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Jack welcomes Maria Vassalou, head of the Pictet Research Institute, to discuss global demographic decline and how technological revolution is imperative to prevent economic stagnation. They talk about why aging populations in countries like China, Japan, and Italy pose a fundamental threat to traditional economic growth as dependency ratios are projected to exceed 50%. Maria argues that while these trends seem "gloomy" in isolation, the rise of robotics and AI provides a critical remedy by substituting for scarce labor and significantly boosting productivity. The episode concludes with a look at the "winners" and "losers" of this shift, identifying housing, healthcare, and food as resilient sectors, while cautioning that countries must invest heavily in technology now to avoid long-term GDP flatlining/decline. Recorded December 12, 2025. 

“Demographics and Technology” Paper (by Maria Vassalou PhD & Pictet Research Institute): https://www.pictet.com/us/en/about/pictet-research-institute/publications-and-press/demographics-and-technology

More info about Pictet Research Institute: https://www.pictet.com/us/en/about/pictet-research-institute/publications-and-press/FT-coverage-30oct2025

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Jay Shambaugh, former Under Secretary of the Treasury for

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Read about Indian Aerospace & Defense and sign up for Dispatches From India: https://www.gymkhanapartners.com/dispatches/major-sector-inflection-india-defense-and-aerospace

Andrei Stetsenko, partner and portfolio manager at Gymkhana Partners, discusses the explosive growth of India's economy, its strategic shift toward global defense and aerospace leadership, and under appreciated small-cap companies.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction to Indian Aerospace

01:26 Gymkhana Partners: Investment Philosophy

04:09 Valuation and Sectoral Differences

05:36 India's Economic Growth

14:34 Government Policies and Reforms

18:20 Indian Consumer Market

26:03 US-India Trade Relations and Tariffs

28:06 Aerospace & Defense Sector in India

31:49 Investment Opportunities in Indian Aerospace

37:43 Complexities of Indian MRO & Sika's Growth

42:41 Defense Sector Opportunities

46:53 Indigenization of Indian Defense Procurement

56:06 HoldCo Dynamics & Maharashtra Scooters

01:05:56 Gymkhana’s Investment Strategy & Performance

01:13:34 AI Investments & Alphabet's Strategy

01:18:19 Conclusion

Disclosure: Andrei’s business partner is Jack's father and Gymkhana Partners is a consulting client of Monetary Matters parent company.

Disclaimer: This presentation is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. It is not a recommendation of, nor does it constitute an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, strategy, or investment product.

The research for this presentation is based on current public information that Farly Capital considers reliable. However, Farley Capital does not represent that the research or the presentation is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The views and opinions expressed herein are current as of the date of this report and are subject to change. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Certain statements contained herein are forward looking. There is no guarantee such forward looking statements will materialize, and results may differ entirely from what is described.

The holdings identified in this presentation do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold, or recommended for Gymkhana Partners L.P. It should not be assumed that investments made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of the securities in this list. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Additional information, including (i) the calculation methodology; and (ii) a list showing the contribution of each holding to Gymkhana Partners L.P.’s performance will be provided upon request.

Any market index referred to in this presentation has been selected for purposes of comparing the performance of an investment in Gymkhana Partners L.P. with a well-known, broad-based equity benchmark. Viewers should not consider any comparative index shown in this document to be a performance benchmark for Gymkhana Partners L.P. The statistical data regarding such an index has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The nature of such indices differs from that of Gymkhana Partners L.P. Gymkhana Partners L.P. is not restricted to investing in those securities that comprise any such index; its performance may or may not correlate to any such index and should not be considered a proxy for any such index. Historical performance results for indexes generally do not reflect the deduction of transaction and/or custodial charges or the deduction of an investment management fee, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results.

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In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Steve Hou, Senior Quant Researcher at Bloomberg, to discuss the structural forces reshaping the global economy. Hou argues that we have entered a "structurally, modestly more inflationary regime" driven by five key forces: Decarbonization, Demographic aging, Deglobalization, Debt/Fiscal Dominance, and a secular rise in global Defense spending. The conversation explores the "Baumol Effect” and Mike Green’s theory of the poverty level. 

Hou also provides a deep dive into his "Reformers Index," a quantitative strategy he is working on at Bloomberg Indices that ignores traditional "quality" stocks to find companies at a fundamental inflection point. By identifying firms moving from "bad to less bad,” such as Uber, Palantir, and Robinhood, Hou demonstrates how systematic fundamental momentum can outperform the broader market. Recorded December 12, 2025.

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Why do institutional investors continue to flock to hedge funds when the average fund underperforms the S&P 500? In this deep-dive interview, Andrew Beer, founder and managing member of DBI, joins Jack Farley to pull back the curtain on the "broad insanity" of the institutional investment world and the evolution of the multi-strategy "pod" model.

Andrew argues that much of institutional decision-making is driven by "non-economic considerations" and the "principal-agent issue," where allocators are more concerned with career risk and avoiding difficult conversations with investment committees than they are with maximizing returns. We explore why "smooth" returns in private equity and private credit are often used to mask underlying volatility and correlation issues.

