Despite first being launched on January 3rd, 2009, Bitcoin had no market value until over a year and a half later, first trading for around 5 US cents in July 2010. Just over 13 years later, a single bitcoin was worth approximately US$39,000 - a growth of just under 80 million percent (80,000,000%) since its inception.
When looking at the evolution of Bitcoin’s price, a simple linear time series imperfectly characterises it as highly volatile and unpredictable. As a result, there is no shortage of misconceptions on the historical path of Bitcoin.
This article explores how using a logarithmic scale allows us to more accurately interpret the growth of Bitcoin’s price, especially the first 8 years, which look largely uneventful on a linear scale as illustrated in the figure below. This is because Bitcoin’s historic growth has been exponential in nature – which we will soon discover is perfect for a logarithmic visualisation.
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