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Some soft earnings updates from major retailers raised concerns around companies’ ability pass on higher costs and dragged US equity markets sharply lower - Dow shed -1,165-points or -3.57% to 31,490.07, logging its lowest close since 4 March. The broader S&P500 dropped -4.04% to 3,923.68, marking its lowest settlement since 25 March and with just seven index constituents advancing. All eleven primary sectors closed in the red, with Consumer Discretionary (down -6.60%) and Consumer Staples (-6.38%) both falling over >6%. The S&P 500 and the Dow recorded their worst single session performance since 11 June, 2020. Tesla Inc fell -6.80% after the E&P ESG Index dropped the electric vehicle EV maker from its widely followed index with a focus on environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices. Tesla chief executive Elon Musk responded to the news on Twitter by noting that Exxon Mobil Corp (-1.59%) is rated in the top ten in the world for ESG by S&P 500 Dow Jones Indices, adding that “ESG is a scam. It has been weaponized by phony social justice warriors.” The Nasdaq tumbled -4.74%, settling with its worst single day decline since 5 May. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 shed -3.56%.

US GDP growth should slow but low US unemployment should bring rising living standards.

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US equity markets extended their rebound following strong retail sales figures and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sounding optimistic about a ‘soft’ economic landing - Dow gained +431-points or +1.34%. The broader S&P500 +2.02%, with all of Information Technology (up +2.91%), Materials (+2.86%), Financials (+2.69%), Consumer Discretionary (+2.68%) and Industrials (+2.28%) rallying over >2% to ten of the eleven primary sectors higher. Consumer Staples (down -1.15%) was the only primary sector to settle in the red. Citigroup Inc jumped +7.56% after a regulatory filing after the close of Monday’s (16 May) session recorded that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc took a nearly US$3B stake in the bank during the first quarter. The technology-centric Nasdaq gained +2.77%. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 jumped +3.19%.

US equity markets retreated after a choppy session to open the week, with growth stocks under pressure following some downbeat activity data in China - Dow inched +27-points or +0.08% higher . McDonald’s Corp lost -0.41% after announcing plans to exit Russia that would see the fast food giant book a charge of US$1.2B-US$1.4B. Consumer Discretionary (down -2.12%) led seven of the eleven primary sectors lower. The broader S&P500 eased 0.32%, with earlier gains evaporating in the final hour of trading. The Energy sector (up +2.62%) touched its highest intra-day level since 2014, with Occidental Petroleum Corp up +5.68% and Marathon Oil Corp +3.63%. Eli Lilly and Co rose +2.66% after its drug Mounjaro was approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to treat Type 2 diabetes. The drug is also being investigated for potential use in the treatment of obesity and overweight. United Airlines Holdings Inc rose over >2.5% in after hours trading after the carrier issued an update on its second-quarter outlook, noting in a securities filing that ”the demand environment has continued to improve, resulting in a higher unit revenue outlook for the second quarter 2022.” The Nasdaq lost -1.20% to 11,662.79 and sit ~27% below its record close of 16,057.44 touched on 19 November, 2021. Twitter Inc fell -8.18% after Bloomberg reported that Elon Musk said a deal to buy the social media company at a lower price than his previously agreed US$44B was "not out of the question." Tesla Inc lost -5.88%. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 lost -0.52%. In merger and acquisition (M&A) news, Spirit Airlines Inc soared 13.49% after JetBlue Airways Corp (down -6.06%) said it launched a "fully financed" tender offer to buy all Spirit outstanding shares for US$30 each, representing a 76.7% premium to last Friday's (13 May) closing price of $16.98.

US equity markets rallied to cap another volatile week that saw the S&P500 flirt with official bear market territory - Dow up +466-points or +1.47%, with Nike Inc (up +4.74%) and Salesforce Inc (+4.05%) among the leading index performers. American Express (+3.58%) and Boeing Co (+3.30%) both added more than >3% each. The broader S&P500 +2.39% (to 4,023.89) to reclaim the 4,000 level. Consumer Discretionary (up +4.10%), Information Technology (+3.44%) and Energy (+3.38%) all rallied over >3% to lead all eleven primary sectors higher. The technology-centric Nasdaq rebounded +3.82%, booking its biggest daily percentage gain since 4 November, 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Meta Platforms Inc and Alphabet Inc gained +3.86% and +2.96%, respectively. Twitter Inc dropped -9.7% after Elon Musk tweeted that the deal to buy the social-media company was “temporarily on hold.” Mr Musk, the chief executive of electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc (up +%) said the hold on the deal is “pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users.” In a subsequent tweet, Mr Musk said he was “Still committed to the acquisition.” The small capitalisation Russell 2000 jumped +3.06%.

US equity markets logged modest losses, recovering their worst levels of the session as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was voted in by Congress to serve a second term of four years - Dow down -104-points or -0.33%, settling ~500-points off its session lows but extending losses into a sixth straight session. The broader S&P500 slipped -0.13% to 3,930.08, trading precariously close to official bear market territory at its session lows (3,858.87). Utilities (down -1.16%) and Information Technology (-1.14%) fell over >1% to lead five of the eleven primary sectors lower. More defensive sectors outperformed, with Healthcare up +0.92%, Consumer Discretionary +0.79% and Real Estate +0.74%. The index logged its lowest settlement since 25 March, 2021, and 18.1% below its record close from early January. A close below

US equity markets retreated as investors assessed the latest inflation report - Dow down -327-points or -1.02%, unwinding an earlier rally of ~423-points. Visa Inc (up +1.62%) and Merck & Co Inc (+1.57%). The index’s -6.5% decline over the past five trading session marks its biggest such decline since 15 June, 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The broader S&P500 lost -1.65% to 3,935.18, touching an intra-session 52-week low (3,928.52) and is now down more than >18% from its 52-week high (and down over >17% calendar year-to-date). Consumer Discretionary (down -3.57%) and Information Technology (-3.30%) both declined over >3% to lead eight of the eleven primary sectors lower. The Energy (up +1.37%) sector helped to limit declines in the Dow and S&P500. The Nasdaq dropped -3.18%. Apple Inc shed -5.18% (dragging its market capitalisation down to ~US$2.37 trillion) and was usurped as the world’s largest company by capitalisation by oil giant Saudi Aramco (~US$2.43 trillion). Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company in 2020. Netflix Inc closed -6.4% lower in the wake of a New York Times report detailing plans by the streaming giant to launch an ad-supported pricing tier and crack down on password sharing. Meta Platforms Inc fell -4.51% and Microsoft Corp -3.32%. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 fell -2.48%. Coinbase Global Inc slumped -26.4% after the crypto exchange reported first-quarter revenue (US$1.17B) below expectations (US$1.48B) after the close of the previous session, impacted by lower crypto asset prices and market volatility.

Movements in the Australian cash rate have been following the “effective FED funds rate“.

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US equity markets steadied ahead of the release of key inflation data tonight AEST and with technology stocks regaining some composure after steep declines - Dow eased -84-points or -0.26%, booking a fourth consecutive session of losses (to be down -5.67%, its largest four-day percentage decline since the stretch ending 29 October, 2020). The index traded in an ~850-point range overnight, climbing as much as 500-points and sliding as much as -350-points. International Business Machines (IBM) (down -3.95%), Home Depot Inc (-1.98%), 3M Co (-2.14%) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (-2.44%) were among notable drags on the 30-stock index. The broader S&P500 added +0.25% to 4,001.05 after sliding below

Morgans Equity Strategist, Andrew Tang, explores the relationship between rising interest rates and equity market performance. Should investors fear the worse or is this a another buying opportunity?

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