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Over the last 8 years, Yaron Naymark, founder and managing partner of 1 Main Capital, has patiently grown his concentrated long-biased hedge fund by outperforming major equity benchmarks like the S&P 500. Any manager who has been in his shoes though will tell you that outperforming the market isn’t enough to attract the institutional capital necessary to seriously scale a fund. Here he discusses the importance of consistency of communication with investors, how his portfolio management has evolved, and the other operational improvements he has made that have helped spur growth. He also discusses a $20m strategic investment from Cannell Capital he took in 2025 and how he thinks about these types of “seed” deals.

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Timestamps

00:00 Introduction and Personal Insights on Investing

00:43 Guest Introduction and Fund Background

00:55 Fund Growth and Milestones

02:41 Challenges and Turning Points

03:20 Marketing and Investor Relations

07:41 Economic Considerations and Fund Management

10:51 Investment Philosophy and Strategy

27:08 Podcasting and Public Engagement

28:55 Transparency in Investment Strategies

29:41 Audience Growth and Distribution

31:03 Pitching Ideas and Raising Capital

32:20 Investment Minimums and Investor Relations

33:37 Marketing and Outreach Strategies

36:57 Switching to Jefferies and Other Service Providers

42:57 Strategic Investment from Cannell Capital

51:54 Hiring an Analyst and Future Plans

55:19 Managing Fund Capacity and Performance

58:40 Conclusion and Contact Information

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In this interview, Chanos breaks down why hosting GPUs is a commodity business with low returns and why the depreciation of AI chips (like Nvidia’s) creates a massive financial risk for companies like CoreWeave and Oracle. He also discusses the dangers of private credit, the accounting tricks at Live Nation, and why the "unprofitable" nature of today’s AI customers makes this cycle riskier than the Dotcom era. Recorded on December 11, 2025.

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Luke Gromen of Forrest For The Trees argues that the US is facing the "Mother of All Crises": a forced choice between losing the AI race to China or destroying the US Treasury market. In this deep dive, we cover why the electrical grid is the ultimate bottleneck, why Bitcoin is flashing a warning signal for 2026, and the mathematical path to $15,000 gold. Recorded December 1, 2025.

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Sam Gaer, CIO of Directional Strategies at Monarq Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss how he uses quantitative directional strategies to trade crypto assets and produce an institutional quality return stream that has outperformed bitcoin at scale. He explains how his experience as a market maker, executive, and self-taught electronic exchange technologist driving some of the most important technological advances in finance led him to “burn the boats,” leave tradfi, and go all in on building institutional crypto strategies with Monarq. He also discusses how institutional appetite for crypto hedge fund strategies is growing with increased regulatory clarity, greater availability of institutional level funds, and evolving market opportunities in crypto-native and crypto-linked tradfi assets.

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Timestamps

00:00 Intro

01:43 Q4 Crypto Volatility

06:21 A Disappointing Year for Crypto Bulls

10:29 Taking Advantage of Extreme Volatility

12:50 Triple Barrier Risk Management

15:43 $REMX

16:26 Responsible Leverage

17:17 Is the 4-Year Cycle Over

21:55 Early Days Pit Trading

24:16 Building Electronic Exchange Technology

26:38 CEO of NYMEX Europe and NYMEX IPO

27:24 Move to FINRA

28:43 Building and Selling a Volatility Hedge Fund

29:15 Burn the Boats

32:14 Joining Monarq

37:14 Differences Between Crypto Fund Managers and TradFi

39:17 Institutional Adoption of Crypto Hedge Funds

44:27 Can Crypto Strategies Scale to Meet the Demand?

47:19 The Crypto TradFi Collision

49:57 The Difference Between Institutional and Non-institutional Quality Crypto Funds

54:13 Hyper Liquid and Other Market Improvements in Crypto

59:26 Will TradFi Take Over Crypto?

01:01:31 Digital Asset Treasuries

01:08:46 The Next Stage for Monarq

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Erik Norland, Chief Economist at the CME Group, joins Jack Farley to discuss the wild volatility in commodity markets. With Silver up over 80% in the past year, Erik breaks down the technological shift from photography to solar panels that is driving demand. They discuss the global fiscal situation, where major economies from the US to Brazil are running deficits between 6% and 8% of GDP , creating a bid for gold prices as investors seek assets central banks can't print. Norland also covers copper, oil, and agricultural commodities. Recorded December 4, 2025.

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Erik Norland’s articles: google.com/search?q=erik+norland+cme&oq=erik&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBggAEEUYOzIGCAAQRRg7MgoIARAuGLEDGIAEMgYIAhBFGEAyBggDEEUYPDIGCAQQRRg8MgYIBRBFGD0yBggGEEUYQTIGCAcQRRhB0gEHNTk3ajBqN6gCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

“What’s Driving Platinum and Palladium Prices?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/openmarkets/economics/2025/Whats-Driving-Platinum-and-Palladium-Prices.html

“Four Major Drivers of the Gold-Silver Price Ratio”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/four-major-drivers-of-the-gold-silver-price-ratio.html

“Is Crude Oil at a Major Inflection Point?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/is-crude-oil-at-a-major-inflection-point.html

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