific ones? Chaitanya also talks about Viswam.AI—a community-powered AI project involving 10,000+ students and the beloved Chandamama Kathalu—and what it taught them about building tech for impact.Plus, in a fun rapid-fire round, we imagine Indian AI assistants, mythological chatbots, and which chore Chaitanya would gladly hand over to a machine!From business innovation to social responsibility, this episode explores what it means to build the future of AI in India—not just in theory, but on the ground.1:27 – Introduction2:23 – India’s unique AI journey5:59 – AI innovations & avatars8:33 – LLMs reshaping customer experience10:26 – Future of LLMs: Big vs. niche12:46 – Viswam.AI & Ozonetel’s role15:38 – Chandamama Kathalu & student-led AI19:06 – Rapid-fire round21:33 – India’s AI future24:40 – Innovation & social responsibility25:33 – Key takeaways
1. India Becomes the World’s Fastest-Growing Oil Consumer
OPEC’s latest report crowns India as the top driver of global oil demand growth through 2025 and 2026.Oil demand in India will rise from 5.55 million bpd (2024) to 5.99 million bpd (2026), growing faster than China’s and the US’s.Diesel is the main growth driver, with road expansion, infrastructure, and industrial growth boosting demand.March saw record crude imports (5.4 million bpd), with Russia leading at 36% of India’s crude intake.Despite geopolitical headwinds like US tariffs, OPEC sees India’s fiscal policy and strong economy cushioning any impact.
2. IndusInd Bank Uncovers ₹595 Cr in Dubious Bookkeeping
India’s eighth-largest private bank is under fire for accounting lapses worth ₹595 crore in “other assets.”Triggered by a whistleblower complaint, the bank’s internal audit flagged unsubstantiated balances, quietly offset in January 2025.An earlier ₹674 crore was wrongly booked as interest over three quarters and later reversed.Top bosses CEO Sumant Kathpalia and Deputy CEO Arun Khurana resigned in April amid mounting pressure.External firms PwC and Grant Thornton have been roped in for damage assessment and forensic audits.Moody’s cut the bank’s outlook to “negative”, citing weak internal controls and lack of succession planning.
3. Apple Reassures India After Trump’s iPhone Rebuke
After Donald Trump publicly told Apple to stop making iPhones in India, the tech giant quietly assured New Delhi that it’s not going anywhere.Trump, speaking in Doha, said Apple CEO Tim Cook was investing in India “too much” and should “build in the US.”Apple currently produces 15% of its iPhones in India, with plans to make India a major export base.Indian officials confirmed Apple’s investment roadmap remains intact.India-made iPhones, mostly built by Foxconn and Tata Electronics, are now being exported to global markets, including the US.
4. IndusInd Bank’s ₹1,979 Cr Derivatives Blowout Adds to Woes
In a separate episode earlier this year, derivative accounting errors cost the bank ₹1,979 crore.Lapses hit 2.35% of the bank’s net worth, according to PwC’s review.The bank is now strengthening internal controls, but the damage to investor confidence and leadership remains deep.
5. India Rejects Pakistan’s Conditional Peace Offer
Pak PM Shehbaz Sharif extended a peace olive branch—but with the usual caveat: Kashmir.“We are ready to talk,” he said, but insisted Kashmir be central to any future talks.India immediately shut the door—S. Jaishankar stated the only issue left is for Pakistan to vacate PoK.This exchange follows a May 10 ceasefire understanding, after four days of heavy cross-border shelling.
6. India Revokes Security Clearance of Turkish Aviation Firm Çelebi
In a move mixing geopolitics with national security, India has revoked the security clearance of Turkish firm Çelebi Aviation.Çelebi handles ground operations at nine major airports including Mumbai and Delhi.The action follows public anger over Turkey’s support to Pakistan amid Operation Sindoor and the Pahalgam terror attack.Shiv Sena leaders had also demanded the firm’s expulsion, citing national security.Despite its large footprint—58K flights, 5.4 lakh tons of cargo, and 7,800 employees—Çelebi now faces exit signals from India’s aviation ecosystem.India’s narrative this week is clear: high on energy, tough on lapses, assertive on sovereignty, and bold in global business.
Strata, one of India's largest fractional real estate platforms, has surrendered a crucial licence following a dispute with its builder-partner over a project in Tamil Nadu as well as allegations of a company executive impersonating a regulator.The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on Wednesday said Strata has surrendered its small and medium real estate investment trust (SM Reit) licence, and cautioned investors.What led to this suspension of license? Watch Neil Borate explain the case!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-XPJ_7ZWMGE#strata #reit #smreit
1. Tata Power’s ₹25,000 Cr Surge - 00:29:02 - 01:45:18
Tata Power is charging ahead with a massive ₹25,000 crore capital outlay for FY26, focusing half of it on renewables. CEO Praveer Sinha revealed the company plans to add up to 2.7 GW of capacity, with long-term wind turbine deals in the pipeline. Tata Power is also eyeing two UP discoms—Purvanchal and Dakshinanchal—as they head for privatisation. Meanwhile, its nuclear ambitions hinge on legal reforms expected in the Monsoon Session. The company posted a strong Q4 with net profit up 25% to ₹1,306 crore, riding on strong performance across renewables, generation, and distribution.
2. North-East’s ₹2.5 Trillion Pitch - 01:46:10 - 03:04:00
Ahead of the Rising Northeast Summit on May 23–24, Union Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia announced ₹1.12 trillion in confirmed proposals and eyes a ₹2.5 trillion target. Big names like Reliance, Adani, Tata Sons, and ITC are expected to contribute an additional ₹80,000 crore. From textiles to tourism, IT to energy, the region is being positioned as a high-return, high-growth destination. The summit will feature 11 ministerial sessions at Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi. French firms are also warming up to the region, with dairy, aviation, and agri-tech sectors in focus.
3. Gensol’s Clean Energy Crisis - 03:04:15 - 04:30:13
Gensol Engineering is in deep trouble. Ireda has filed an insolvency plea for a ₹510 crore loan default, just weeks after accusing the company of forging documents and misusing funds. Sebi has already barred the promoters—Anmol and Puneet Singh Jaggi—from the markets and corporate roles. Gensol raised over ₹800 crore to buy EVs for its BluSmart business but used only ₹567 crore, with ₹260 crore unaccounted for. The case, now under EOW and forensic audit, is a cautionary tale in India’s clean energy push.
4. #BoycottTurkey Takes Off - 04:30:19 - 05:46:12
Social media outrage over Turkey’s ties with Pakistan—especially reports of drone support—has sparked #BoycottTurkey trends. Platforms like Cox & Kings and Ixigo have paused bookings to the country. IndiGo and Air India’s partnerships with Turkish Airlines came under fire, but insiders say there’s no major commercial hit—yet. With Turkish Technic servicing both airlines and Celebi handling ground ops at key airports, complete decoupling looks unlikely. As with Maldives and China, boycotts only stick when commerce takes a hit—and so far, it hasn’t.
In this episode of Where To Invest Rs 10 Lakhs today, we speak to the Managing Partner at Breakout Capital Advisors, Swanand Kelkar. Unlike most other fund managers, his story is different, as are his ideas. Kelkar tells us where he would invest his money today, why investing equally across 4 asset classes gives better return than investing in the asset class which got the best returns in the previous year, and why he thinks just sticking to you asset allocation plan is the best way to go about things. Watch the full episode on YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpVoWMHLkws#money #stockmarket #finance
One of the most common forms of insurance mis-selling is something called liability insurance. When you take a home loan from a bank, the RM usually tells you that it's compulsory for you to take this kind of life insurance, which is called liability insurance because it is tied to your home loan.BUT - that is not really the case. Here's how you should deal with it.
Watch the full episode on YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDrRUq2mQEc#money #personalfinance #finance
India vs. US:
Trade Tensions Heat UpIndia is ready to hit back with $1.91 billion in tariffs on key US goods—like almonds, petrochemicals, and medical devices—if steel and aluminium duties aren’t withdrawn by June 8. The trigger? Trump’s extension of safeguard duties. Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal heads to Washington on May 16 to try and broker a deal. With $7.6B in exports on the line and a 90-day tariff pause set to expire on July 8, India’s playing hardball while still betting on a Free Trade Agreement.
Airtel’s Q4 Rings Loud
Bharti Airtel posted a stunning 432% jump in Q4FY25 net profit at ₹11,022 crore, riding high on tariff hikes and a one-time tax gain. Revenue rose 27% to ₹47,876 crore, while ARPU hit ₹245. With 590.5 million users, the company also sealed a satellite internet pact with Elon Musk’s Starlink. A ₹16/share final dividend caps off a blockbuster year.
Tata’s Mixed Drive
Tata Motors saw Q4 profit drop 51% YoY to ₹8,470 crore, but FY25 revenue hit a record ₹4.39 lakh crore. JLR’s PBT soared to a decade-high £2.5 billion, and Tata’s EV arm turned EBITDA positive. Challenges persist in passenger vehicles, but the company remains debt-free and optimistic. A ₹6 dividend and a key Investor Day on June 16 are on the radar.
Hero’s Global EV Push
Hero MotoCorp’s FY25 net profit rose 16% to ₹4,610 crore. Exports jumped 44%, and EV sales rocketed 175%, with its Vida brand doubling market share. But rivals like Honda and TVS are growing faster. Hero plans European expansion and is betting big on EVs and new three-wheeler plays via Euler Motors.
Cipla Steady Amid Policy Storm
Cipla shrugged off US pharma tariff fears and posted a 30% jump in Q4 profit to ₹1,222 crore. FY25 revenue grew 8% to ₹27,548 crore. The US remains key, now forming 29% of revenue, while India remains the long-term play. With GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic going off patent soon, Cipla’s gearing up with in-house and partner products for the next leg of growth.
In this episode of Guru Portfolios, we speak with Edelweiss Mutual Fund MD & CEO Radhika Gupta, who explains a calculation which may spook some people out - explaining why she is saving up a lot of money. She also tells us that she targets putting a whopping nearly 80% of her post-tax salary into SIPs, and of course what her portfolio currently looks like and how it's changed over the last 1 year. Radhika has reduced her fixed income component - and has an interesting take on international investing. Watch the whole episode on YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7QoAhD7uEVc#money #personalfinance #mutualfunds
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